Saudi-Arabia · Pro League

Al Shabab vs Al-Qadisiyah FC

Kick-off 19:00 · Thu, Aug 13

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

87% confidence

Al Shabab 5.3% Draw 7.9% Al-Qadisiyah FC 86.8%

Over 2.5 - 93% BTTS - 72%

🎯 Best Pick

Away Win

AI verdict (fallback)

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

95%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-4 at 6.7%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent form leans to Al-Qadisiyah FC: 3 points versus 15 across the last 5 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 4.60 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-4

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

6.7%

Exact-score model probability

Al Shabab

L W L L L

Form 1-0-4 Goals 7:14 Scored/game 1.4 Conceded/game 2.8

Al-Qadisiyah FC

W W W W W

Form 5-0-0 Goals 16:3 Scored/game 3.2 Conceded/game 0.6

📈 Probability Breakdown

Al Shabab win5.3%

Draw7.9%

Al-Qadisiyah FC win86.8%

Over 1.5 goals98.1%

Over 2.5 goals92.6%

Over 3.5 goals82.4%

Both teams to score72.3%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Draw or Away (X2)

90.7%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)

90.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away

90.7%

Match Result (11)

Draw No Bet - Away94.0%

Draw or Away (X2)90.7%

Both Halves Over 0.588.9%

Goal in Both Halves88.9%

Home or Away (12)88.8%

Away Win83.5%

Home or Draw (1X)12.5%

Draw7.2%

Draw No Bet - Home6.0%

Home Win5.3%

Exactly 1 Goal1.7%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.7%

Over 1.5 Goals93.9%

Over 2.5 Goals88.9%

Over 3.5 Goals79.0%

4+ Goals79.0%

Over 4.5 Goals64.8%

Under 5.5 Goals51.8%

Over 5.5 Goals48.2%

Total Goals Even48.0%

Total Goals Odd47.9%

Under 4.5 Goals35.2%

2-4 Goals29.1%

3-4 Goals24.1%

Under 3.5 Goals21.0%

1-3 Goals16.6%

2-3 Goals14.9%

Under 2.5 Goals11.1%

Exactly 3 Goals9.8%

1-2 Goals6.8%

Under 1.5 Goals6.1%

Exactly 2 Goals5.1%

Under 0.5 Goals4.3%

Exactly 0 Goals0.3%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score94.9%

Home Team to Score70.0%

Both Teams Score (GG)69.2%

No Both Teams Score (NG)30.8%

Away Clean Sheet26.0%

Away Win to Nil25.7%

Home Clean Sheet1.1%

Home Win to Nil0.8%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.594.9%

Away Over 1.589.9%

Away Over 2.578.6%

Away 3+ Goals78.6%

Home Over 0.570.0%

Home Over 1.536.0%

Home Exactly 134.0%

Home Exactly 026.0%

Home Exactly 222.2%

Home Over 2.513.8%

Home 3+ Goals13.8%

Away Exactly 211.2%

Away Exactly 15.0%

Away Exactly 01.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)96.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)95.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away95.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)95.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away95.8%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)95.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away95.4%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)94.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away94.1%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)90.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away90.7%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)83.5%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)83.4%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)71.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home71.9%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)71.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away71.7%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)56.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home56.7%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)56.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away56.1%

Away to win by 3+56.1%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)39.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home39.9%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)39.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away39.2%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)24.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home24.3%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)24.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away24.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw16.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw15.6%

Away to win by 215.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw15.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)12.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away12.6%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)12.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home12.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw11.8%

Away to win by 111.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw11.5%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)5.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw3.4%

Home to win by 13.4%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)1.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home1.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw1.3%

Home to win by 21.3%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home0.5%

Home to win by 3+0.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw0.4%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.0%

Combos (15)

Away & Over 2.579.1%

BTTS & Over 2.567.4%

Away & BTTS57.8%

Away & No BTTS25.7%

No BTTS & Over 2.521.5%

Draw & BTTS6.9%

No BTTS & Under 2.55.4%

Draw & Over 2.55.1%

Home & Over 2.54.6%

Home & BTTS4.5%

Away & Under 2.54.4%

Draw & Under 2.52.1%

BTTS & Under 2.51.8%

Home & No BTTS0.8%

Home & Under 2.50.6%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.592.6%

HT Over 1.573.5%

HT Away Win71.3%

HT/FT Away/Away68.4%

2nd Half More Goals51.0%

HT Both Teams Score38.6%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Under 1.526.5%

HT Draw19.0%

Equal Goals Each Half16.5%

HT/FT Draw/Away14.4%

HT Home Win9.7%

HT Under 0.57.4%

HT/FT Home/Away4.6%

HT/FT Draw/Draw2.9%

HT/FT Home/Home2.9%

HT/FT Away/Draw2.1%

HT/FT Home/Draw2.1%

HT/FT Draw/Home1.7%

HT/FT Away/Home0.7%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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