UEFA Europa League

Anderlecht vs Kairat Almaty

Kick-off 19:30 · Thu, Aug 27

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

62% confidence

Anderlecht 61.7% Draw 22.9% Kairat Almaty 15.4%

Over 2.5 - 58% BTTS - 55%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

85%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

82%

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

62%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-0 at 10.4%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to Anderlecht: 15 points versus 6 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

10.4%

Exact-score model probability

Anderlecht

W L W W W W

Form 5-0-1 Goals 12:5 Scored/game 2 Conceded/game 0.83

Kairat Almaty

L L L W L W

Form 2-0-4 Goals 3:6 Scored/game 0.5 Conceded/game 1

Head to head · last 1

Anderlecht 1wins ·0 draws ·Kairat Almaty 0wins

Anderlecht 3-0 Kairat AlmatyAug 20, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Anderlecht win61.7%

Draw22.9%

Kairat Almaty win15.4%

Over 1.5 goals81.8%

Over 2.5 goals58.3%

Over 3.5 goals35.9%

Both teams to score55.2%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +3.5 (Handicap)

91.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away

91.5%

Under 5.5 Goals

91.3%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)83.3%

Home or Away (12)79.6%

Draw No Bet - Home79.1%

Home Win62.9%

Both Halves Over 0.560.4%

Goal in Both Halves60.4%

Draw or Away (X2)37.0%

Draw No Bet - Away20.9%

Draw20.4%

Away Win16.6%

Exactly 1 Goal14.6%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.1%

Under 5.5 Goals91.3%

Under 4.5 Goals81.1%

Over 1.5 Goals80.5%

Under 3.5 Goals64.1%

2-4 Goals61.5%

1-3 Goals59.2%

Over 2.5 Goals58.3%

Total Goals Even50.1%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

2-3 Goals44.6%

Under 2.5 Goals41.7%

3-4 Goals39.4%

1-2 Goals36.8%

Over 3.5 Goals35.9%

4+ Goals35.9%

Exactly 3 Goals22.4%

Exactly 2 Goals22.2%

Under 1.5 Goals19.5%

Over 4.5 Goals18.9%

Over 5.5 Goals8.7%

Under 0.5 Goals4.9%

Exactly 0 Goals4.8%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score87.4%

Away Team to Score61.7%

Both Teams Score (GG)53.9%

No Both Teams Score (NG)46.1%

Home Clean Sheet38.3%

Home Win to Nil33.4%

Away Clean Sheet12.6%

Away Win to Nil7.8%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.587.4%

Away Over 0.561.7%

Home Over 1.561.2%

Away Exactly 038.3%

Away Exactly 136.7%

Home Over 2.534.2%

Home 3+ Goals34.2%

Home Exactly 227.0%

Home Exactly 126.1%

Away Over 1.524.9%

Away Exactly 217.6%

Home Exactly 012.6%

Away Over 2.57.3%

Away 3+ Goals7.3%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.9%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.7%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.0%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)98.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home98.5%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)96.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away96.9%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)94.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home94.4%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)91.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away91.5%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)83.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home83.3%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)80.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away80.0%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)62.9%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)60.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away60.9%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)39.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home39.1%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)37.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away37.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw23.8%

Home to win by 123.8%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)20.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home20.0%

Home to win by 3+20.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw19.2%

Home to win by 219.2%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)16.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw11.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw11.1%

Away to win by 111.1%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)8.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home8.5%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)5.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away5.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw5.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw4.1%

Away to win by 24.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)3.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home3.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw2.1%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)1.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away1.4%

Away to win by 3+1.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw1.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.9%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.3%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.544.3%

Home & Over 2.542.6%

Home & No BTTS33.4%

No BTTS & Under 2.532.0%

Home & BTTS29.5%

Home & Under 2.520.4%

Draw & BTTS15.6%

Draw & Under 2.514.4%

No BTTS & Over 2.514.0%

Away & Over 2.59.8%

BTTS & Under 2.59.6%

Away & BTTS8.8%

Away & No BTTS7.8%

Away & Under 2.56.9%

Draw & Over 2.56.0%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.574.4%

HT Under 1.560.4%

HT Home Win46.5%

2nd Half More Goals44.7%

HT/FT Home/Home41.0%

HT Over 1.539.6%

HT Draw37.0%

1st Half More Goals31.5%

HT Under 0.525.6%

Equal Goals Each Half23.9%

HT Both Teams Score21.3%

HT/FT Draw/Home18.8%

HT Away Win16.6%

HT/FT Draw/Draw11.9%

HT/FT Away/Away9.1%

HT/FT Draw/Away6.3%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.3%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.3%

HT/FT Away/Home3.2%

HT/FT Home/Away1.2%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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