Belgium · Jupiler Pro League

Antwerp vs Charleroi

Kick-off 15:00 · Sat, Oct 24

📊 Our Prediction

Away +3.5 (Handicap)

39% confidence

Antwerp 38.9% Draw 31.7% Charleroi 29.4%

Over 2.5 - 55% BTTS - 34%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 4.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

84%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

71%

No Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

66%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 0-2 at 15.9%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Charleroi: 11 points versus 13 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.66 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +3.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

0-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

15.9%

Exact-score model probability

Antwerp

D L W W W D

Form 3-2-1 Goals 8:5 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 0.83

Charleroi

W W W D L W

Form 4-1-1 Goals 8:3 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 0.5

Head to head · last 5

Antwerp 0wins ·1 draws ·Charleroi 4wins

Antwerp 0-1 CharleroiMay 10, 2026

Antwerp 1-2 CharleroiApr 10, 2026

Antwerp 0-2 CharleroiJan 25, 2026

Antwerp 1-1 CharleroiAug 17, 2025

Antwerp 1-2 CharleroiMay 29, 2025

📈 Probability Breakdown

Antwerp win38.9%

Draw31.7%

Charleroi win29.4%

Over 1.5 goals65.6%

Over 2.5 goals54.9%

Over 3.5 goals17.9%

Both teams to score33.6%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Draw No Bet - Away

91.4%

Away Team to Score

89.1%

Away Over 0.5

89.1%

Match Result (11)

Draw or Away (X2)92.7%

Draw No Bet - Away91.4%

Home or Away (12)83.6%

Away Win76.4%

Both Halves Over 0.555.3%

Goal in Both Halves55.3%

Home or Draw (1X)23.5%

Exactly 1 Goal17.6%

Draw16.3%

Draw No Bet - Home8.6%

Home Win7.2%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals94.0%

Over 0.5 Goals93.5%

Under 4.5 Goals85.6%

Over 1.5 Goals75.9%

Under 3.5 Goals70.4%

1-3 Goals63.9%

2-4 Goals61.6%

Over 2.5 Goals51.8%

Total Goals Even50.2%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

Under 2.5 Goals48.2%

2-3 Goals46.3%

1-2 Goals41.8%

3-4 Goals37.4%

Over 3.5 Goals29.6%

4+ Goals29.6%

Exactly 2 Goals24.2%

Under 1.5 Goals24.1%

Exactly 3 Goals22.2%

Over 4.5 Goals14.4%

Under 0.5 Goals6.5%

Exactly 0 Goals6.4%

Over 5.5 Goals6.0%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score89.1%

No Both Teams Score (NG)63.7%

Away Clean Sheet59.2%

Away Win to Nil52.8%

Home Team to Score40.7%

Both Teams Score (GG)36.3%

Home Clean Sheet10.8%

Home Win to Nil4.4%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.589.1%

Away Over 1.565.1%

Home Exactly 059.2%

Home Over 0.540.7%

Away Over 2.538.3%

Away 3+ Goals38.3%

Home Exactly 131.0%

Away Exactly 226.8%

Away Exactly 124.0%

Away Exactly 010.8%

Home Over 1.59.7%

Home Exactly 28.1%

Home Over 2.51.6%

Home 3+ Goals1.6%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.9%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)99.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away99.7%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)98.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away98.4%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.2%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)94.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home94.7%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)92.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away92.7%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)86.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home86.4%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)76.4%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)70.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home70.8%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)52.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away52.1%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)47.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home47.9%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)29.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away29.1%

Away to win by 3+29.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw24.3%

Away to win by 124.3%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)23.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home23.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw23.0%

Away to win by 223.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw15.6%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)13.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away13.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw8.2%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)7.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw5.7%

Home to win by 15.7%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)5.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away5.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw3.5%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)1.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away1.8%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)1.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home1.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw1.3%

Home to win by 21.3%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home0.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw0.2%

Home to win by 3+0.2%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.0%

Combos (15)

Away & No BTTS52.8%

Away & Over 2.546.3%

No BTTS & Under 2.540.7%

Away & Under 2.530.1%

BTTS & Over 2.528.9%

Away & BTTS23.6%

No BTTS & Over 2.522.9%

Draw & Under 2.513.9%

Draw & BTTS9.9%

BTTS & Under 2.57.5%

Home & No BTTS4.4%

Home & Under 2.54.2%

Home & Over 2.53.0%

Home & BTTS2.8%

Draw & Over 2.52.5%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.571.0%

HT Under 1.564.9%

HT Away Win55.1%

HT/FT Away/Away52.1%

2nd Half More Goals43.6%

HT Draw36.3%

HT Over 1.535.1%

1st Half More Goals31.1%

HT Under 0.529.0%

Equal Goals Each Half25.3%

HT/FT Draw/Away22.1%

HT Both Teams Score13.3%

HT/FT Draw/Draw11.1%

HT Home Win8.6%

HT/FT Home/Home3.7%

HT/FT Draw/Home3.1%

HT/FT Away/Draw2.6%

HT/FT Home/Draw2.6%

HT/FT Home/Away2.3%

HT/FT Away/Home0.4%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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