Belgium · Jupiler Pro League

Antwerp vs Genk

Kick-off 19:45 · Sat, Aug 22

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

37% confidence

Antwerp 37.4% Draw 30.4% Genk 32.2%

Over 2.5 - 40% BTTS - 48%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 2.5 Goals

AI verdict (fallback)

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

83%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-0 at 14.2%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent form leans to Antwerp: 10 points versus 9 across the last 6 matches.

Head-to-head record: Antwerp 2 wins, 2 draws, Genk 1 wins in the last 5 meetings.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

14.2%

Exact-score model probability

Antwerp

W W W D L L

Form 3-1-2 Goals 7:5 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 0.83

Genk

W L D W D D

Form 2-3-1 Goals 6:4 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 0.67

Head to head · last 5

Antwerp 2wins ·2 draws ·Genk 1wins

Antwerp 0-0 GenkMay 19, 2026

Antwerp 1-2 GenkApr 3, 2026

Antwerp 3-0 GenkDec 7, 2025

Antwerp 1-1 GenkAug 3, 2025

Antwerp 1-0 GenkApr 27, 2025

📈 Probability Breakdown

Antwerp win37.4%

Draw30.4%

Genk win32.2%

Over 1.5 goals70.2%

Over 2.5 goals40.1%

Over 3.5 goals21.8%

Both teams to score48.0%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

89.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home

89.9%

Over 0.5 Goals

88.1%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)71.4%

Home or Away (12)70.6%

Draw No Bet - Home59.5%

Draw or Away (X2)58.0%

Both Halves Over 0.542.5%

Goal in Both Halves42.5%

Home Win42.0%

Draw No Bet - Away40.5%

Draw29.4%

Away Win28.6%

Exactly 1 Goal25.3%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals97.8%

Under 4.5 Goals93.5%

Over 0.5 Goals88.1%

Under 3.5 Goals83.3%

1-3 Goals71.4%

Under 2.5 Goals64.2%

Over 1.5 Goals62.8%

2-4 Goals56.3%

1-2 Goals52.3%

Total Goals Even50.7%

Total Goals Odd49.3%

2-3 Goals46.1%

Under 1.5 Goals37.2%

Over 2.5 Goals35.8%

3-4 Goals29.3%

Exactly 2 Goals27.0%

Exactly 3 Goals19.1%

Over 3.5 Goals16.7%

4+ Goals16.7%

Under 0.5 Goals11.9%

Exactly 0 Goals11.9%

Over 4.5 Goals6.5%

Over 5.5 Goals2.2%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score69.8%

Away Team to Score60.7%

No Both Teams Score (NG)57.7%

Both Teams Score (GG)42.3%

Home Clean Sheet39.3%

Away Clean Sheet30.2%

Home Win to Nil27.5%

Away Win to Nil18.3%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.569.8%

Away Over 0.560.7%

Away Exactly 039.3%

Away Exactly 136.7%

Home Exactly 136.2%

Home Over 1.533.6%

Home Exactly 030.2%

Away Over 1.524.0%

Home Exactly 221.6%

Away Exactly 217.1%

Home Over 2.512.0%

Home 3+ Goals12.0%

Away Over 2.56.8%

Away 3+ Goals6.8%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.9%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.6%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.4%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)98.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away98.4%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)97.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home97.3%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)93.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away93.9%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)89.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home89.9%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)81.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away81.8%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)71.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home71.4%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)58.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away58.0%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)42.0%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)28.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw23.8%

Home to win by 123.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw18.5%

Away to win by 118.5%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)18.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home18.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw12.2%

Home to win by 212.2%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)10.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away10.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw7.4%

Away to win by 27.4%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)6.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home6.1%

Home to win by 3+6.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw4.5%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)2.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away2.7%

Away to win by 3+2.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw2.1%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)1.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home1.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.5%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.3%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.550.9%

BTTS & Over 2.529.1%

Home & No BTTS27.5%

Draw & Under 2.525.2%

Home & Under 2.522.7%

Home & Over 2.519.3%

Away & No BTTS18.3%

Draw & BTTS17.5%

Away & Under 2.516.3%

Home & BTTS14.6%

BTTS & Under 2.513.3%

Away & Over 2.512.3%

Away & BTTS10.3%

No BTTS & Over 2.56.8%

Draw & Over 2.54.2%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.575.1%

HT Over 0.561.7%

HT Draw47.5%

2nd Half More Goals40.7%

HT Under 0.538.3%

HT Home Win30.3%

1st Half More Goals29.8%

Equal Goals Each Half29.5%

HT Over 1.524.9%

HT/FT Home/Home24.4%

HT Away Win22.2%

HT/FT Draw/Draw20.1%

HT/FT Draw/Home15.9%

HT/FT Away/Away15.8%

HT Both Teams Score14.3%

HT/FT Draw/Away11.5%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.6%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.6%

HT/FT Away/Home1.8%

HT/FT Home/Away1.3%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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