UEFA Europa League

Anderlecht vs PAOK

Kick-off 19:30 · Thu, Aug 13

📊 Our Prediction

Under 11.5 Corners

56% confidence

Anderlecht 25.8% Draw 17.8% PAOK 56.4%

Over 2.5 - 89% BTTS - 84%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

AI verdict (fallback)

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

88%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-2 at 6%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent form leans to Anderlecht: 13 points versus 6 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.50 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Under 11.5 Corners

Most likely score

2-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

Exact-score model probability

Anderlecht

W W W D L W

Form 4-1-1 Goals 11:9 Scored/game 1.83 Conceded/game 1.5

PAOK

L W W

Form 2-0-1 Goals 5:3 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 1

Head to head · last 1

Anderlecht 1wins ·0 draws ·PAOK 0wins

Anderlecht 1-0 PAOKAug 6, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Anderlecht win25.8%

Draw17.8%

PAOK win56.4%

Over 1.5 goals96.9%

Over 2.5 goals88.7%

Over 3.5 goals75.4%

Both teams to score84.2%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

HT Over 0.5

90.1%

Over 2.5 Goals

88.3%

Home Team to Score

87.6%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.584.8%

Goal in Both Halves84.8%

Home or Away (12)82.8%

Draw or Away (X2)73.4%

Draw No Bet - Away68.3%

Away Win56.6%

Home or Draw (1X)43.0%

Draw No Bet - Home31.7%

Home Win26.2%

Draw16.8%

Exactly 1 Goal3.0%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals99.0%

Over 1.5 Goals96.0%

Over 2.5 Goals88.3%

Over 3.5 Goals75.1%

4+ Goals75.1%

Under 5.5 Goals59.4%

Over 4.5 Goals58.1%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

Total Goals Even49.8%

Under 4.5 Goals41.9%

Over 5.5 Goals40.6%

2-4 Goals37.9%

3-4 Goals30.2%

Under 3.5 Goals24.9%

1-3 Goals23.9%

2-3 Goals20.9%

Exactly 3 Goals13.2%

Under 2.5 Goals11.7%

1-2 Goals10.7%

Exactly 2 Goals7.7%

Under 1.5 Goals4.0%

Under 0.5 Goals1.0%

Exactly 0 Goals0.6%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score94.7%

Home Team to Score87.6%

Both Teams Score (GG)83.3%

No Both Teams Score (NG)16.7%

Away Clean Sheet12.0%

Away Win to Nil11.4%

Home Clean Sheet4.8%

Home Win to Nil4.2%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.594.7%

Home Over 0.587.6%

Away Over 1.580.1%

Home Over 1.562.2%

Away Over 2.558.0%

Away 3+ Goals58.0%

Home Over 2.535.3%

Home 3+ Goals35.3%

Home Exactly 226.9%

Home Exactly 125.4%

Away Exactly 222.1%

Away Exactly 114.6%

Home Exactly 012.0%

Away Exactly 04.8%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.3%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.8%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)97.5%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)97.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away97.2%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)94.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home94.2%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)93.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away93.5%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)87.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home87.6%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)85.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away85.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)76.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home76.5%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)73.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away73.4%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)61.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home61.0%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)56.6%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)43.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home43.0%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)38.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away38.6%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)26.2%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)23.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away23.0%

Away to win by 3+23.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw18.0%

Away to win by 118.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw15.6%

Away to win by 215.6%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)13.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home13.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw12.5%

Home to win by 112.5%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)12.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away12.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw11.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw7.6%

Home to win by 27.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw6.6%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)6.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home6.1%

Home to win by 3+6.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)5.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away5.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw3.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw3.3%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)2.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home2.3%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)2.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away2.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.6%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.6%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.2%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.579.6%

Away & Over 2.552.1%

Away & BTTS45.1%

Home & Over 2.523.7%

Home & BTTS22.0%

Draw & BTTS16.2%

Draw & Over 2.512.5%

Away & No BTTS11.4%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.7%

No BTTS & Under 2.57.5%

Away & Under 2.54.4%

Draw & Under 2.54.3%

Home & No BTTS4.2%

BTTS & Under 2.53.7%

Home & Under 2.52.5%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.590.1%

HT Over 1.567.3%

2nd Half More Goals49.9%

HT Away Win46.3%

HT Both Teams Score45.7%

HT/FT Away/Away38.2%

HT Under 1.532.7%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Draw27.5%

HT Home Win26.2%

Equal Goals Each Half17.7%

HT/FT Home/Home15.8%

HT/FT Draw/Away13.5%

HT Under 0.59.9%

HT/FT Draw/Home7.3%

HT/FT Draw/Draw6.7%

HT/FT Home/Away5.3%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.1%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.1%

HT/FT Away/Home3.1%

Corners (12)

Under 11.5 Corners99.8%

Under 10.5 Corners99.5%

Under 9.5 Corners98.6%

Under 8.5 Corners96.5%

Home Most Corners62.9%

Away Most Corners20.1%

Home Over 4.5 Corners15.1%

Over 8.5 Corners3.5%

Away Over 4.5 Corners2.3%

Over 9.5 Corners1.4%

Over 10.5 Corners0.5%

Over 11.5 Corners0.2%

Cards (9)

Over 2.5 Cards85.3%

Over 3.5 Cards69.8%

Under 5.5 Cards66.0%

Over 4.5 Cards51.5%

Under 4.5 Cards48.5%

Over 5.5 Cards34.0%

Under 3.5 Cards30.2%

Over 0.5 Red Cards19.0%

Under 2.5 Cards14.7%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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