Saudi-Arabia · Pro League

Al Shabab vs Al Taawon

Kick-off 19:00 · Sun, Oct 11

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

59% confidence

Al Shabab 24.8% Draw 16.6% Al Taawon 58.6%

Over 2.5 - 92% BTTS - 87%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

92%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

87%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

83%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-3 at 5.9%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Al Taawon: 2 points versus 5 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-3

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

5.9%

Exact-score model probability

Al Shabab

L L D D L L

Form 0-2-4 Goals 5:11 Scored/game 0.83 Conceded/game 1.83

Al Taawon

D L D L W L

Form 1-2-3 Goals 7:8 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 1.33

Head to head · last 1

Al Shabab 0wins ·0 draws ·Al Taawon 1wins

Al Shabab 1-5 Al TaawonMay 3, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Al Shabab win24.8%

Draw16.6%

Al Taawon win58.6%

Over 1.5 goals97.9%

Over 2.5 goals91.7%

Over 3.5 goals80.8%

Both teams to score86.8%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

HT Over 0.5

92.0%

Over 2.5 Goals

91.0%

Home Team to Score

88.9%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.587.8%

Goal in Both Halves87.8%

Home or Away (12)83.5%

Draw or Away (X2)74.2%

Draw No Bet - Away70.1%

Away Win58.5%

Home or Draw (1X)40.7%

Draw No Bet - Home29.9%

Home Win25.0%

Draw15.7%

Exactly 1 Goal2.1%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.8%

Over 1.5 Goals96.8%

Over 2.5 Goals91.0%

Over 3.5 Goals80.2%

4+ Goals80.2%

Over 4.5 Goals65.1%

Under 5.5 Goals51.9%

Total Goals Odd49.6%

Total Goals Even49.6%

Over 5.5 Goals48.1%

Under 4.5 Goals34.9%

2-4 Goals31.7%

3-4 Goals25.9%

Under 3.5 Goals19.8%

1-3 Goals18.6%

2-3 Goals16.6%

Exactly 3 Goals10.8%

Under 2.5 Goals9.0%

1-2 Goals7.8%

Exactly 2 Goals5.8%

Under 1.5 Goals3.2%

Under 0.5 Goals1.2%

Exactly 0 Goals0.4%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score95.6%

Home Team to Score88.9%

Both Teams Score (GG)85.8%

No Both Teams Score (NG)14.2%

Away Clean Sheet10.3%

Away Win to Nil9.9%

Home Clean Sheet3.6%

Home Win to Nil3.2%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.595.6%

Home Over 0.588.9%

Away Over 1.583.8%

Home Over 1.565.6%

Away Over 2.564.0%

Away 3+ Goals64.0%

Home Over 2.539.2%

Home 3+ Goals39.2%

Home Exactly 226.4%

Home Exactly 123.3%

Away Exactly 219.8%

Away Exactly 111.9%

Home Exactly 010.3%

Away Exactly 03.6%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.4%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)96.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away96.8%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)96.6%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)93.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away93.1%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)92.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home92.6%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)86.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away86.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)85.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home85.2%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)74.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away74.2%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)73.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home73.5%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)58.5%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)58.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home58.0%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)41.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away41.2%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)40.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home40.7%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)25.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away25.7%

Away to win by 3+25.7%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)25.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw17.3%

Away to win by 117.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw15.5%

Away to win by 215.5%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)14.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away14.0%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)13.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home13.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw11.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw11.7%

Home to win by 111.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw7.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw7.2%

Home to win by 27.2%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)6.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away6.6%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)6.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home6.1%

Home to win by 3+6.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw4.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw3.7%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)2.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away2.6%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)2.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home2.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.6%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.6%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.2%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.583.0%

Away & Over 2.555.2%

Away & BTTS48.6%

Home & Over 2.523.2%

Home & BTTS21.8%

Draw & BTTS15.4%

Draw & Over 2.512.6%

Away & No BTTS9.9%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.0%

No BTTS & Under 2.55.4%

Away & Under 2.53.3%

Draw & Under 2.53.2%

Home & No BTTS3.2%

BTTS & Under 2.52.8%

Home & Under 2.51.8%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.592.0%

HT Over 1.571.7%

2nd Half More Goals50.7%

HT Both Teams Score49.7%

HT Away Win48.3%

HT/FT Away/Away40.3%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Under 1.528.3%

HT Draw25.9%

HT Home Win25.7%

Equal Goals Each Half16.8%

HT/FT Home/Home15.2%

HT/FT Draw/Away13.3%

HT Under 0.58.0%

HT/FT Draw/Home6.7%

HT/FT Draw/Draw5.9%

HT/FT Home/Away5.7%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.9%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.9%

HT/FT Away/Home3.1%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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