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France · Ligue 1

Angers vs Lorient

Kick-off 17:15 · Sun, Oct 25
📊 Our Prediction
Away +4.5 (Handicap)
42% confidence
Angers 28.0% Draw 29.7% Lorient 42.3%
Over 2.5 - 79% BTTS - 67%
🎯 Best Pick
Under 3.5 Goals
Goal-line projection
🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree
82%
▸ Show 2 alternatives
Draw or Away (X2)
Double chance from Poisson
72%
Both Teams Score
BTTS Poisson estimate
67%
🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news
Why this pick was selected
The score forecast is led by 1-2 at 9.9%, based on the goal model.
Goal-line projection
Recent form leans to Lorient: 7 points versus 10 across the last 6 matches.
Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.67 goals scored per match.
Numbers behind this Away +4.5 (Handicap)
Most likely score
1-2
Top Poisson scoreline
Scoreline probability
9.9%
Exact-score model probability
Angers
L L W D L W
Form 2-1-3 Goals 9:13 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 2.17
Lorient
W W L D W L
Form 3-1-2 Goals 7:6 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 1
Head to head · last 5
Angers 1wins ·2 draws ·Lorient 2wins
Angers 0-2 LorientFeb 15, 2026
Angers 2-0 LorientOct 26, 2025
Angers 0-0 LorientFeb 5, 2023
Angers 1-2 LorientJan 1, 2023
Angers 0-0 LorientJan 16, 2022

📈 Probability Breakdown

Angers win28.0%
Draw29.7%
Lorient win42.3%
Over 1.5 goals65.7%
Over 2.5 goals78.6%
Over 3.5 goals18.5%
Both teams to score67.4%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +3.5 (Handicap)
90.8%
European Handicap 4:0 - Home
90.8%
Under 5.5 Goals
89.7%
Match Result (11)
Draw or Away (X2)83.0%
Home or Away (12)80.1%
Draw No Bet - Away78.9%
Away Win63.2%
Both Halves Over 0.562.8%
Goal in Both Halves62.8%
Home or Draw (1X)36.7%
Draw No Bet - Home21.1%
Draw19.8%
Home Win16.9%
Exactly 1 Goal13.2%
Goals Over/Under (23)
Over 0.5 Goals95.8%
Under 5.5 Goals89.7%
Over 1.5 Goals82.6%
Under 4.5 Goals78.5%
Over 2.5 Goals61.5%
2-4 Goals61.0%
Under 3.5 Goals60.8%
1-3 Goals56.6%
Total Goals Even50.1%
Total Goals Odd49.9%
2-3 Goals43.3%
3-4 Goals40.0%
Over 3.5 Goals39.2%
4+ Goals39.2%
Under 2.5 Goals38.5%
1-2 Goals34.3%
Exactly 3 Goals22.3%
Over 4.5 Goals21.5%
Exactly 2 Goals21.0%
Under 1.5 Goals17.4%
Over 5.5 Goals10.3%
Under 0.5 Goals4.2%
Exactly 0 Goals4.2%
BTTS & Defence (8)
Away Team to Score88.4%
Home Team to Score64.0%
Both Teams Score (GG)56.6%
No Both Teams Score (NG)43.4%
Away Clean Sheet36.0%
Away Win to Nil31.8%
Home Clean Sheet11.6%
Home Win to Nil7.4%
Team Goals (14)
Away Over 0.588.4%
Home Over 0.564.0%
Away Over 1.563.4%
Home Exactly 136.8%
Away Over 2.536.5%
Away 3+ Goals36.5%
Home Exactly 036.0%
Home Over 1.527.2%
Away Exactly 226.9%
Away Exactly 125.0%
Home Exactly 218.8%
Away Exactly 011.6%
Home Over 2.58.4%
Home 3+ Goals8.4%
Handicap & Margin (60)
Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%
Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%
European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.9%
Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.6%
European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.6%
Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.9%
Away +2.5 (Handicap)98.4%
European Handicap 0:3 - Away98.4%
Home +4.5 (Handicap)96.6%
European Handicap 5:0 - Home96.6%
Away +1.5 (Handicap)94.1%
European Handicap 0:2 - Away94.1%
Home +3.5 (Handicap)90.8%
European Handicap 4:0 - Home90.8%
Away +0.5 (Handicap)83.0%
European Handicap 0:1 - Away83.0%
Home +2.5 (Handicap)79.1%
European Handicap 3:0 - Home79.1%
Away -0.5 (Handicap)63.2%
Home +1.5 (Handicap)60.0%
European Handicap 2:0 - Home60.0%
Away -1.5 (Handicap)40.0%
European Handicap 1:0 - Away40.0%
Home +0.5 (Handicap)36.7%
European Handicap 1:0 - Home36.7%
European Handicap 1:0 - Draw23.3%
Away to win by 123.3%
Away -2.5 (Handicap)20.9%
European Handicap 2:0 - Away20.9%
Away to win by 3+20.9%
European Handicap 2:0 - Draw19.1%
Away to win by 219.1%
Home -0.5 (Handicap)16.9%
European Handicap 3:0 - Draw11.8%
European Handicap 0:1 - Draw11.0%
Home to win by 111.0%
Away -3.5 (Handicap)9.1%
European Handicap 3:0 - Away9.1%
Home -1.5 (Handicap)5.9%
European Handicap 0:1 - Home5.9%
European Handicap 4:0 - Draw5.7%
European Handicap 0:2 - Draw4.3%
Home to win by 24.3%
Away -4.5 (Handicap)3.4%
European Handicap 4:0 - Away3.4%
European Handicap 5:0 - Draw2.3%
Home -2.5 (Handicap)1.6%
European Handicap 0:2 - Home1.6%
Home to win by 3+1.6%
European Handicap 0:3 - Draw1.3%
Away -5.5 (Handicap)1.1%
European Handicap 5:0 - Away1.1%
Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.4%
European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.4%
European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.3%
Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%
European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.1%
European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.1%
Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%
European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%
Combos (15)
BTTS & Over 2.547.4%
Away & Over 2.544.6%
Away & No BTTS31.8%
Away & BTTS31.4%
No BTTS & Under 2.529.3%
Away & Under 2.518.7%
Draw & BTTS15.7%
No BTTS & Over 2.514.1%
Draw & Under 2.513.3%
Home & Over 2.510.5%
Home & BTTS9.5%
BTTS & Under 2.59.2%
Home & No BTTS7.4%
Draw & Over 2.56.5%
Home & Under 2.56.4%
Half-Time & HT/FT (20)
HT Over 0.576.1%
HT Under 1.558.1%
HT Away Win47.1%
2nd Half More Goals45.2%
HT Over 1.541.9%
HT/FT Away/Away41.5%
HT Draw35.8%
1st Half More Goals31.6%
HT Under 0.523.9%
Equal Goals Each Half23.2%
HT Both Teams Score22.9%
HT/FT Draw/Away18.4%
HT Home Win17.1%
HT/FT Draw/Draw11.1%
HT/FT Home/Home9.3%
HT/FT Draw/Home6.3%
HT/FT Away/Draw4.3%
HT/FT Home/Draw4.3%
HT/FT Home/Away3.4%
HT/FT Away/Home1.3%
How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.
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