Spain · Copa del Rey

Alcoyano vs Mallorca

Kick-off 20:00 · Wed, Oct 28

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

55% confidence

Alcoyano 55.3% Draw 24.3% Mallorca 20.4%

Over 2.5 - 60% BTTS - 60%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

83%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

80%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

60%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 10%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

10%

Exact-score model probability

Alcoyano

No recent results stored yet

Mallorca

W L L D W L

Form 2-1-3 Goals 7:8 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 1.33

📈 Probability Breakdown

Alcoyano win55.3%

Draw24.3%

Mallorca win20.4%

Over 1.5 goals83.1%

Over 2.5 goals60.2%

Over 3.5 goals37.9%

Both teams to score60.0%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

91.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home

91.7%

Under 5.5 Goals

90.4%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)78.3%

Home or Away (12)78.3%

Draw No Bet - Home72.3%

Both Halves Over 0.561.8%

Goal in Both Halves61.8%

Home Win56.6%

Draw or Away (X2)43.4%

Draw No Bet - Away27.7%

Draw21.7%

Away Win21.7%

Exactly 1 Goal13.8%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.5%

Under 5.5 Goals90.4%

Over 1.5 Goals81.7%

Under 4.5 Goals79.5%

Under 3.5 Goals62.1%

2-4 Goals61.3%

Over 2.5 Goals60.2%

1-3 Goals57.7%

Total Goals Even50.1%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

2-3 Goals43.9%

Under 2.5 Goals39.8%

3-4 Goals39.8%

Over 3.5 Goals37.9%

4+ Goals37.9%

1-2 Goals35.3%

Exactly 3 Goals22.4%

Exactly 2 Goals21.5%

Over 4.5 Goals20.5%

Under 1.5 Goals18.3%

Over 5.5 Goals9.6%

Under 0.5 Goals4.5%

Exactly 0 Goals4.4%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score86.1%

Away Team to Score68.1%

Both Teams Score (GG)58.7%

No Both Teams Score (NG)41.3%

Home Clean Sheet31.8%

Home Win to Nil27.4%

Away Clean Sheet13.9%

Away Win to Nil9.5%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.586.1%

Away Over 0.568.1%

Home Over 1.558.6%

Away Exactly 136.4%

Away Exactly 031.8%

Away Over 1.531.7%

Home Over 2.531.6%

Home 3+ Goals31.6%

Home Exactly 127.4%

Home Exactly 227.1%

Away Exactly 220.8%

Home Exactly 013.9%

Away Over 2.510.9%

Away 3+ Goals10.9%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.9%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.4%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.3%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)97.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away97.7%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)97.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home97.5%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)93.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away93.4%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)91.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home91.7%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)83.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away83.7%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)78.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home78.3%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)66.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away66.5%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)56.6%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)43.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away43.4%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)33.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home33.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw23.1%

Home to win by 123.1%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)21.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw17.2%

Home to win by 217.2%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)16.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home16.3%

Home to win by 3+16.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw13.4%

Away to win by 113.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw9.7%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)8.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away8.3%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)6.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home6.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw5.8%

Away to win by 25.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw4.3%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)2.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away2.5%

Away to win by 3+2.5%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)2.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home2.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw1.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.6%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.7%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.5%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.548.7%

Home & Over 2.539.2%

No BTTS & Under 2.529.8%

Home & BTTS29.2%

Home & No BTTS27.4%

Home & Under 2.517.4%

Draw & BTTS17.3%

Draw & Under 2.514.4%

Away & Over 2.513.7%

Away & BTTS12.2%

No BTTS & Over 2.511.6%

BTTS & Under 2.510.0%

Away & No BTTS9.5%

Away & Under 2.58.0%

Draw & Over 2.57.3%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.575.4%

HT Under 1.559.1%

2nd Half More Goals45.0%

HT Home Win42.5%

HT Over 1.540.9%

HT Draw37.2%

HT/FT Home/Home36.1%

1st Half More Goals31.5%

HT Under 0.524.6%

HT Both Teams Score23.7%

Equal Goals Each Half23.5%

HT Away Win20.3%

HT/FT Draw/Home17.2%

HT/FT Away/Away12.2%

HT/FT Draw/Draw12.1%

HT/FT Draw/Away7.9%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.8%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.8%

HT/FT Away/Home3.3%

HT/FT Home/Away1.6%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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