Saudi-Arabia · Pro League

Al Taawon vs Al-Qadisiyah FC

Kick-off 16:10 · Tue, Oct 20

📊 Our Prediction

Away +3.5 (Handicap)

94% confidence

Al Taawon 1.5% Draw 5.0% Al-Qadisiyah FC 93.5%

Over 2.5 - 87% BTTS - 46%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

95%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Away Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

94%

Draw No Bet - Away

DNB away — draw refunds stake

94%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 0-4 at 10.4%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to Al-Qadisiyah FC: 5 points versus 18 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 4.34 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +3.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

0-4

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

10.4%

Exact-score model probability

Al Taawon

D L D L W L

Form 1-2-3 Goals 7:8 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 1.33

Al-Qadisiyah FC

W W W W W W

Form 6-0-0 Goals 19:4 Scored/game 3.17 Conceded/game 0.67

📈 Probability Breakdown

Al Taawon win1.5%

Draw5.0%

Al-Qadisiyah FC win93.5%

Over 1.5 goals95.8%

Over 2.5 goals86.5%

Over 3.5 goals71.6%

Both teams to score45.7%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away Win

90.7%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)

90.7%

Away Over 1.5

89.7%

Match Result (11)

Draw No Bet - Away98.1%

Draw or Away (X2)95.0%

Home or Away (12)92.4%

Away Win90.7%

Both Halves Over 0.583.2%

Goal in Both Halves83.2%

Home or Draw (1X)6.1%

Draw4.4%

Exactly 1 Goal3.6%

Draw No Bet - Home1.9%

Home Win1.7%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals96.1%

Over 1.5 Goals92.5%

Over 2.5 Goals83.7%

Over 3.5 Goals69.3%

4+ Goals69.3%

Under 5.5 Goals66.0%

Over 4.5 Goals51.5%

Total Goals Even48.6%

Under 4.5 Goals48.5%

Total Goals Odd48.2%

2-4 Goals41.0%

Over 5.5 Goals34.0%

3-4 Goals32.2%

Under 3.5 Goals30.7%

1-3 Goals26.8%

2-3 Goals23.2%

Under 2.5 Goals16.3%

Exactly 3 Goals14.4%

1-2 Goals12.3%

Exactly 2 Goals8.8%

Under 1.5 Goals7.5%

Under 0.5 Goals3.9%

Exactly 0 Goals0.7%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score95.4%

No Both Teams Score (NG)56.1%

Away Clean Sheet52.2%

Away Win to Nil51.5%

Home Team to Score44.6%

Both Teams Score (GG)43.9%

Home Clean Sheet1.3%

Home Win to Nil0.6%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.595.4%

Away Over 1.589.7%

Away Over 2.577.2%

Away 3+ Goals77.2%

Home Exactly 052.2%

Home Over 0.544.6%

Home Exactly 132.2%

Away Exactly 212.5%

Home Over 1.512.3%

Home Exactly 29.9%

Away Exactly 15.8%

Home Over 2.52.4%

Home 3+ Goals2.4%

Away Exactly 01.3%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +3.5 (Handicap)96.8%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)96.8%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)96.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away96.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away96.8%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)96.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away96.7%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)96.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away96.4%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)95.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away95.0%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)90.7%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)81.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away81.1%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)80.0%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)66.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home66.2%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)66.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away66.0%

Away to win by 3+66.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)48.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home48.8%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)48.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away48.0%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)30.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home30.7%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)30.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away30.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw18.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw17.4%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)16.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away16.8%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)15.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home15.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw15.1%

Away to win by 215.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw13.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw9.6%

Away to win by 19.6%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)6.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home6.1%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)1.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw1.4%

Home to win by 11.4%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home0.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw0.3%

Home to win by 20.3%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home0.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw0.1%

Home to win by 3+0.1%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.0%

Combos (15)

Away & Over 2.580.8%

Away & No BTTS51.5%

BTTS & Over 2.542.0%

No BTTS & Over 2.541.7%

Away & BTTS39.2%

No BTTS & Under 2.511.1%

Away & Under 2.59.8%

Draw & BTTS3.6%

Draw & Under 2.52.6%

BTTS & Under 2.51.9%

Draw & Over 2.51.7%

Home & Over 2.51.2%

Home & BTTS1.1%

Home & Under 2.50.6%

Home & No BTTS0.6%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.589.1%

HT Away Win78.0%

HT/FT Away/Away76.7%

HT Over 1.565.0%

2nd Half More Goals49.4%

HT Under 1.535.0%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Both Teams Score20.8%

Equal Goals Each Half18.1%

HT Draw17.6%

HT/FT Draw/Away14.6%

HT Under 0.510.9%

HT Home Win4.5%

HT/FT Home/Away2.5%

HT/FT Draw/Draw2.3%

HT/FT Away/Draw1.0%

HT/FT Home/Draw1.0%

HT/FT Home/Home0.9%

HT/FT Draw/Home0.7%

HT/FT Away/Home0.2%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

← All predictions