Saudi-Arabia · Pro League

Al Shabab vs Al-Fayha

Kick-off 19:00 · Sat, Sep 12

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

53% confidence

Al Shabab 52.9% Draw 16.6% Al-Fayha 30.5%

Over 2.5 - 94% BTTS - 90%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

94%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

90%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

83%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-2 at 5.4%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Al-Fayha: 2 points versus 4 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

5.4%

Exact-score model probability

Al Shabab

L L D D L L

Form 0-2-4 Goals 5:11 Scored/game 0.83 Conceded/game 1.83

Al-Fayha

L D W L L L

Form 1-1-4 Goals 7:12 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 2

📈 Probability Breakdown

Al Shabab win52.9%

Draw16.6%

Al-Fayha win30.5%

Over 1.5 goals98.6%

Over 2.5 goals94.1%

Over 3.5 goals85.4%

Both teams to score90.2%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Both Halves Over 0.5

90.2%

Goal in Both Halves

90.2%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)

90.1%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.590.2%

Goal in Both Halves90.2%

Home or Away (12)83.1%

Home or Draw (1X)68.6%

Draw No Bet - Home63.4%

Home Win52.7%

Draw or Away (X2)46.3%

Draw No Bet - Away36.6%

Away Win30.4%

Draw15.9%

Exactly 1 Goal1.4%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.8%

Over 1.5 Goals97.4%

Over 2.5 Goals93.1%

Over 3.5 Goals84.5%

4+ Goals84.5%

Over 4.5 Goals71.5%

Over 5.5 Goals55.6%

Total Goals Odd49.5%

Total Goals Even49.5%

Under 5.5 Goals44.4%

Under 4.5 Goals28.5%

2-4 Goals25.9%

3-4 Goals21.6%

Under 3.5 Goals15.5%

1-3 Goals14.2%

2-3 Goals12.8%

Exactly 3 Goals8.6%

Under 2.5 Goals6.9%

1-2 Goals5.6%

Exactly 2 Goals4.2%

Under 1.5 Goals2.6%

Under 0.5 Goals1.2%

Exactly 0 Goals0.2%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score95.7%

Away Team to Score92.1%

Both Teams Score (GG)89.1%

No Both Teams Score (NG)10.9%

Home Clean Sheet6.8%

Home Win to Nil6.6%

Away Clean Sheet3.3%

Away Win to Nil3.1%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.595.7%

Away Over 0.592.1%

Home Over 1.584.4%

Away Over 1.573.8%

Home Over 2.565.2%

Home 3+ Goals65.2%

Away Over 2.549.4%

Away 3+ Goals49.4%

Away Exactly 224.5%

Home Exactly 219.2%

Away Exactly 118.3%

Home Exactly 111.3%

Away Exactly 06.8%

Home Exactly 03.3%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.5%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)97.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home97.5%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)96.9%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)95.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home95.1%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)93.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away93.5%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)90.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home90.1%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)87.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away87.1%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)81.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home81.4%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)76.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away76.8%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)68.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home68.6%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)62.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away62.7%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)52.7%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)46.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away46.3%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)36.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home36.3%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)30.4%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)22.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home22.2%

Home to win by 3+22.2%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)17.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away17.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw16.4%

Home to win by 116.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw14.1%

Home to win by 214.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw12.9%

Away to win by 112.9%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)11.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home11.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw10.3%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)8.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away8.9%

Away to win by 3+8.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw8.7%

Away to win by 28.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw6.4%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)5.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home5.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw5.0%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)3.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away3.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw3.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw2.4%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)2.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home2.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)1.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away1.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw1.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.5%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.587.0%

Home & Over 2.550.5%

Home & BTTS46.0%

Away & Over 2.529.0%

Away & BTTS27.3%

Draw & BTTS15.7%

Draw & Over 2.513.6%

Home & No BTTS6.6%

No BTTS & Over 2.56.2%

No BTTS & Under 2.53.8%

Away & No BTTS3.1%

Draw & Under 2.52.3%

Home & Under 2.52.1%

BTTS & Under 2.52.1%

Away & Under 2.51.4%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.593.5%

HT Over 1.575.8%

HT Both Teams Score54.8%

2nd Half More Goals51.5%

HT Home Win44.9%

HT/FT Home/Home35.8%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Away Win29.9%

HT Draw25.2%

HT Under 1.524.2%

HT/FT Away/Away19.0%

Equal Goals Each Half16.1%

HT/FT Draw/Home11.9%

HT/FT Draw/Away7.7%

HT Under 0.56.5%

HT/FT Draw/Draw5.7%

HT/FT Away/Home5.7%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.1%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.1%

HT/FT Home/Away3.9%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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