UEFA Europa League

Anderlecht vs Red Bull Salzburg

Kick-off 18:45 · Thu, Nov 5

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

59% confidence

Anderlecht 59.0% Draw 18.5% Red Bull Salzburg 22.5%

Over 2.5 - 84% BTTS - 79%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

95%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

82%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

79%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 7%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Anderlecht: 15 points versus 7 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.67 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

Exact-score model probability

Anderlecht

W W L W W W

Form 5-0-1 Goals 12:4 Scored/game 2 Conceded/game 0.67

Red Bull Salzburg

W D W

Form 2-1-0 Goals 5:3 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 1

📈 Probability Breakdown

Anderlecht win59.0%

Draw18.5%

Red Bull Salzburg win22.5%

Over 1.5 goals95.2%

Over 2.5 goals84.2%

Over 3.5 goals68.2%

Both teams to score79.3%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

88.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home

88.6%

HT Over 0.5

87.7%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)82.6%

Both Halves Over 0.580.9%

Goal in Both Halves80.9%

Home or Draw (1X)76.6%

Draw No Bet - Home72.0%

Home Win59.5%

Draw or Away (X2)40.2%

Draw No Bet - Away28.0%

Away Win23.1%

Draw17.2%

Exactly 1 Goal4.4%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.8%

Over 1.5 Goals94.3%

Over 2.5 Goals84.0%

Over 3.5 Goals68.0%

Under 5.5 Goals68.0%

4+ Goals68.0%

Under 4.5 Goals50.6%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Total Goals Even49.9%

Over 4.5 Goals49.4%

2-4 Goals45.0%

3-4 Goals34.6%

Under 3.5 Goals32.0%

Over 5.5 Goals32.0%

1-3 Goals30.8%

2-3 Goals26.3%

Under 2.5 Goals16.0%

Exactly 3 Goals16.0%

1-2 Goals14.8%

Exactly 2 Goals10.3%

Under 1.5 Goals5.7%

Under 0.5 Goals1.2%

Exactly 0 Goals1.0%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score93.9%

Away Team to Score83.2%

Both Teams Score (GG)78.4%

No Both Teams Score (NG)21.6%

Home Clean Sheet16.5%

Home Win to Nil15.5%

Away Clean Sheet5.8%

Away Win to Nil4.8%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.593.9%

Away Over 0.583.2%

Home Over 1.577.5%

Home Over 2.554.0%

Home 3+ Goals54.0%

Away Over 1.553.6%

Away Exactly 129.7%

Away Over 2.526.9%

Away 3+ Goals26.9%

Away Exactly 226.7%

Home Exactly 223.5%

Home Exactly 116.5%

Away Exactly 016.5%

Home Exactly 05.8%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.6%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.3%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.2%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)97.7%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)95.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home95.2%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)94.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away94.4%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)88.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home88.6%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)87.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away87.6%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)76.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home76.6%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)75.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away75.9%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)59.5%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)59.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away59.3%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)40.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home40.5%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)40.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away40.2%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)23.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home23.8%

Home to win by 3+23.8%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)23.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw19.0%

Home to win by 119.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw16.6%

Home to win by 216.6%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)12.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home12.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw12.0%

Away to win by 112.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw11.7%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)11.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away11.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw6.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw6.6%

Away to win by 26.6%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)5.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home5.3%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)4.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away4.5%

Away to win by 3+4.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw3.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw2.9%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)2.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home2.0%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.3%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.573.5%

Home & Over 2.552.9%

Home & BTTS43.9%

Away & Over 2.519.8%

Away & BTTS18.3%

Draw & BTTS16.2%

Home & No BTTS15.5%

Draw & Over 2.511.3%

No BTTS & Under 2.510.8%

No BTTS & Over 2.510.5%

Home & Under 2.56.6%

Draw & Under 2.55.9%

BTTS & Under 2.54.9%

Away & No BTTS4.8%

Away & Under 2.53.3%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.587.7%

HT Over 1.561.9%

2nd Half More Goals49.0%

HT Home Win47.6%

HT Both Teams Score40.1%

HT/FT Home/Home40.1%

HT Under 1.538.1%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

HT Draw28.9%

HT Away Win23.5%

Equal Goals Each Half18.7%

HT/FT Draw/Home14.7%

HT/FT Away/Away13.7%

HT Under 0.512.3%

HT/FT Draw/Draw7.3%

HT/FT Draw/Away6.9%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.9%

HT/FT Away/Home4.9%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.9%

HT/FT Home/Away2.5%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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