Saudi-Arabia · Pro League

Al Riyadh vs NEOM

Kick-off 16:50 · Fri, Aug 28

📊 Our Prediction

Away +4.5 (Handicap)

76% confidence

Al Riyadh 9.8% Draw 14.6% NEOM 75.6%

Over 2.5 - 79% BTTS - 65%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

93%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

90%

Away Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

76%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-3 at 8.2%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to NEOM: 8 points versus 11 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.83 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-3

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

8.2%

Exact-score model probability

Al Riyadh

D L L W D W

Form 2-2-2 Goals 8:12 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 2

NEOM

W W D L W D

Form 3-2-1 Goals 9:7 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.17

📈 Probability Breakdown

Al Riyadh win9.8%

Draw14.6%

NEOM win75.6%

Over 1.5 goals93.0%

Over 2.5 goals79.3%

Over 3.5 goals60.8%

Both teams to score65.3%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 1.5 Goals

91.9%

Draw or Away (X2)

89.1%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)

89.1%

Match Result (11)

Draw or Away (X2)89.1%

Draw No Bet - Away87.9%

Home or Away (12)86.3%

Both Halves Over 0.576.8%

Goal in Both Halves76.8%

Away Win75.9%

Home or Draw (1X)23.7%

Draw13.2%

Draw No Bet - Home12.1%

Home Win10.5%

Exactly 1 Goal6.2%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.1%

Over 1.5 Goals91.9%

Over 2.5 Goals78.9%

Under 5.5 Goals75.3%

Over 3.5 Goals60.6%

4+ Goals60.6%

Under 4.5 Goals58.8%

2-4 Goals50.8%

Total Goals Even49.8%

Total Goals Odd49.7%

Over 4.5 Goals41.2%

Under 3.5 Goals39.4%

3-4 Goals37.8%

1-3 Goals37.5%

2-3 Goals31.4%

Over 5.5 Goals24.7%

Under 2.5 Goals21.1%

1-2 Goals19.2%

Exactly 3 Goals18.4%

Exactly 2 Goals13.0%

Under 1.5 Goals8.1%

Under 0.5 Goals1.9%

Exactly 0 Goals1.5%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score95.0%

Home Team to Score67.4%

Both Teams Score (GG)64.4%

No Both Teams Score (NG)35.6%

Away Clean Sheet32.1%

Away Win to Nil30.7%

Home Clean Sheet4.5%

Home Win to Nil3.1%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.595.0%

Away Over 1.581.1%

Home Over 0.567.4%

Away Over 2.559.4%

Away 3+ Goals59.4%

Home Exactly 136.3%

Home Exactly 032.1%

Home Over 1.531.1%

Away Exactly 221.6%

Home Exactly 220.5%

Away Exactly 114.0%

Home Over 2.510.5%

Home 3+ Goals10.5%

Away Exactly 04.5%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.5%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.5%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.3%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)98.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away98.5%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)95.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away95.9%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)95.2%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)89.1%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)89.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away89.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home89.1%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)78.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home78.2%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)75.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)62.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home62.0%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)57.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away57.2%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)42.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home42.3%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)37.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away37.5%

Away to win by 3+37.5%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)23.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home23.7%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)21.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away21.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw19.7%

Away to win by 219.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw18.6%

Away to win by 118.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw16.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw10.9%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)10.5%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)10.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away10.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw6.8%

Home to win by 16.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw6.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)4.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away4.3%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)3.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home3.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw2.6%

Home to win by 22.6%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)1.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home1.0%

Home to win by 3+1.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw0.8%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.2%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.0%

Combos (15)

Away & Over 2.564.4%

BTTS & Over 2.559.3%

Away & BTTS45.2%

Away & No BTTS30.7%

No BTTS & Over 2.519.7%

No BTTS & Under 2.515.5%

Draw & BTTS11.7%

Away & Under 2.511.5%

Home & Over 2.57.9%

Home & BTTS7.4%

Draw & Over 2.56.6%

Draw & Under 2.56.6%

BTTS & Under 2.55.1%

Home & No BTTS3.1%

Home & Under 2.52.6%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.585.1%

HT Away Win59.0%

HT Over 1.556.7%

HT/FT Away/Away54.5%

2nd Half More Goals48.0%

HT Under 1.543.3%

1st Half More Goals32.2%

HT Both Teams Score30.0%

HT Draw27.5%

Equal Goals Each Half19.7%

HT/FT Draw/Away17.5%

HT Under 0.514.9%

HT Home Win13.5%

HT/FT Draw/Draw6.4%

HT/FT Home/Home5.8%

HT/FT Home/Away4.3%

HT/FT Draw/Home3.6%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.4%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.4%

HT/FT Away/Home1.1%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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