Turkey · Süper Lig

Alanyaspor vs Göztepe

Kick-off 18:00 · Sat, Sep 12

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

80% confidence

Alanyaspor 79.6% Draw 13.1% Göztepe 7.3%

Over 2.5 - 78% BTTS - 60%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

93%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

92%

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

80%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-0 at 8.5%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to Alanyaspor: 11 points versus 5 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.77 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

8.5%

Exact-score model probability

Alanyaspor

W W D L W D

Form 3-2-1 Goals 7:4 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 0.67

Göztepe

L D L W D

Form 1-2-2 Goals 8:12 Scored/game 1.6 Conceded/game 2.4

📈 Probability Breakdown

Alanyaspor win79.6%

Draw13.1%

Göztepe win7.3%

Over 1.5 goals92.3%

Over 2.5 goals77.9%

Over 3.5 goals58.9%

Both teams to score59.7%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home or Draw (1X)

91.6%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)

91.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home

91.6%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)91.6%

Draw No Bet - Home91.0%

Home or Away (12)87.7%

Home Win79.8%

Both Halves Over 0.575.7%

Goal in Both Halves75.7%

Draw or Away (X2)19.7%

Draw11.8%

Draw No Bet - Away9.0%

Away Win7.9%

Exactly 1 Goal6.7%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.9%

Over 1.5 Goals91.2%

Over 2.5 Goals77.4%

Under 5.5 Goals77.0%

Under 4.5 Goals61.0%

Over 3.5 Goals58.5%

4+ Goals58.5%

2-4 Goals52.1%

Total Goals Even49.8%

Total Goals Odd49.7%

Under 3.5 Goals41.5%

1-3 Goals39.3%

Over 4.5 Goals39.0%

3-4 Goals38.4%

2-3 Goals32.6%

Over 5.5 Goals23.0%

Under 2.5 Goals22.6%

1-2 Goals20.4%

Exactly 3 Goals18.9%

Exactly 2 Goals13.7%

Under 1.5 Goals8.8%

Under 0.5 Goals2.1%

Exactly 0 Goals1.6%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score95.2%

Away Team to Score61.4%

Both Teams Score (GG)58.8%

No Both Teams Score (NG)41.2%

Home Clean Sheet38.1%

Home Win to Nil36.5%

Away Clean Sheet4.2%

Away Win to Nil2.6%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.595.2%

Home Over 1.581.9%

Away Over 0.561.4%

Home Over 2.560.8%

Home 3+ Goals60.8%

Away Exactly 038.1%

Away Exactly 136.6%

Away Over 1.524.8%

Home Exactly 221.1%

Away Exactly 217.5%

Home Exactly 113.4%

Away Over 2.57.3%

Away 3+ Goals7.3%

Home Exactly 04.2%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.5%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.4%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.3%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)98.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home98.9%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)97.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home97.0%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)94.2%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)91.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home91.6%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)87.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away87.2%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)79.8%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)75.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away75.2%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)61.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home61.8%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)57.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away57.8%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)41.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home41.7%

Home to win by 3+41.7%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)37.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away37.7%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)24.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home24.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw20.1%

Home to win by 220.1%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)19.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away19.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw18.0%

Home to win by 118.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw17.4%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)12.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home12.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw12.1%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)7.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw7.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw5.5%

Away to win by 15.5%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)5.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home5.2%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)2.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away2.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw1.9%

Away to win by 21.9%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.6%

Away to win by 3+0.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.5%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.566.6%

BTTS & Over 2.553.9%

Home & BTTS43.3%

Home & No BTTS36.5%

No BTTS & Over 2.523.6%

No BTTS & Under 2.517.1%

Home & Under 2.513.2%

Draw & BTTS10.2%

Draw & Under 2.56.5%

Away & Over 2.55.6%

Draw & Over 2.55.3%

Away & BTTS5.3%

BTTS & Under 2.54.9%

Away & No BTTS2.6%

Away & Under 2.52.3%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.584.4%

HT Home Win62.1%

HT/FT Home/Home58.4%

HT Over 1.555.4%

2nd Half More Goals47.8%

HT Under 1.544.6%

1st Half More Goals32.2%

HT Draw26.8%

HT Both Teams Score26.6%

Equal Goals Each Half20.0%

HT/FT Draw/Home18.0%

HT Under 0.515.6%

HT Away Win11.1%

HT/FT Draw/Draw6.0%

HT/FT Away/Away4.3%

HT/FT Away/Home3.9%

HT/FT Draw/Away2.9%

HT/FT Away/Draw2.9%

HT/FT Home/Draw2.9%

HT/FT Home/Away0.8%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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