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Saudi-Arabia · Pro League

Al Shabab vs Al-Ahli Jeddah

Kick-off 19:00 · Fri, Oct 30
📊 Our Prediction
Away +5.5 (Handicap)
70% confidence
Al Shabab 17.6% Draw 12.6% Al-Ahli Jeddah 69.8%
Over 2.5 - 97% BTTS - 91%
🎯 Best Pick
Over 3.5 Goals
Goal-line projection
🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree
92%
▸ Show 2 alternatives
Both Teams Score
BTTS Poisson estimate
91%
Home or Away (12)
Double chance from Poisson
87%
🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news
Why this pick was selected
The 1X2 model's strongest outcome is Al-Ahli Jeddah win at 69.8%.
Goal-line projection
Recent form leans to Al-Ahli Jeddah: 2 points versus 12 across the last 6 matches.
Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.16 goals scored per match.
Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)
Al Shabab win
17.6%
1X2 model probability
Draw
12.6%
1X2 model probability
Al-Ahli Jeddah win
69.8%
1X2 model probability
Al Shabab
L L D D L L
Form 0-2-4 Goals 5:11 Scored/game 0.83 Conceded/game 1.83
Al-Ahli Jeddah
W L L W W W
Form 4-0-2 Goals 14:7 Scored/game 2.33 Conceded/game 1.17

📈 Probability Breakdown

Al Shabab win17.6%
Draw12.6%
Al-Ahli Jeddah win69.8%
Over 1.5 goals99.4%
Over 2.5 goals97.0%
Over 3.5 goals91.6%
Both teams to score91.1%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +2.5 (Handicap)
91.8%
European Handicap 0:3 - Away
91.8%
Home +5.5 (Handicap)
90.0%
Match Result (11)
Both Halves Over 0.593.8%
Goal in Both Halves93.8%
Home or Away (12)84.0%
Draw No Bet - Away79.7%
Draw or Away (X2)78.8%
Away Win67.0%
Home or Draw (1X)28.9%
Draw No Bet - Home20.3%
Home Win17.0%
Draw11.8%
Exactly 1 Goal0.6%
Goals Over/Under (23)
Over 0.5 Goals95.8%
Over 1.5 Goals95.1%
Over 2.5 Goals93.0%
Over 3.5 Goals87.8%
4+ Goals87.8%
Over 4.5 Goals78.8%
Over 5.5 Goals66.2%
Total Goals Odd47.9%
Total Goals Even47.9%
Under 5.5 Goals33.8%
Under 4.5 Goals21.2%
2-4 Goals16.3%
3-4 Goals14.1%
Under 3.5 Goals12.2%
1-3 Goals7.9%
2-3 Goals7.3%
Under 2.5 Goals7.0%
Exactly 3 Goals5.1%
Under 1.5 Goals4.9%
Under 0.5 Goals4.2%
1-2 Goals2.8%
Exactly 2 Goals2.2%
Exactly 0 Goals0.1%
BTTS & Defence (8)
Away Team to Score94.7%
Home Team to Score88.2%
Both Teams Score (GG)87.2%
No Both Teams Score (NG)12.8%
Away Clean Sheet7.6%
Away Win to Nil7.6%
Home Clean Sheet1.1%
Home Win to Nil1.0%
Team Goals (14)
Away Over 0.594.7%
Away Over 1.589.8%
Home Over 0.588.2%
Away Over 2.578.5%
Away 3+ Goals78.5%
Home Over 1.568.9%
Home Over 2.544.4%
Home 3+ Goals44.4%
Home Exactly 224.5%
Home Exactly 119.3%
Away Exactly 211.2%
Home Exactly 07.6%
Away Exactly 15.0%
Away Exactly 01.1%
Handicap & Margin (60)
Away +5.5 (Handicap)95.7%
Away +4.5 (Handicap)95.3%
European Handicap 0:5 - Away95.3%
Away +3.5 (Handicap)94.2%
European Handicap 0:4 - Away94.2%
Away +2.5 (Handicap)91.8%
European Handicap 0:3 - Away91.8%
Home +5.5 (Handicap)90.0%
Away +1.5 (Handicap)87.0%
European Handicap 0:2 - Away87.0%
Home +4.5 (Handicap)83.0%
European Handicap 5:0 - Home83.0%
Away +0.5 (Handicap)78.8%
European Handicap 0:1 - Away78.8%
Home +3.5 (Handicap)72.4%
European Handicap 4:0 - Home72.4%
Away -0.5 (Handicap)67.0%
Home +2.5 (Handicap)58.7%
European Handicap 3:0 - Home58.7%
Away -1.5 (Handicap)52.5%
European Handicap 1:0 - Away52.5%
Home +1.5 (Handicap)43.4%
European Handicap 2:0 - Home43.4%
Away -2.5 (Handicap)37.2%
European Handicap 2:0 - Away37.2%
Away to win by 3+37.2%
Home +0.5 (Handicap)28.9%
European Handicap 1:0 - Home28.9%
Away -3.5 (Handicap)23.5%
European Handicap 3:0 - Away23.5%
Home -0.5 (Handicap)17.0%
European Handicap 2:0 - Draw15.3%
Away to win by 215.3%
European Handicap 1:0 - Draw14.5%
Away to win by 114.5%
European Handicap 3:0 - Draw13.7%
Away -4.5 (Handicap)12.9%
European Handicap 4:0 - Away12.9%
European Handicap 4:0 - Draw10.6%
Home -1.5 (Handicap)8.9%
European Handicap 0:1 - Home8.9%
European Handicap 0:1 - Draw8.2%
Home to win by 18.2%
European Handicap 5:0 - Draw7.0%
Away -5.5 (Handicap)5.8%
European Handicap 5:0 - Away5.8%
European Handicap 0:2 - Draw4.8%
Home to win by 24.8%
Home -2.5 (Handicap)4.0%
European Handicap 0:2 - Home4.0%
Home to win by 3+4.0%
European Handicap 0:3 - Draw2.4%
Home -3.5 (Handicap)1.6%
European Handicap 0:3 - Home1.6%
European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.1%
Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.5%
European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.5%
European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.4%
Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%
European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.2%
Combos (15)
BTTS & Over 2.586.2%
Away & Over 2.565.7%
Away & BTTS59.4%
Home & Over 2.516.5%
Home & BTTS16.0%
Draw & BTTS11.7%
Draw & Over 2.510.7%
Away & No BTTS7.6%
No BTTS & Over 2.56.8%
No BTTS & Under 2.51.9%
Away & Under 2.51.3%
Draw & Under 2.51.1%
Home & No BTTS1.0%
BTTS & Under 2.51.0%
Home & Under 2.50.5%
Half-Time & HT/FT (20)
HT Over 0.595.7%
HT Over 1.582.4%
HT Both Teams Score59.0%
HT Away Win57.8%
2nd Half More Goals52.7%
HT/FT Away/Away51.2%
1st Half More Goals32.3%
HT Draw21.3%
HT Home Win20.9%
HT Under 1.517.6%
Equal Goals Each Half14.8%
HT/FT Draw/Away13.0%
HT/FT Home/Home10.3%
HT/FT Home/Away6.6%
HT Under 0.54.3%
HT/FT Draw/Home4.3%
HT/FT Draw/Draw3.9%
HT/FT Away/Draw3.9%
HT/FT Home/Draw3.9%
HT/FT Away/Home2.6%
How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.
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