Turkey · Süper Lig

Amed vs Beşiktaş

Kick-off 18:00 · Sun, Sep 20

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

38% confidence

Amed 34.4% Draw 27.9% Beşiktaş 37.7%

Over 2.5 - 55% BTTS - 60%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 4.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

84%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

72%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

60%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 11.7%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Beşiktaş: 6 points versus 15 across the last 3 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.67 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

11.7%

Exact-score model probability

Amed

W L W

Form 2-0-1 Goals 5:3 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 1

Beşiktaş

W L W W W W

Form 5-0-1 Goals 12:3 Scored/game 2 Conceded/game 0.5

📈 Probability Breakdown

Amed win34.4%

Draw27.9%

Beşiktaş win37.7%

Over 1.5 goals79.6%

Over 2.5 goals54.7%

Over 3.5 goals32.3%

Both teams to score59.5%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Under 4.5 Goals

83.7%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)

83.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away

83.5%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)75.1%

Draw or Away (X2)64.0%

Home or Draw (1X)60.9%

Both Halves Over 0.557.5%

Goal in Both Halves57.5%

Draw No Bet - Away52.1%

Draw No Bet - Home47.9%

Away Win39.1%

Home Win36.0%

Draw24.9%

Exactly 1 Goal16.3%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals94.3%

Under 5.5 Goals92.9%

Under 4.5 Goals83.7%

Over 1.5 Goals78.0%

Under 3.5 Goals67.7%

1-3 Goals62.0%

2-4 Goals61.7%

Over 2.5 Goals54.7%

Total Goals Even50.2%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

2-3 Goals45.7%

Under 2.5 Goals45.3%

1-2 Goals39.6%

3-4 Goals38.4%

Over 3.5 Goals32.3%

4+ Goals32.3%

Exactly 2 Goals23.4%

Exactly 3 Goals22.3%

Under 1.5 Goals22.0%

Over 4.5 Goals16.3%

Over 5.5 Goals7.1%

Under 0.5 Goals5.7%

Exactly 0 Goals5.7%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score77.0%

Home Team to Score75.3%

Both Teams Score (GG)58.0%

No Both Teams Score (NG)42.0%

Away Clean Sheet24.7%

Home Clean Sheet23.0%

Away Win to Nil19.0%

Home Win to Nil17.3%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.577.0%

Home Over 0.575.3%

Away Over 1.543.2%

Home Over 1.540.8%

Home Exactly 134.5%

Away Exactly 133.8%

Away Exactly 224.8%

Home Exactly 024.7%

Home Exactly 224.2%

Away Exactly 023.0%

Away Over 2.518.4%

Away 3+ Goals18.4%

Home Over 2.516.6%

Home 3+ Goals16.6%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.5%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.4%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)98.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away98.2%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)97.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home97.8%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)94.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away94.0%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)92.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home92.9%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)83.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away83.5%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)81.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home81.3%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)64.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away64.0%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)60.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home60.9%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)39.1%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)36.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw20.4%

Away to win by 120.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw19.4%

Home to win by 119.4%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)18.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away18.7%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)16.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home16.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw11.6%

Away to win by 211.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw10.5%

Home to win by 210.5%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)7.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away7.1%

Away to win by 3+7.1%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)6.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home6.0%

Home to win by 3+6.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw4.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw4.2%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)2.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away2.2%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)1.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home1.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.3%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.5%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.4%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.546.3%

No BTTS & Under 2.533.6%

Away & Over 2.524.7%

Home & Over 2.522.5%

Away & BTTS20.1%

Draw & BTTS19.2%

Away & No BTTS19.0%

Home & BTTS18.6%

Draw & Under 2.517.3%

Home & No BTTS17.3%

Away & Under 2.514.5%

Home & Under 2.513.5%

BTTS & Under 2.511.7%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.4%

Draw & Over 2.57.6%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.572.5%

HT Under 1.563.0%

2nd Half More Goals44.1%

HT Draw40.2%

HT Over 1.537.0%

1st Half More Goals31.3%

HT Away Win30.9%

HT Home Win28.9%

HT Under 0.527.5%

Equal Goals Each Half24.6%

HT/FT Away/Away23.3%

HT Both Teams Score22.6%

HT/FT Home/Home21.1%

HT/FT Draw/Draw14.3%

HT/FT Draw/Away13.4%

HT/FT Draw/Home12.5%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.3%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.3%

HT/FT Home/Away2.5%

HT/FT Away/Home2.3%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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