UEFA Europa League

Anderlecht vs Hammarby FF

Kick-off 19:30 · Thu, Jul 30

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

40% confidence

Anderlecht 40.2% Draw 22.3% Hammarby FF 37.5%

Over 2.5 - 77% BTTS - 77%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

AI verdict (fallback)

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

91%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 7.3%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

7.3%

Exact-score model probability

Anderlecht

D L W D D L

Form 1-3-2 Goals 9:13 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 2.17

Hammarby FF

Form 0-1-0 Goals 1:1 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1

Head to head · last 1

Anderlecht 0wins ·1 draws ·Hammarby FF 0wins

Anderlecht 1-1 Hammarby FFJul 23, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Anderlecht win40.2%

Draw22.3%

Hammarby FF win37.5%

Over 1.5 goals92.3%

Over 2.5 goals77.2%

Over 3.5 goals58.0%

Both teams to score76.5%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 1.5 Goals

91.3%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)

90.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home

90.4%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)79.5%

Both Halves Over 0.575.0%

Goal in Both Halves75.0%

Home or Draw (1X)61.6%

Draw or Away (X2)58.9%

Draw No Bet - Home51.7%

Draw No Bet - Away48.3%

Home Win41.1%

Away Win38.4%

Draw20.5%

Exactly 1 Goal7.0%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.2%

Over 1.5 Goals91.3%

Under 5.5 Goals77.5%

Over 2.5 Goals77.1%

Under 4.5 Goals61.6%

Over 3.5 Goals58.0%

4+ Goals58.0%

2-4 Goals52.9%

Total Goals Odd50.0%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Under 3.5 Goals42.0%

1-3 Goals40.3%

3-4 Goals38.7%

Over 4.5 Goals38.4%

2-3 Goals33.3%

Under 2.5 Goals22.9%

Over 5.5 Goals22.5%

1-2 Goals21.1%

Exactly 3 Goals19.2%

Exactly 2 Goals14.1%

Under 1.5 Goals8.7%

Under 0.5 Goals1.8%

Exactly 0 Goals1.7%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score87.3%

Away Team to Score86.4%

Both Teams Score (GG)75.5%

No Both Teams Score (NG)24.5%

Home Clean Sheet13.5%

Away Clean Sheet12.6%

Home Win to Nil11.8%

Away Win to Nil10.9%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.587.3%

Away Over 0.586.4%

Home Over 1.561.2%

Away Over 1.559.4%

Home Over 2.534.2%

Home 3+ Goals34.2%

Away Over 2.532.3%

Away 3+ Goals32.3%

Away Exactly 127.1%

Away Exactly 227.1%

Home Exactly 227.0%

Home Exactly 126.1%

Away Exactly 013.5%

Home Exactly 012.6%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.6%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.5%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.7%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.5%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)96.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home96.2%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)95.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away95.6%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)90.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home90.4%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)89.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away89.1%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)79.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home79.0%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)76.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away76.9%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)61.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home61.6%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)58.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away58.9%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)41.1%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)38.4%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)23.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home23.0%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)20.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away20.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw18.1%

Home to win by 118.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw17.4%

Away to win by 117.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw12.2%

Home to win by 212.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw11.4%

Away to win by 211.4%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)10.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home10.8%

Home to win by 3+10.8%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)9.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away9.6%

Away to win by 3+9.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw6.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw5.9%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)4.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home4.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)3.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away3.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw2.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw2.5%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.5%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)1.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away1.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.9%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.4%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.3%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.568.4%

Home & Over 2.533.9%

Away & Over 2.531.6%

Home & BTTS29.2%

Away & BTTS27.5%

Draw & BTTS18.8%

No BTTS & Under 2.515.7%

Home & No BTTS11.8%

Draw & Over 2.511.7%

Away & No BTTS10.9%

Draw & Under 2.58.8%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.7%

Home & Under 2.57.2%

BTTS & Under 2.57.1%

Away & Under 2.56.8%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.584.0%

HT Over 1.554.6%

2nd Half More Goals47.7%

HT Under 1.545.4%

HT Both Teams Score36.0%

HT Home Win34.6%

HT Away Win32.9%

HT Draw32.5%

1st Half More Goals32.2%

HT/FT Home/Home25.5%

HT/FT Away/Away23.7%

Equal Goals Each Half20.1%

HT Under 0.516.0%

HT/FT Draw/Home11.9%

HT/FT Draw/Away11.3%

HT/FT Draw/Draw9.4%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.6%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.6%

HT/FT Away/Home3.6%

HT/FT Home/Away3.5%

🔎 API-Football Model

An independent statistical model, shown for comparison.

Anderlecht win33%

Draw33%

Hammarby FF win33%

AdviceNo predictions available

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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