France · Ligue 1

Angers vs Marseille

Kick-off 14:00 · Sun, Oct 18

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

53% confidence

Angers 21.2% Draw 25.8% Marseille 53.0%

Over 2.5 - 54% BTTS - 58%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 4.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

84%

▸ Show 1 alternative

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

79%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 10%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Angers: 7 points versus 6 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.67 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

10%

Exact-score model probability

Angers

L W D L W L

Form 2-1-3 Goals 7:10 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 1.67

Marseille

W L L L L W

Form 2-0-4 Goals 9:8 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.33

Head to head · last 5

Angers 0wins ·2 draws ·Marseille 3wins

Angers 2-5 MarseilleJan 17, 2026

Angers 2-2 MarseilleOct 29, 2025

Angers 0-2 MarseilleFeb 9, 2025

Angers 1-1 MarseilleOct 4, 2024

Angers 1-3 MarseilleMay 14, 2023

📈 Probability Breakdown

Angers win21.2%

Draw25.8%

Marseille win53.0%

Over 1.5 goals73.6%

Over 2.5 goals54.1%

Over 3.5 goals26.1%

Both teams to score58.4%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +1.5 (Handicap)

91.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away

91.3%

Under 5.5 Goals

90.2%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)78.2%

Draw or Away (X2)77.6%

Draw No Bet - Away71.4%

Both Halves Over 0.562.1%

Goal in Both Halves62.1%

Away Win55.8%

Home or Draw (1X)44.2%

Draw No Bet - Home28.6%

Home Win22.4%

Draw21.8%

Exactly 1 Goal13.7%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.6%

Under 5.5 Goals90.2%

Over 1.5 Goals82.0%

Under 4.5 Goals79.3%

Under 3.5 Goals61.8%

2-4 Goals61.2%

Over 2.5 Goals60.6%

1-3 Goals57.4%

Total Goals Even50.1%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

2-3 Goals43.7%

3-4 Goals39.8%

Under 2.5 Goals39.4%

Over 3.5 Goals38.2%

4+ Goals38.2%

1-2 Goals35.1%

Exactly 3 Goals22.3%

Exactly 2 Goals21.4%

Over 4.5 Goals20.7%

Under 1.5 Goals18.0%

Over 5.5 Goals9.8%

Under 0.5 Goals4.4%

Exactly 0 Goals4.4%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score85.9%

Home Team to Score68.9%

Both Teams Score (GG)59.2%

No Both Teams Score (NG)40.8%

Away Clean Sheet31.1%

Away Win to Nil26.7%

Home Clean Sheet14.0%

Home Win to Nil9.7%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.585.9%

Home Over 0.568.9%

Away Over 1.558.4%

Home Exactly 136.3%

Home Over 1.532.6%

Away Over 2.531.3%

Away 3+ Goals31.3%

Home Exactly 031.1%

Away Exactly 127.6%

Away Exactly 227.1%

Home Exactly 221.2%

Away Exactly 014.0%

Home Over 2.511.4%

Home 3+ Goals11.4%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.8%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.4%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.3%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)97.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home97.8%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)97.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away97.3%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)93.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home93.6%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)91.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away91.3%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)84.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home84.1%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)77.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away77.6%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)67.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home67.1%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)55.8%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)44.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home44.2%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)32.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away32.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw23.0%

Away to win by 123.0%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)22.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw17.0%

Away to win by 217.0%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)15.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away15.8%

Away to win by 3+15.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw13.7%

Home to win by 113.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw9.5%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)8.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home8.7%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)6.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away6.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw6.0%

Home to win by 26.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw4.2%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)2.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home2.7%

Home to win by 3+2.7%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)2.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away2.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw2.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw1.5%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.7%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.5%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.549.2%

Away & Over 2.538.8%

No BTTS & Under 2.529.4%

Away & BTTS29.1%

Away & No BTTS26.7%

Draw & BTTS17.5%

Away & Under 2.517.0%

Draw & Under 2.514.4%

Home & Over 2.514.3%

Home & BTTS12.7%

No BTTS & Over 2.511.3%

BTTS & Under 2.510.0%

Home & No BTTS9.7%

Home & Under 2.58.1%

Draw & Over 2.57.4%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.575.6%

HT Under 1.558.9%

2nd Half More Goals45.0%

HT Away Win42.1%

HT Over 1.541.1%

HT Draw37.2%

HT/FT Away/Away35.5%

1st Half More Goals31.6%

HT Under 0.524.4%

HT Both Teams Score24.0%

Equal Goals Each Half23.4%

HT Home Win20.8%

HT/FT Draw/Away17.0%

HT/FT Home/Home12.6%

HT/FT Draw/Draw12.1%

HT/FT Draw/Home8.1%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.9%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.9%

HT/FT Home/Away3.3%

HT/FT Away/Home1.7%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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