France · Ligue 1

Angers vs Lille

Kick-off 14:00 · Sun, Aug 23

📊 Our Prediction

Away +4.5 (Handicap)

50% confidence

Angers 19.0% Draw 30.9% Lille 50.1%

Over 2.5 - 59% BTTS - 25%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 3.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

86%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

81%

No Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

75%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 0-2 at 19.9%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Lille: 3 points versus 11 across the last 6 matches.

Head-to-head record: Angers 1 wins, 0 draws, Lille 4 wins in the last 5 meetings.

Numbers behind this Away +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

0-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

19.9%

Exact-score model probability

Angers

D D L L D L

Form 0-3-3 Goals 5:11 Scored/game 0.83 Conceded/game 1.83

Lille

L W D W D W

Form 3-2-1 Goals 7:3 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 0.5

Head to head · last 5

Angers 1wins ·0 draws ·Lille 4wins

Angers 0-1 LilleFeb 22, 2026

Angers 0-1 LilleNov 2, 2025

Angers 0-2 LilleApr 27, 2025

Angers 0-2 LilleAug 24, 2024

Angers 1-0 LilleApr 8, 2023

📈 Probability Breakdown

Angers win19.0%

Draw30.9%

Lille win50.1%

Over 1.5 goals59.4%

Over 2.5 goals59.0%

Over 3.5 goals13.7%

Both teams to score25.1%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 0.5 Goals

91.8%

Under 4.5 Goals

89.1%

Away Team to Score

88.9%

Match Result (11)

Draw or Away (X2)96.1%

Draw No Bet - Away95.5%

Home or Away (12)85.4%

Away Win81.5%

Both Halves Over 0.550.5%

Goal in Both Halves50.5%

Exactly 1 Goal20.5%

Home or Draw (1X)18.4%

Draw14.6%

Draw No Bet - Home4.5%

Home Win3.9%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals95.8%

Over 0.5 Goals91.8%

Under 4.5 Goals89.1%

Under 3.5 Goals75.8%

Over 1.5 Goals71.3%

1-3 Goals67.5%

2-4 Goals60.4%

Under 2.5 Goals54.4%

Total Goals Even50.3%

Total Goals Odd49.6%

2-3 Goals47.0%

1-2 Goals46.1%

Over 2.5 Goals45.6%

3-4 Goals34.8%

Under 1.5 Goals28.7%

Exactly 2 Goals25.6%

Over 3.5 Goals24.2%

4+ Goals24.2%

Exactly 3 Goals21.4%

Over 4.5 Goals10.9%

Under 0.5 Goals8.2%

Exactly 0 Goals8.2%

Over 5.5 Goals4.2%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score88.9%

No Both Teams Score (NG)77.0%

Away Clean Sheet74.0%

Away Win to Nil65.9%

Home Team to Score25.9%

Both Teams Score (GG)23.0%

Home Clean Sheet11.1%

Home Win to Nil2.9%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.588.9%

Home Exactly 074.0%

Away Over 1.564.5%

Away Over 2.537.7%

Away 3+ Goals37.7%

Away Exactly 226.8%

Home Over 0.525.9%

Away Exactly 124.4%

Home Exactly 122.2%

Away Exactly 011.1%

Home Over 1.53.7%

Home Exactly 23.3%

Home Over 2.50.4%

Home 3+ Goals0.4%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +4.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away100.0%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away99.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.9%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)99.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away99.4%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.0%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)96.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away96.1%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)94.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home94.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)84.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home84.9%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)81.5%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)67.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home67.7%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)56.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away56.8%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)43.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home43.1%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)32.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away32.2%

Away to win by 3+32.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw24.7%

Away to win by 124.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw24.6%

Away to win by 224.6%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)18.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home18.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw17.2%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)15.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away15.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw9.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)5.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away5.9%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)3.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw3.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw3.4%

Home to win by 13.4%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)2.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away2.0%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home0.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw0.5%

Home to win by 20.5%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.0%

Home to win by 3+0.0%

Combos (15)

Away & No BTTS65.9%

No BTTS & Under 2.548.9%

Away & Over 2.543.6%

Away & Under 2.537.9%

No BTTS & Over 2.528.0%

BTTS & Over 2.517.6%

Away & BTTS15.7%

Draw & Under 2.513.6%

Draw & BTTS6.4%

BTTS & Under 2.55.4%

Home & No BTTS2.9%

Home & Under 2.52.8%

Home & Over 2.51.0%

Draw & Over 2.51.0%

Home & BTTS1.0%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.569.0%

HT Over 0.567.6%

HT Away Win58.1%

HT/FT Away/Away56.3%

2nd Half More Goals42.6%

HT Draw36.9%

HT Under 0.532.4%

HT Over 1.531.0%

1st Half More Goals30.7%

Equal Goals Each Half26.7%

HT/FT Draw/Away23.8%

HT/FT Draw/Draw11.3%

HT Both Teams Score7.9%

HT Home Win5.0%

HT/FT Home/Home1.9%

HT/FT Draw/Home1.8%

HT/FT Away/Draw1.6%

HT/FT Home/Draw1.6%

HT/FT Home/Away1.5%

HT/FT Away/Home0.1%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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