Saudi-Arabia · Pro League

Al Taawon vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC

Kick-off 16:50 · Sat, Sep 12

📊 Our Prediction

Away +3.5 (Handicap)

85% confidence

Al Taawon 3.6% Draw 11.4% Al-Hilal Saudi FC 85.0%

Over 2.5 - 68% BTTS - 41%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

89%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

87%

Away Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

85%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 0-2 at 13.1%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to Al-Hilal Saudi FC: 5 points versus 15 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 4.00 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +3.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

0-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

13.1%

Exact-score model probability

Al Taawon

D L D L W L

Form 1-2-3 Goals 7:8 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 1.33

Al-Hilal Saudi FC

L W W W W W

Form 5-0-1 Goals 17:5 Scored/game 2.83 Conceded/game 0.83

📈 Probability Breakdown

Al Taawon win3.6%

Draw11.4%

Al-Hilal Saudi FC win85.0%

Over 1.5 goals87.3%

Over 2.5 goals68.3%

Over 3.5 goals46.7%

Both teams to score40.7%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home or Away (12)

89.5%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

86.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home

86.7%

Match Result (11)

Draw or Away (X2)95.4%

Draw No Bet - Away95.3%

Home or Away (12)89.5%

Away Win85.3%

Both Halves Over 0.568.1%

Goal in Both Halves68.1%

Home or Draw (1X)14.3%

Exactly 1 Goal10.4%

Draw10.1%

Draw No Bet - Home4.7%

Home Win4.2%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals96.7%

Over 1.5 Goals86.3%

Under 5.5 Goals85.8%

Under 4.5 Goals72.4%

Over 2.5 Goals68.0%

2-4 Goals58.7%

Under 3.5 Goals53.5%

1-3 Goals50.2%

Total Goals Even49.9%

Total Goals Odd49.7%

Over 3.5 Goals46.5%

4+ Goals46.5%

3-4 Goals40.4%

2-3 Goals39.8%

Under 2.5 Goals32.0%

1-2 Goals28.7%

Over 4.5 Goals27.6%

Exactly 3 Goals21.5%

Exactly 2 Goals18.3%

Over 5.5 Goals14.2%

Under 1.5 Goals13.7%

Under 0.5 Goals3.3%

Exactly 0 Goals2.9%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score94.5%

No Both Teams Score (NG)60.1%

Away Clean Sheet57.6%

Away Win to Nil54.7%

Home Team to Score42.0%

Both Teams Score (GG)39.9%

Home Clean Sheet5.1%

Home Win to Nil2.1%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.594.5%

Away Over 1.579.4%

Home Exactly 057.6%

Away Over 2.556.8%

Away 3+ Goals56.8%

Home Over 0.542.0%

Home Exactly 131.6%

Away Exactly 222.6%

Away Exactly 115.2%

Home Over 1.510.5%

Home Exactly 28.6%

Away Exactly 05.1%

Home Over 2.51.8%

Home 3+ Goals1.8%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.6%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.6%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.6%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)99.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away99.5%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)98.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away98.8%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)95.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away95.4%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)94.2%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)86.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home86.7%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)85.3%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)73.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home73.4%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)67.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away67.2%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)54.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home54.2%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)45.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away45.4%

Away to win by 3+45.4%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)32.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home32.5%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)26.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away26.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw21.8%

Away to win by 221.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw19.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw18.2%

Away to win by 118.2%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)14.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home14.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw13.2%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)13.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away13.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw7.5%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)5.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away5.5%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)4.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw3.3%

Home to win by 13.3%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home0.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw0.7%

Home to win by 20.7%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home0.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw0.1%

Home to win by 3+0.1%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.0%

Combos (15)

Away & Over 2.563.5%

Away & No BTTS54.7%

BTTS & Over 2.535.1%

No BTTS & Over 2.532.9%

Away & BTTS30.7%

No BTTS & Under 2.526.8%

Away & Under 2.521.8%

Draw & Under 2.57.7%

Draw & BTTS7.2%

BTTS & Under 2.54.8%

Draw & Over 2.52.4%

Home & Over 2.52.2%

Home & Under 2.52.1%

Home & BTTS2.1%

Home & No BTTS2.1%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.579.5%

HT Away Win65.5%

HT/FT Away/Away63.3%

HT Under 1.552.9%

HT Over 1.547.1%

2nd Half More Goals46.2%

1st Half More Goals31.9%

HT Draw27.8%

Equal Goals Each Half21.9%

HT Under 0.520.5%

HT/FT Draw/Away19.8%

HT Both Teams Score16.1%

HT Home Win6.7%

HT/FT Draw/Draw6.2%

HT/FT Home/Away2.6%

HT/FT Home/Home2.2%

HT/FT Away/Draw1.9%

HT/FT Home/Draw1.9%

HT/FT Draw/Home1.8%

HT/FT Away/Home0.3%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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