Turkey · Süper Lig

Amed vs Başakşehir

Kick-off 18:00 · Sun, Sep 13

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

78% confidence

Amed 77.6% Draw 13.1% Başakşehir 9.3%

Over 2.5 - 84% BTTS - 69%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

95%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

91%

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

78%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-1 at 7.9%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Başakşehir: 6 points versus 10 across the last 3 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.34 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

7.9%

Exact-score model probability

Amed

W L W

Form 2-0-1 Goals 5:3 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 1

Başakşehir

L W L D W W

Form 3-1-2 Goals 10:7 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 1.17

📈 Probability Breakdown

Amed win77.6%

Draw13.1%

Başakşehir win9.3%

Over 1.5 goals95.0%

Over 2.5 goals83.9%

Over 3.5 goals67.6%

Both teams to score68.9%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home or Draw (1X)

89.4%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)

89.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home

89.4%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)89.4%

Draw No Bet - Home88.8%

Home or Away (12)87.2%

Both Halves Over 0.580.6%

Goal in Both Halves80.6%

Home Win77.5%

Draw or Away (X2)21.7%

Draw11.9%

Draw No Bet - Away11.2%

Away Win9.8%

Exactly 1 Goal4.5%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.2%

Over 1.5 Goals93.7%

Over 2.5 Goals83.2%

Under 5.5 Goals69.0%

Over 3.5 Goals67.0%

4+ Goals67.0%

Under 4.5 Goals51.7%

Total Goals Odd49.6%

Total Goals Even49.6%

Over 4.5 Goals48.3%

2-4 Goals45.4%

3-4 Goals34.9%

Under 3.5 Goals33.0%

1-3 Goals31.2%

Over 5.5 Goals31.0%

2-3 Goals26.7%

Under 2.5 Goals16.8%

Exactly 3 Goals16.2%

1-2 Goals15.0%

Exactly 2 Goals10.5%

Under 1.5 Goals6.3%

Under 0.5 Goals1.8%

Exactly 0 Goals1.0%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score95.8%

Away Team to Score70.2%

Both Teams Score (GG)67.8%

No Both Teams Score (NG)32.2%

Home Clean Sheet29.0%

Home Win to Nil28.0%

Away Clean Sheet3.4%

Away Win to Nil2.4%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.595.8%

Home Over 1.584.4%

Away Over 0.570.2%

Home Over 2.565.1%

Home 3+ Goals65.1%

Away Exactly 135.7%

Away Over 1.534.5%

Away Exactly 029.0%

Away Exactly 221.9%

Home Exactly 219.3%

Away Over 2.512.6%

Away 3+ Goals12.6%

Home Exactly 111.4%

Home Exactly 03.4%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.2%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.1%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)98.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home98.1%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)95.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home95.6%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)93.6%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)89.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home89.4%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)86.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away86.4%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)77.5%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)74.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away74.5%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)60.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home60.3%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)57.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away57.9%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)41.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home41.3%

Home to win by 3+41.3%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)38.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away38.9%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)24.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home24.7%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)21.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away21.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw19.0%

Home to win by 219.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw17.2%

Home to win by 117.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw16.6%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)12.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home12.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw11.9%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)9.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw7.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw6.2%

Away to win by 16.2%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)5.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home5.6%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)3.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away3.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw2.5%

Away to win by 22.5%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)1.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away1.0%

Away to win by 3+1.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.8%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.2%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.568.5%

BTTS & Over 2.563.7%

Home & BTTS49.4%

Home & No BTTS28.0%

No BTTS & Over 2.519.5%

No BTTS & Under 2.511.9%

Draw & BTTS11.0%

Home & Under 2.59.0%

Away & Over 2.57.8%

Away & BTTS7.4%

Draw & Over 2.56.9%

Draw & Under 2.55.1%

BTTS & Under 2.54.1%

Away & No BTTS2.4%

Away & Under 2.51.9%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.587.5%

HT Over 1.561.5%

HT Home Win61.3%

HT/FT Home/Home56.9%

2nd Half More Goals48.9%

HT Under 1.538.5%

HT Both Teams Score33.3%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

HT Draw25.5%

Equal Goals Each Half18.8%

HT/FT Draw/Home16.8%

HT Away Win13.3%

HT Under 0.512.5%

HT/FT Draw/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Away/Away5.4%

HT/FT Away/Home4.6%

HT/FT Draw/Away3.3%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.2%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.2%

HT/FT Home/Away1.1%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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