Spain · Copa del Rey

Anaitasuna vs Alaves

Kick-off 19:00 · Wed, Oct 28

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

45% confidence

Anaitasuna 44.7% Draw 28.9% Alaves 26.4%

Over 2.5 - 49% BTTS - 54%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 4.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

88%

▸ Show 1 alternative

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

74%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 12.2%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

12.2%

Exact-score model probability

Anaitasuna

No recent results stored yet

Alaves

D L L D L L

Form 0-2-4 Goals 4:8 Scored/game 0.67 Conceded/game 1.33

📈 Probability Breakdown

Anaitasuna win44.7%

Draw28.9%

Alaves win26.4%

Over 1.5 goals75.2%

Over 2.5 goals48.6%

Over 3.5 goals26.7%

Both teams to score53.8%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +2.5 (Handicap)

90.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away

90.8%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

89.1%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)74.3%

Home or Draw (1X)72.0%

Draw No Bet - Home62.3%

Draw or Away (X2)53.7%

Both Halves Over 0.552.8%

Goal in Both Halves52.8%

Home Win46.3%

Draw No Bet - Away37.7%

Away Win28.0%

Draw25.7%

Exactly 1 Goal19.1%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals95.0%

Over 0.5 Goals92.7%

Under 4.5 Goals87.5%

Over 1.5 Goals73.6%

Under 3.5 Goals73.3%

1-3 Goals65.9%

2-4 Goals61.1%

Under 2.5 Goals51.4%

Total Goals Even50.3%

Total Goals Odd49.7%

Over 2.5 Goals48.6%

2-3 Goals46.8%

1-2 Goals44.1%

3-4 Goals36.1%

Over 3.5 Goals26.7%

4+ Goals26.7%

Under 1.5 Goals26.4%

Exactly 2 Goals25.0%

Exactly 3 Goals21.8%

Over 4.5 Goals12.5%

Under 0.5 Goals7.3%

Exactly 0 Goals7.3%

Over 5.5 Goals5.0%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score77.8%

Away Team to Score67.1%

Both Teams Score (GG)52.2%

No Both Teams Score (NG)47.8%

Home Clean Sheet32.9%

Home Win to Nil25.6%

Away Clean Sheet22.2%

Away Win to Nil14.9%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.577.8%

Away Over 0.567.1%

Home Over 1.544.4%

Away Exactly 136.6%

Home Exactly 133.4%

Away Exactly 032.9%

Away Over 1.530.5%

Home Exactly 225.1%

Home Exactly 022.2%

Away Exactly 220.3%

Home Over 2.519.2%

Home 3+ Goals19.2%

Away Over 2.510.2%

Away 3+ Goals10.2%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.8%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.2%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.2%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)97.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away97.0%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)96.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home96.7%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)90.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away90.8%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)89.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home89.1%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)76.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away76.9%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)72.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home72.0%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)53.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away53.7%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)46.3%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)28.0%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)23.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home23.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw23.1%

Home to win by 123.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw17.1%

Away to win by 117.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw14.0%

Home to win by 214.0%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)10.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away10.9%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)9.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home9.2%

Home to win by 3+9.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw7.6%

Away to win by 27.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw6.2%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)3.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away3.3%

Away to win by 3+3.3%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)3.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home3.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw2.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw2.2%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.8%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.6%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.2%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.540.0%

No BTTS & Under 2.539.2%

Home & Over 2.527.0%

Home & No BTTS25.6%

Home & BTTS20.7%

Draw & Under 2.519.5%

Home & Under 2.519.3%

Draw & BTTS18.4%

Away & Over 2.515.4%

Away & No BTTS14.9%

Away & BTTS13.1%

Away & Under 2.512.6%

BTTS & Under 2.512.2%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.6%

Draw & Over 2.56.2%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.569.2%

HT Under 1.567.1%

2nd Half More Goals43.1%

HT Draw42.2%

HT Home Win34.6%

HT Over 1.532.9%

1st Half More Goals30.9%

HT Under 0.530.8%

HT/FT Home/Home27.9%

Equal Goals Each Half26.0%

HT Away Win23.3%

HT Both Teams Score19.4%

HT/FT Draw/Home15.9%

HT/FT Away/Away15.8%

HT/FT Draw/Draw15.7%

HT/FT Draw/Away10.5%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.0%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.0%

HT/FT Away/Home2.5%

HT/FT Home/Away1.7%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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