Turkey · Süper Lig

Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor

Kick-off 18:00 · Fri, Oct 23

📊 Our Prediction

Home +3.5 (Handicap)

70% confidence

Alanyaspor 69.7% Draw 24.7% Kocaelispor 5.6%

Over 2.5 - 30% BTTS - 22%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

94%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Under 3.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

87%

No Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

78%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-0 at 23.8%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to Alanyaspor: 11 points versus 4 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Home +3.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

23.8%

Exact-score model probability

Alanyaspor

W W D L W D

Form 3-2-1 Goals 7:4 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 0.67

Kocaelispor

W L L L D

Form 1-1-3 Goals 3:5 Scored/game 0.6 Conceded/game 1

📈 Probability Breakdown

Alanyaspor win69.7%

Draw24.7%

Kocaelispor win5.6%

Over 1.5 goals57.8%

Over 2.5 goals29.9%

Over 3.5 goals12.7%

Both teams to score21.7%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Draw No Bet - Home

91.6%

Under 3.5 Goals

87.3%

Over 0.5 Goals

85.2%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)93.5%

Draw No Bet - Home91.6%

Home or Away (12)77.1%

Home Win70.7%

Both Halves Over 0.537.5%

Goal in Both Halves37.5%

Draw or Away (X2)29.3%

Exactly 1 Goal28.3%

Draw22.9%

Draw No Bet - Away8.4%

Away Win6.5%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals98.7%

Under 4.5 Goals95.5%

Under 3.5 Goals87.3%

Over 0.5 Goals85.2%

1-3 Goals72.5%

Under 2.5 Goals70.1%

Over 1.5 Goals56.9%

1-2 Goals55.3%

2-4 Goals52.4%

Total Goals Even51.1%

Total Goals Odd48.9%

2-3 Goals44.2%

Under 1.5 Goals43.1%

Over 2.5 Goals29.9%

Exactly 2 Goals27.0%

3-4 Goals25.4%

Exactly 3 Goals17.2%

Under 0.5 Goals14.8%

Exactly 0 Goals14.8%

Over 3.5 Goals12.7%

4+ Goals12.7%

Over 4.5 Goals4.5%

Over 5.5 Goals1.3%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score80.0%

No Both Teams Score (NG)79.3%

Home Clean Sheet74.1%

Home Win to Nil59.3%

Away Team to Score25.9%

Both Teams Score (GG)20.7%

Away Clean Sheet20.0%

Away Win to Nil5.2%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.580.0%

Away Exactly 074.1%

Home Over 1.547.8%

Home Exactly 132.2%

Away Over 0.525.9%

Home Exactly 225.9%

Away Exactly 122.2%

Home Over 2.521.9%

Home 3+ Goals21.9%

Home Exactly 020.0%

Away Over 1.53.7%

Away Exactly 23.3%

Away Over 2.50.4%

Away 3+ Goals0.4%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +3.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home100.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home100.0%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home99.9%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.5%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)99.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home99.1%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.1%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)93.5%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)93.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home93.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away93.5%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)81.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away81.9%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)70.7%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)59.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away59.4%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)40.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home40.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw30.1%

Home to win by 130.1%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)29.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away29.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw22.5%

Home to win by 222.5%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)18.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home18.1%

Home to win by 3+18.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw11.6%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)6.5%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)6.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home6.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw5.6%

Away to win by 15.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw4.6%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.4%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away0.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw0.8%

Away to win by 20.8%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.5%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.1%

Away to win by 3+0.1%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.562.9%

Home & No BTTS59.3%

Home & Under 2.543.0%

Home & Over 2.527.6%

Draw & Under 2.522.0%

No BTTS & Over 2.516.3%

BTTS & Over 2.513.6%

Home & BTTS11.4%

Draw & BTTS8.1%

BTTS & Under 2.57.2%

Away & No BTTS5.2%

Away & Under 2.55.1%

Away & Over 2.51.4%

Away & BTTS1.3%

Draw & Over 2.50.9%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.578.7%

HT Over 0.557.7%

HT Home Win47.0%

HT Draw46.6%

HT/FT Home/Home44.8%

HT Under 0.542.3%

2nd Half More Goals39.3%

Equal Goals Each Half31.5%

1st Half More Goals29.2%

HT/FT Draw/Home24.7%

HT Over 1.521.3%

HT/FT Draw/Draw18.8%

HT Both Teams Score6.5%

HT Away Win6.4%

HT/FT Away/Away3.2%

HT/FT Draw/Away3.1%

HT/FT Away/Draw2.1%

HT/FT Home/Draw2.1%

HT/FT Away/Home1.2%

HT/FT Home/Away0.2%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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