Turkey · Süper Lig

Alanyaspor vs Erzurumspor FK

Kick-off 14:00 · Sat, Oct 10

📊 Our Prediction

Home +2.5 (Handicap)

95% confidence

Alanyaspor 95.4% Draw 4.0% Erzurumspor FK 0.6%

Over 2.5 - 80% BTTS - 26%

🎯 Best Pick

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

95%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Draw No Bet - Home

DNB home — draw refunds stake

95%

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

93%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

1X · Home or Draw covers 99.4% of the model's 1X2 probability, leaving 0.6% on the only losing outcome.

Strongest 1X2 probability

Numbers behind this Home +2.5 (Handicap)

1X · Home or Draw

99.4%

Two outcomes covered by the model

Loss probability

0.6%

Only the uncovered result loses

Alanyaspor

W W D L W D

Form 3-2-1 Goals 7:4 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 0.67

Erzurumspor FK

Form 0-0-1 Goals 0:3 Scored/game 0 Conceded/game 3

📈 Probability Breakdown

Alanyaspor win95.4%

Draw4.0%

Erzurumspor FK win0.6%

Over 1.5 goals93.0%

Over 2.5 goals80.1%

Over 3.5 goals61.9%

Both teams to score25.7%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 1.5 Goals

90.7%

Home Over 1.5

88.8%

HT Over 0.5

85.7%

Match Result (11)

Draw No Bet - Home99.2%

Home or Draw (1X)97.0%

Home or Away (12)94.3%

Home Win93.5%

Both Halves Over 0.577.8%

Goal in Both Halves77.8%

Exactly 1 Goal5.7%

Draw or Away (X2)4.3%

Draw3.5%

Away Win0.8%

Draw No Bet - Away0.8%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals96.5%

Over 1.5 Goals90.7%

Over 2.5 Goals78.4%

Under 5.5 Goals75.5%

Over 3.5 Goals60.5%

4+ Goals60.5%

Under 4.5 Goals58.8%

2-4 Goals49.5%

Total Goals Even49.2%

Total Goals Odd48.6%

Over 4.5 Goals41.2%

Under 3.5 Goals39.5%

3-4 Goals37.1%

1-3 Goals35.9%

2-3 Goals30.2%

Over 5.5 Goals24.5%

Under 2.5 Goals21.6%

1-2 Goals18.1%

Exactly 3 Goals17.8%

Exactly 2 Goals12.4%

Under 1.5 Goals9.3%

Under 0.5 Goals3.5%

Exactly 0 Goals1.3%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score96.0%

No Both Teams Score (NG)75.1%

Home Clean Sheet72.4%

Home Win to Nil71.1%

Away Team to Score25.3%

Both Teams Score (GG)24.9%

Away Clean Sheet1.8%

Away Win to Nil0.5%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.596.0%

Home Over 1.588.8%

Home Over 2.574.3%

Home 3+ Goals74.3%

Away Exactly 072.4%

Away Over 0.525.3%

Away Exactly 121.7%

Home Exactly 214.5%

Home Exactly 17.2%

Away Over 1.53.6%

Away Exactly 23.3%

Home Exactly 01.8%

Away Over 2.50.4%

Away 3+ Goals0.4%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +2.5 (Handicap)97.8%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)97.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)97.8%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)97.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home97.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home97.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home97.8%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)97.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home97.7%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)97.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home97.0%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)93.5%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)84.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home84.3%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)81.1%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)68.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home68.5%

Home to win by 3+68.5%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)66.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away66.9%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)49.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home49.2%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)48.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away48.5%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)30.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home30.9%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)29.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away29.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw19.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw18.3%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)16.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home16.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw15.7%

Home to win by 215.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw14.2%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)13.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away13.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw9.3%

Home to win by 19.3%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)4.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away4.3%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw0.7%

Away to win by 10.7%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw0.1%

Away to win by 20.1%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Away to win by 3+0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.577.5%

Home & No BTTS71.1%

No BTTS & Over 2.555.1%

BTTS & Over 2.523.3%

Home & BTTS22.4%

No BTTS & Under 2.517.8%

Home & Under 2.516.0%

Draw & Under 2.52.9%

Draw & BTTS2.2%

BTTS & Under 2.51.6%

Draw & Over 2.50.6%

Away & Under 2.50.5%

Away & No BTTS0.5%

Away & Over 2.50.3%

Away & BTTS0.3%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.585.7%

HT Home Win79.7%

HT/FT Home/Home79.0%

HT Over 1.557.9%

2nd Half More Goals48.2%

HT Under 1.542.1%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

Equal Goals Each Half19.5%

HT Draw18.0%

HT/FT Draw/Home15.3%

HT Under 0.514.3%

HT Both Teams Score10.6%

HT Away Win2.3%

HT/FT Draw/Draw2.3%

HT/FT Away/Home1.4%

HT/FT Away/Draw0.6%

HT/FT Home/Draw0.6%

HT/FT Draw/Away0.4%

HT/FT Away/Away0.4%

HT/FT Home/Away0.0%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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