Turkey · Süper Lig

Amed vs Konyaspor

Kick-off 14:00 · Sat, Oct 17

📊 Our Prediction

Home +3.5 (Handicap)

92% confidence

Amed 92.0% Draw 5.8% Konyaspor 2.2%

Over 2.5 - 88% BTTS - 52%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

94%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

92%

Draw No Bet - Home

DNB home — draw refunds stake

92%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 4-0 at 9.1%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to Amed: 6 points versus 0 across the last 3 matches.

Numbers behind this Home +3.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

4-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

9.1%

Exact-score model probability

Amed

W L W

Form 2-0-1 Goals 5:3 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 1

Konyaspor

L L L L

Form 0-0-4 Goals 3:9 Scored/game 0.75 Conceded/game 2.25

📈 Probability Breakdown

Amed win92.0%

Draw5.8%

Konyaspor win2.2%

Over 1.5 goals96.3%

Over 2.5 goals87.7%

Over 3.5 goals73.5%

Both teams to score52.3%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home or Away (12)

91.7%

Home Over 1.5

89.7%

HT Over 0.5

89.7%

Match Result (11)

Draw No Bet - Home97.4%

Home or Draw (1X)94.4%

Home or Away (12)91.7%

Home Win89.3%

Both Halves Over 0.584.2%

Goal in Both Halves84.2%

Draw or Away (X2)7.4%

Draw5.1%

Exactly 1 Goal3.2%

Draw No Bet - Away2.6%

Away Win2.4%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals96.1%

Over 1.5 Goals92.9%

Over 2.5 Goals84.8%

Over 3.5 Goals71.1%

4+ Goals71.1%

Under 5.5 Goals63.7%

Over 4.5 Goals53.8%

Total Goals Even48.5%

Total Goals Odd48.2%

Under 4.5 Goals46.2%

2-4 Goals39.1%

Over 5.5 Goals36.3%

3-4 Goals31.0%

Under 3.5 Goals28.9%

1-3 Goals25.0%

2-3 Goals21.8%

Under 2.5 Goals15.2%

Exactly 3 Goals13.7%

1-2 Goals11.3%

Exactly 2 Goals8.1%

Under 1.5 Goals7.1%

Under 0.5 Goals3.9%

Exactly 0 Goals0.6%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score95.4%

Away Team to Score51.1%

Both Teams Score (GG)50.4%

No Both Teams Score (NG)49.6%

Home Clean Sheet45.7%

Home Win to Nil45.1%

Away Clean Sheet1.3%

Away Win to Nil0.7%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.595.4%

Home Over 1.589.7%

Home Over 2.577.2%

Home 3+ Goals77.2%

Away Over 0.551.1%

Away Exactly 045.7%

Away Exactly 134.3%

Away Over 1.516.8%

Away Exactly 212.9%

Home Exactly 212.5%

Home Exactly 15.8%

Away Over 2.53.9%

Away 3+ Goals3.9%

Home Exactly 01.3%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +3.5 (Handicap)96.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)96.8%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)96.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home96.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home96.8%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)96.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home96.7%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)96.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home96.2%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)94.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home94.4%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)89.3%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)81.2%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)79.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home79.1%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)68.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away68.0%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)63.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home63.6%

Home to win by 3+63.6%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)51.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away51.1%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)45.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home45.7%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)33.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away33.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)28.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home28.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw18.0%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)17.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away17.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw16.9%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)15.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home15.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw15.4%

Home to win by 215.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw13.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw10.3%

Home to win by 110.3%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)7.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away7.4%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)2.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw1.8%

Away to win by 11.8%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away0.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw0.5%

Away to win by 20.5%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.1%

Away to win by 3+0.1%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.580.7%

BTTS & Over 2.548.3%

Home & No BTTS45.1%

Home & BTTS44.3%

No BTTS & Over 2.536.5%

No BTTS & Under 2.59.9%

Home & Under 2.58.6%

Draw & BTTS4.4%

Draw & Under 2.52.7%

Draw & Over 2.52.4%

BTTS & Under 2.52.0%

Away & Over 2.51.7%

Away & BTTS1.7%

Away & Under 2.50.7%

Away & No BTTS0.7%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.589.7%

HT Home Win76.3%

HT/FT Home/Home74.7%

HT Over 1.566.4%

2nd Half More Goals49.7%

HT Under 1.533.6%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Both Teams Score24.5%

HT Draw18.1%

Equal Goals Each Half17.8%

HT/FT Draw/Home14.7%

HT Under 0.510.3%

HT Away Win5.5%

HT/FT Away/Home3.0%

HT/FT Draw/Draw2.5%

HT/FT Away/Draw1.3%

HT/FT Home/Draw1.3%

HT/FT Away/Away1.2%

HT/FT Draw/Away0.9%

HT/FT Home/Away0.2%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

← All predictions