Saudi-Arabia · Pro League

Al Shabab vs Al-Faisaly FC

Kick-off 19:00 · Mon, Oct 19

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

59% confidence

Al Shabab 59.3% Draw 16.3% Al-Faisaly FC 24.4%

Over 2.5 - 92% BTTS - 87%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

92%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

87%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

84%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-2 at 5.8%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent scoring profiles suggest a tighter game: the two sides combine for 1.63 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

5.8%

Exact-score model probability

Al Shabab

L L D D L L

Form 0-2-4 Goals 5:11 Scored/game 0.83 Conceded/game 1.83

Al-Faisaly FC

L D D L L

Form 0-2-3 Goals 4:10 Scored/game 0.8 Conceded/game 2

📈 Probability Breakdown

Al Shabab win59.3%

Draw16.3%

Al-Faisaly FC win24.4%

Over 1.5 goals98.1%

Over 2.5 goals92.2%

Over 3.5 goals81.7%

Both teams to score87.2%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 2.5 Goals

91.4%

Away Team to Score

89.0%

Away Over 0.5

89.0%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.588.2%

Goal in Both Halves88.2%

Home or Away (12)83.6%

Home or Draw (1X)74.6%

Draw No Bet - Home70.7%

Home Win59.1%

Draw or Away (X2)40.0%

Draw No Bet - Away29.3%

Away Win24.5%

Draw15.5%

Exactly 1 Goal1.9%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.8%

Over 1.5 Goals96.8%

Over 2.5 Goals91.4%

Over 3.5 Goals81.0%

4+ Goals81.0%

Over 4.5 Goals66.3%

Under 5.5 Goals50.5%

Total Goals Even49.6%

Over 5.5 Goals49.5%

Total Goals Odd49.5%

Under 4.5 Goals33.7%

2-4 Goals30.6%

3-4 Goals25.1%

Under 3.5 Goals19.0%

1-3 Goals17.8%

2-3 Goals15.8%

Exactly 3 Goals10.4%

Under 2.5 Goals8.6%

1-2 Goals7.4%

Exactly 2 Goals5.5%

Under 1.5 Goals3.2%

Under 0.5 Goals1.2%

Exactly 0 Goals0.3%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score95.8%

Away Team to Score89.0%

Both Teams Score (GG)86.1%

No Both Teams Score (NG)13.9%

Home Clean Sheet10.1%

Home Win to Nil9.7%

Away Clean Sheet3.3%

Away Win to Nil3.0%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.595.8%

Away Over 0.589.0%

Home Over 1.584.5%

Away Over 1.566.0%

Home Over 2.565.2%

Home 3+ Goals65.2%

Away Over 2.539.7%

Away 3+ Goals39.7%

Away Exactly 226.3%

Away Exactly 123.0%

Home Exactly 219.2%

Home Exactly 111.3%

Away Exactly 010.1%

Home Exactly 03.3%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.3%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)96.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home96.7%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)96.3%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)93.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home93.2%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)92.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away92.1%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)86.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home86.1%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)84.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away84.5%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)74.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home74.6%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)72.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away72.7%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)59.1%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)57.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away57.1%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)42.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home42.0%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)40.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away40.0%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)26.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home26.4%

Home to win by 3+26.4%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)24.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw17.1%

Home to win by 117.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw15.6%

Home to win by 215.6%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)14.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home14.6%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)13.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away13.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw11.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw11.5%

Away to win by 111.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw7.6%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)7.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw7.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home7.0%

Away to win by 27.0%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)5.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away5.9%

Away to win by 3+5.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw4.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw3.6%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)2.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home2.8%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)2.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away2.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.6%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.6%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.2%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.583.4%

Home & Over 2.556.0%

Home & BTTS49.4%

Away & Over 2.522.8%

Away & BTTS21.5%

Draw & BTTS15.2%

Draw & Over 2.512.5%

Home & No BTTS9.7%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.0%

No BTTS & Under 2.55.1%

Home & Under 2.53.1%

Draw & Under 2.53.0%

Away & No BTTS3.0%

BTTS & Under 2.52.6%

Away & Under 2.51.7%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.592.3%

HT Over 1.572.5%

2nd Half More Goals50.9%

HT Both Teams Score50.4%

HT Home Win48.9%

HT/FT Home/Home40.9%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Under 1.527.5%

HT Draw25.6%

HT Away Win25.5%

Equal Goals Each Half16.7%

HT/FT Away/Away14.9%

HT/FT Draw/Home13.3%

HT Under 0.57.7%

HT/FT Draw/Away6.6%

HT/FT Draw/Draw5.8%

HT/FT Away/Home5.7%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.9%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.9%

HT/FT Home/Away3.1%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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