Belgium · Jupiler Pro League

Antwerp vs St. Truiden

Kick-off 15:00 · Sun, Aug 30

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

40% confidence

Antwerp 40.1% Draw 29.6% St. Truiden 30.3%

Over 2.5 - 90% BTTS - 87%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

90%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

87%

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

70%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 7.2%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Antwerp: 10 points versus 9 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.84 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

7.2%

Exact-score model probability

Antwerp

W W W D L L

Form 3-1-2 Goals 7:5 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 0.83

St. Truiden

W D D W L D

Form 2-3-1 Goals 10:8 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 1.33

Head to head · last 5

Antwerp 3wins ·1 draws ·St. Truiden 1wins

Antwerp 1-0 St. TruidenFeb 28, 2026

Antwerp 0-1 St. TruidenNov 2, 2025

Antwerp 1-1 St. TruidenJan 24, 2025

Antwerp 6-1 St. TruidenAug 11, 2024

Antwerp 3-0 St. TruidenMar 3, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

Antwerp win40.1%

Draw29.6%

St. Truiden win30.3%

Over 1.5 goals71.4%

Over 2.5 goals89.9%

Over 3.5 goals23.1%

Both teams to score86.8%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home Team to Score

91.2%

Home Over 0.5

91.2%

HT Over 0.5

86.1%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)80.7%

Both Halves Over 0.578.4%

Goal in Both Halves78.4%

Home or Draw (1X)68.9%

Draw No Bet - Home61.7%

Draw or Away (X2)50.1%

Home Win49.8%

Draw No Bet - Away38.3%

Away Win30.9%

Draw19.2%

Exactly 1 Goal5.5%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.6%

Over 1.5 Goals93.2%

Over 2.5 Goals81.2%

Under 5.5 Goals72.4%

Over 3.5 Goals63.6%

4+ Goals63.6%

Under 4.5 Goals55.6%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Total Goals Even49.9%

2-4 Goals48.7%

Over 4.5 Goals44.4%

3-4 Goals36.7%

Under 3.5 Goals36.4%

1-3 Goals35.0%

2-3 Goals29.5%

Over 5.5 Goals27.6%

Under 2.5 Goals18.8%

Exactly 3 Goals17.5%

1-2 Goals17.5%

Exactly 2 Goals12.0%

Under 1.5 Goals6.8%

Under 0.5 Goals1.4%

Exactly 0 Goals1.2%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score91.2%

Away Team to Score85.4%

Both Teams Score (GG)78.1%

No Both Teams Score (NG)21.9%

Home Clean Sheet14.4%

Home Win to Nil13.2%

Away Clean Sheet8.6%

Away Win to Nil7.4%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.591.2%

Away Over 0.585.4%

Home Over 1.570.1%

Away Over 1.557.5%

Home Over 2.544.2%

Home 3+ Goals44.2%

Away Over 2.530.5%

Away 3+ Goals30.5%

Away Exactly 127.9%

Away Exactly 227.0%

Home Exactly 225.9%

Home Exactly 121.2%

Away Exactly 014.4%

Home Exactly 08.6%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.7%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.1%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.9%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)97.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home97.3%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)97.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away97.0%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)92.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home92.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)92.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away92.5%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)83.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home83.9%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)83.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away83.5%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)69.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away69.0%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)68.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home68.9%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)50.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away50.1%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)49.8%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)30.9%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)30.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home30.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw18.9%

Home to win by 118.9%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)16.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home16.3%

Home to win by 3+16.3%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)16.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away16.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw14.9%

Away to win by 114.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw14.5%

Home to win by 214.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw9.1%

Away to win by 29.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw8.9%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)7.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home7.4%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)7.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away7.0%

Away to win by 3+7.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw4.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw4.4%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)2.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home2.9%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)2.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away2.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.8%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)1.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home1.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.6%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.2%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.572.1%

Home & Over 2.543.0%

Home & BTTS36.6%

Away & Over 2.526.2%

Away & BTTS23.6%

Draw & BTTS17.9%

Home & No BTTS13.2%

No BTTS & Under 2.512.8%

Draw & Over 2.512.0%

No BTTS & Over 2.59.0%

Away & No BTTS7.4%

Draw & Under 2.57.2%

Home & Under 2.56.8%

BTTS & Under 2.55.9%

Away & Under 2.54.8%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.586.1%

HT Over 1.558.6%

2nd Half More Goals48.4%

HT Under 1.541.4%

HT Home Win40.7%

HT Both Teams Score38.8%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

HT/FT Home/Home32.2%

HT Draw30.8%

HT Away Win28.5%

Equal Goals Each Half19.3%

HT/FT Away/Away18.7%

HT Under 0.513.9%

HT/FT Draw/Home13.3%

HT/FT Draw/Away9.1%

HT/FT Draw/Draw8.4%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Away/Home4.4%

HT/FT Home/Away3.1%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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