France · Ligue 1

Angers vs Estac Troyes

Kick-off 19:45 · Sat, Sep 19

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

46% confidence

Angers 46.3% Draw 30.7% Estac Troyes 23.0%

Over 2.5 - 60% BTTS - 63%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 3.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

84%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

77%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

63%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 10.8%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Angers: 6 points versus 5 across the last 6 matches.

Head-to-head record: Angers 2 wins, 1 draws, Estac Troyes 1 wins in the last 4 meetings.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

10.8%

Exact-score model probability

Angers

D L W L D D

Form 1-3-2 Goals 6:7 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.17

Estac Troyes

L L W D D L

Form 1-2-3 Goals 6:12 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 2

Head to head · last 4

Angers 2wins ·1 draws ·Estac Troyes 1wins

Angers 2-1 Estac TroyesMay 27, 2023

Angers 1-3 Estac TroyesAug 28, 2022

Angers 2-1 Estac TroyesJan 23, 2022

Angers 1-1 Estac TroyesSep 26, 2021

📈 Probability Breakdown

Angers win46.3%

Draw30.7%

Estac Troyes win23.0%

Over 1.5 goals62.5%

Over 2.5 goals60.4%

Over 3.5 goals15.8%

Both teams to score62.6%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Under 5.5 Goals

90.8%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)

89.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away

89.9%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)76.4%

Home or Draw (1X)68.6%

Both Halves Over 0.561.2%

Goal in Both Halves61.2%

Draw No Bet - Home58.8%

Draw or Away (X2)55.1%

Home Win44.9%

Draw No Bet - Away41.2%

Away Win31.4%

Draw23.6%

Exactly 1 Goal14.2%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.4%

Under 5.5 Goals90.8%

Over 1.5 Goals81.2%

Under 4.5 Goals80.2%

Under 3.5 Goals62.9%

2-4 Goals61.4%

Over 2.5 Goals59.4%

1-3 Goals58.3%

Total Goals Even50.1%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

2-3 Goals44.2%

Under 2.5 Goals40.6%

3-4 Goals39.6%

Over 3.5 Goals37.1%

4+ Goals37.1%

1-2 Goals36.0%

Exactly 3 Goals22.4%

Exactly 2 Goals21.8%

Over 4.5 Goals19.8%

Under 1.5 Goals18.8%

Over 5.5 Goals9.2%

Under 0.5 Goals4.6%

Exactly 0 Goals4.6%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score81.7%

Away Team to Score74.9%

Both Teams Score (GG)61.2%

No Both Teams Score (NG)38.8%

Home Clean Sheet25.1%

Home Win to Nil20.5%

Away Clean Sheet18.3%

Away Win to Nil13.7%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.581.7%

Away Over 0.574.9%

Home Over 1.550.5%

Away Over 1.540.3%

Away Exactly 134.7%

Home Exactly 131.1%

Home Exactly 226.4%

Away Exactly 025.1%

Home Over 2.524.2%

Home 3+ Goals24.2%

Away Exactly 224.0%

Home Exactly 018.3%

Away Over 2.516.3%

Away 3+ Goals16.3%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.7%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.6%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.9%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.5%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)96.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away96.4%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)95.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home95.0%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)89.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away89.9%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)86.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home86.0%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)76.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away76.4%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)68.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home68.6%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)55.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away55.1%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)44.9%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)31.4%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)23.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home23.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw21.3%

Home to win by 121.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw17.4%

Away to win by 117.4%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)14.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away14.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw13.6%

Home to win by 213.6%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)10.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home10.1%

Home to win by 3+10.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw9.0%

Away to win by 29.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw6.5%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)5.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away5.0%

Away to win by 3+5.0%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)3.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw3.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home3.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw2.5%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.5%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.8%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.4%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.3%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.550.4%

Home & Over 2.530.5%

No BTTS & Under 2.529.8%

Home & BTTS24.5%

Away & Over 2.520.7%

Home & No BTTS20.5%

Draw & BTTS19.0%

Away & BTTS17.7%

Draw & Under 2.515.4%

Home & Under 2.514.4%

Away & No BTTS13.7%

Away & Under 2.510.8%

BTTS & Under 2.510.8%

No BTTS & Over 2.59.0%

Draw & Over 2.58.2%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.575.0%

HT Under 1.559.7%

2nd Half More Goals44.8%

HT Over 1.540.3%

HT Draw38.4%

HT Home Win35.0%

1st Half More Goals31.5%

HT/FT Home/Home27.5%

HT Away Win26.6%

HT Under 0.525.0%

HT Both Teams Score24.7%

Equal Goals Each Half23.6%

HT/FT Away/Away18.3%

HT/FT Draw/Home14.5%

HT/FT Draw/Draw13.0%

HT/FT Draw/Away10.8%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.3%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.3%

HT/FT Away/Home2.9%

HT/FT Home/Away2.3%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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