Spain · La Liga

Alaves vs Getafe

Kick-off 18:30 · Sat, Aug 15

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

41% confidence

Alaves 40.8% Draw 32.8% Getafe 26.5%

Over 2.5 - 25% BTTS - 55%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 2.5 Goals

AI verdict (fallback)

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

85%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 0-1 at 13.5%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent form leans to Alaves: 10 points versus 7 across the last 6 matches.

Head-to-head record: Alaves 1 wins, 1 draws, Getafe 3 wins in the last 5 meetings.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

0-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

13.5%

Exact-score model probability

Alaves

L W W D L W

Form 3-1-2 Goals 8:8 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1.33

Getafe

W L W D L L

Form 2-1-3 Goals 4:6 Scored/game 0.67 Conceded/game 1

Head to head · last 5

Alaves 1wins ·1 draws ·Getafe 3wins

Alaves 0-2 GetafeFeb 8, 2026

Alaves 1-1 GetafeSep 24, 2025

Alaves 0-1 GetafeFeb 9, 2025

Alaves 0-2 GetafeSep 28, 2024

Alaves 1-0 GetafeMay 18, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

Alaves win40.8%

Draw32.8%

Getafe win26.5%

Over 1.5 goals51.8%

Over 2.5 goals25.4%

Over 3.5 goals10.0%

Both teams to score55.0%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +1.5 (Handicap)

89.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away

89.5%

Over 0.5 Goals

89.2%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)71.4%

Draw or Away (X2)71.1%

Draw No Bet - Away59.5%

Home or Draw (1X)57.5%

Both Halves Over 0.544.7%

Goal in Both Halves44.7%

Away Win42.5%

Draw No Bet - Home40.5%

Home Win28.9%

Draw28.6%

Exactly 1 Goal24.0%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals97.4%

Under 4.5 Goals92.4%

Over 0.5 Goals89.2%

Under 3.5 Goals81.4%

1-3 Goals70.6%

Over 1.5 Goals65.2%

Under 2.5 Goals61.5%

2-4 Goals57.7%

1-2 Goals50.7%

Total Goals Even50.6%

Total Goals Odd49.4%

2-3 Goals46.6%

Over 2.5 Goals38.5%

Under 1.5 Goals34.8%

3-4 Goals30.9%

Exactly 2 Goals26.7%

Exactly 3 Goals19.9%

Over 3.5 Goals18.6%

4+ Goals18.6%

Under 0.5 Goals10.8%

Exactly 0 Goals10.8%

Over 4.5 Goals7.6%

Over 5.5 Goals2.6%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score71.4%

Home Team to Score62.4%

No Both Teams Score (NG)55.5%

Both Teams Score (GG)44.5%

Away Clean Sheet37.6%

Home Clean Sheet28.6%

Away Win to Nil26.8%

Home Win to Nil17.9%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.571.4%

Home Over 0.562.4%

Home Exactly 037.6%

Home Exactly 136.8%

Away Exactly 135.8%

Away Over 1.535.6%

Away Exactly 028.6%

Home Over 1.525.6%

Away Exactly 222.4%

Home Exactly 218.0%

Away Over 2.513.2%

Away 3+ Goals13.2%

Home Over 2.57.6%

Home 3+ Goals7.6%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.6%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.4%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.2%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)97.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away97.1%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)93.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home93.5%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)89.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away89.5%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)81.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home81.0%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)71.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away71.1%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)57.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home57.5%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)42.5%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)28.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw23.6%

Away to win by 123.6%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)19.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away19.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw18.4%

Home to win by 118.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw12.4%

Away to win by 212.4%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)10.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home10.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw7.6%

Home to win by 27.6%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)6.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away6.5%

Away to win by 3+6.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw4.7%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)2.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home2.9%

Home to win by 3+2.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw2.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.4%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.5%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.3%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.548.3%

BTTS & Over 2.531.4%

Away & No BTTS26.8%

Draw & Under 2.523.9%

Away & Under 2.521.9%

Away & Over 2.520.6%

Home & No BTTS17.9%

Draw & BTTS17.8%

Home & Under 2.515.7%

Away & BTTS15.7%

Home & Over 2.513.2%

BTTS & Under 2.513.2%

Home & BTTS11.1%

No BTTS & Over 2.57.1%

Draw & Over 2.54.6%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.573.5%

HT Over 0.563.3%

HT Draw46.3%

2nd Half More Goals41.2%

HT Under 0.536.7%

HT Away Win31.0%

1st Half More Goals30.1%

Equal Goals Each Half28.7%

HT Over 1.526.5%

HT/FT Away/Away24.8%

HT Home Win22.7%

HT/FT Draw/Draw19.1%

HT/FT Home/Home16.1%

HT/FT Draw/Away15.8%

HT Both Teams Score15.3%

HT/FT Draw/Home11.4%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.7%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.7%

HT/FT Home/Away1.9%

HT/FT Away/Home1.4%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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