Turkey · Süper Lig

Alanyaspor vs Beşiktaş

Kick-off 19:30 · Sun, Aug 23

📊 Our Prediction

Away +4.5 (Handicap)

60% confidence

Alanyaspor 13.6% Draw 26.7% Beşiktaş 59.7%

Over 2.5 - 42% BTTS - 42%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 4.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

91%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

86%

Away Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

60%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 0-1 at 15.8%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Beşiktaş: 5 points versus 18 across the last 4 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.75 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

0-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

15.8%

Exact-score model probability

Alanyaspor

D L W D

Form 1-2-1 Goals 5:4 Scored/game 1.25 Conceded/game 1

Beşiktaş

W W W W W W

Form 6-0-0 Goals 9:0 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 0

📈 Probability Breakdown

Alanyaspor win13.6%

Draw26.7%

Beşiktaş win59.7%

Over 1.5 goals69.7%

Over 2.5 goals42.0%

Over 3.5 goals21.3%

Both teams to score41.8%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Under 4.5 Goals

90.9%

Over 0.5 Goals

90.5%

Draw or Away (X2)

85.0%

Match Result (11)

Draw or Away (X2)85.0%

Draw No Bet - Away80.3%

Home or Away (12)76.1%

Away Win61.1%

Both Halves Over 0.547.5%

Goal in Both Halves47.5%

Home or Draw (1X)38.9%

Draw23.9%

Exactly 1 Goal22.3%

Draw No Bet - Home19.7%

Home Win15.0%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals96.7%

Under 4.5 Goals90.9%

Over 0.5 Goals90.5%

Under 3.5 Goals78.7%

1-3 Goals69.3%

Over 1.5 Goals68.2%

2-4 Goals59.2%

Under 2.5 Goals58.1%

Total Goals Even50.4%

Total Goals Odd49.5%

1-2 Goals48.6%

2-3 Goals47.0%

Over 2.5 Goals41.9%

3-4 Goals32.9%

Under 1.5 Goals31.8%

Exactly 2 Goals26.3%

Over 3.5 Goals21.3%

4+ Goals21.3%

Exactly 3 Goals20.7%

Under 0.5 Goals9.5%

Exactly 0 Goals9.5%

Over 4.5 Goals9.1%

Over 5.5 Goals3.3%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score81.2%

No Both Teams Score (NG)59.6%

Away Clean Sheet50.3%

Home Team to Score49.7%

Away Win to Nil40.9%

Both Teams Score (GG)40.4%

Home Clean Sheet18.8%

Home Win to Nil9.3%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.581.2%

Home Exactly 050.3%

Away Over 1.549.8%

Home Over 0.549.7%

Home Exactly 134.6%

Away Exactly 131.4%

Away Exactly 226.3%

Away Over 2.523.5%

Away 3+ Goals23.5%

Away Exactly 018.8%

Home Over 1.515.1%

Home Exactly 211.9%

Home Over 2.53.3%

Home 3+ Goals3.3%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +4.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away100.0%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.9%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.6%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)99.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away99.2%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.3%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)96.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away96.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)94.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home94.5%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)85.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away85.0%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)84.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home84.7%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)65.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home65.7%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)61.1%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)38.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home38.9%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)34.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away34.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw26.8%

Away to win by 126.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw19.1%

Away to win by 219.1%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)15.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away15.3%

Away to win by 3+15.3%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)15.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw11.0%

Home to win by 111.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw9.7%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)5.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away5.5%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)4.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home4.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw3.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw3.2%

Home to win by 23.2%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)1.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away1.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw1.2%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home0.8%

Home to win by 3+0.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw0.7%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.4%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.0%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.547.2%

Away & No BTTS40.9%

Away & Over 2.532.1%

BTTS & Over 2.529.5%

Away & Under 2.529.0%

Draw & Under 2.520.3%

Away & BTTS20.3%

Draw & BTTS14.4%

No BTTS & Over 2.512.5%

BTTS & Under 2.510.9%

Home & No BTTS9.3%

Home & Under 2.58.7%

Home & Over 2.56.3%

Home & BTTS5.7%

Draw & Over 2.53.5%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.571.3%

HT Over 0.565.4%

HT Draw43.1%

HT Away Win42.9%

2nd Half More Goals41.9%

HT/FT Away/Away38.4%

HT Under 0.534.6%

1st Half More Goals30.4%

HT Over 1.528.7%

Equal Goals Each Half27.7%

HT/FT Draw/Away20.5%

HT/FT Draw/Draw16.2%

HT Both Teams Score14.1%

HT Home Win14.0%

HT/FT Home/Home7.9%

HT/FT Draw/Home6.3%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.8%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.8%

HT/FT Home/Away2.2%

HT/FT Away/Home0.8%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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