Saudi-Arabia · Pro League

Al Shabab vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC

Kick-off 19:00 · Fri, Sep 4

📊 Our Prediction

Away +4.5 (Handicap)

90% confidence

Al Shabab 3.5% Draw 6.6% Al-Hilal Saudi FC 89.9%

Over 2.5 - 91% BTTS - 64%

🎯 Best Pick

Away Win

AI verdict (fallback)

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

95%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-4 at 7%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent form leans to Al-Hilal Saudi FC: 5 points versus 18 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 4.33 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-4

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

Exact-score model probability

Al Shabab

D D L L W L

Form 1-2-3 Goals 8:11 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1.83

Al-Hilal Saudi FC

W W W W W W

Form 6-0-0 Goals 18:3 Scored/game 3 Conceded/game 0.5

📈 Probability Breakdown

Al Shabab win3.5%

Draw6.6%

Al-Hilal Saudi FC win89.9%

Over 1.5 goals97.6%

Over 2.5 goals91.1%

Over 3.5 goals79.5%

Both teams to score64.2%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

HT Over 0.5

91.7%

Home or Away (12)

90.1%

Away Over 1.5

89.9%

Match Result (11)

Draw No Bet - Away96.0%

Draw or Away (X2)92.4%

Home or Away (12)90.1%

Both Halves Over 0.587.4%

Goal in Both Halves87.4%

Away Win86.5%

Home or Draw (1X)9.5%

Draw5.9%

Draw No Bet - Home4.0%

Home Win3.6%

Exactly 1 Goal2.2%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.6%

Over 1.5 Goals93.4%

Over 2.5 Goals87.4%

Over 3.5 Goals76.3%

4+ Goals76.3%

Over 4.5 Goals60.9%

Under 5.5 Goals56.2%

Total Goals Even48.1%

Total Goals Odd47.9%

Over 5.5 Goals43.8%

Under 4.5 Goals39.1%

2-4 Goals32.6%

3-4 Goals26.5%

Under 3.5 Goals23.7%

1-3 Goals19.3%

2-3 Goals17.1%

Under 2.5 Goals12.6%

Exactly 3 Goals11.1%

1-2 Goals8.2%

Under 1.5 Goals6.6%

Exactly 2 Goals6.0%

Under 0.5 Goals4.4%

Exactly 0 Goals0.4%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score94.9%

Home Team to Score62.1%

Both Teams Score (GG)61.4%

No Both Teams Score (NG)38.6%

Away Clean Sheet33.9%

Away Win to Nil33.5%

Home Clean Sheet1.1%

Home Win to Nil0.7%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.594.9%

Away Over 1.589.9%

Away Over 2.578.6%

Away 3+ Goals78.6%

Home Over 0.562.1%

Home Exactly 135.3%

Home Exactly 033.9%

Home Over 1.526.8%

Home Exactly 218.4%

Away Exactly 211.2%

Home Over 2.58.4%

Home 3+ Goals8.4%

Away Exactly 15.0%

Away Exactly 01.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +4.5 (Handicap)96.0%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)96.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away96.0%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)95.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away95.9%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)95.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away95.7%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)94.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away94.9%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)92.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away92.4%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)86.5%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)81.3%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)75.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away75.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)68.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home68.7%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)60.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away60.6%

Away to win by 3+60.6%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)52.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home52.6%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)43.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away43.4%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)35.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home35.4%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)27.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away27.3%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)20.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home20.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw17.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw16.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw15.2%

Away to win by 215.2%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)14.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away14.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw12.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw10.7%

Away to win by 110.7%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)9.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home9.5%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)3.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw2.5%

Home to win by 12.5%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)1.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home1.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw0.8%

Home to win by 20.8%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home0.3%

Home to win by 3+0.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw0.2%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.0%

Combos (15)

Away & Over 2.580.8%

BTTS & Over 2.559.5%

Away & BTTS53.0%

Away & No BTTS33.5%

No BTTS & Over 2.527.9%

No BTTS & Under 2.56.7%

Away & Under 2.55.7%

Draw & BTTS5.5%

Draw & Over 2.53.7%

Home & Over 2.52.9%

Home & BTTS2.8%

Draw & Under 2.52.2%

BTTS & Under 2.51.8%

Home & No BTTS0.7%

Home & Under 2.50.6%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.591.7%

HT Away Win74.4%

HT/FT Away/Away72.2%

HT Over 1.571.1%

2nd Half More Goals50.5%

HT Both Teams Score32.5%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Under 1.528.9%

HT Draw18.2%

Equal Goals Each Half16.9%

HT/FT Draw/Away14.4%

HT Under 0.58.3%

HT Home Win7.5%

HT/FT Home/Away3.9%

HT/FT Draw/Draw2.6%

HT/FT Home/Home1.9%

HT/FT Away/Draw1.7%

HT/FT Home/Draw1.7%

HT/FT Draw/Home1.2%

HT/FT Away/Home0.4%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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