Belgium · Jupiler Pro League

Antwerp vs Union St. Gilloise

Kick-off 12:30 · Sun, Sep 20

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

53% confidence

Antwerp 17.6% Draw 29.7% Union St. Gilloise 52.7%

Over 2.5 - 95% BTTS - 89%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

95%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

89%

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

82%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-3 at 6.2%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Antwerp: 10 points versus 9 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.83 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-3

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

6.2%

Exact-score model probability

Antwerp

L W W W D L

Form 3-1-2 Goals 8:8 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1.33

Union St. Gilloise

D L W D W D

Form 2-3-1 Goals 15:8 Scored/game 2.5 Conceded/game 1.33

Head to head · last 5

Antwerp 0wins ·1 draws ·Union St. Gilloise 4wins

Antwerp 1-2 Union St. GilloiseFeb 21, 2026

Antwerp 1-1 Union St. GilloiseJul 25, 2025

Antwerp 0-4 Union St. GilloiseMay 17, 2025

Antwerp 1-5 Union St. GilloiseMar 29, 2025

Antwerp 1-2 Union St. GilloiseDec 1, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

Antwerp win17.6%

Draw29.7%

Union St. Gilloise win52.7%

Over 1.5 goals63.3%

Over 2.5 goals95.0%

Over 3.5 goals16.2%

Both teams to score89.4%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

90.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home

90.8%

HT Over 0.5

90.7%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.585.7%

Goal in Both Halves85.7%

Home or Away (12)84.3%

Draw or Away (X2)79.9%

Draw No Bet - Away77.1%

Away Win65.0%

Home or Draw (1X)34.2%

Draw No Bet - Home22.9%

Home Win19.3%

Draw14.9%

Exactly 1 Goal2.7%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.7%

Over 1.5 Goals96.0%

Over 2.5 Goals88.9%

Over 3.5 Goals76.4%

4+ Goals76.4%

Over 4.5 Goals59.9%

Under 5.5 Goals57.5%

Total Goals Odd49.6%

Total Goals Even49.6%

Over 5.5 Goals42.5%

Under 4.5 Goals40.1%

2-4 Goals36.1%

3-4 Goals29.0%

Under 3.5 Goals23.6%

1-3 Goals22.3%

2-3 Goals19.6%

Exactly 3 Goals12.5%

Under 2.5 Goals11.1%

1-2 Goals9.8%

Exactly 2 Goals7.1%

Under 1.5 Goals4.0%

Under 0.5 Goals1.3%

Exactly 0 Goals0.5%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score95.7%

Home Team to Score84.6%

Both Teams Score (GG)81.7%

No Both Teams Score (NG)18.3%

Away Clean Sheet14.6%

Away Win to Nil14.1%

Home Clean Sheet3.5%

Home Win to Nil3.0%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.595.7%

Home Over 0.584.6%

Away Over 1.584.1%

Away Over 2.564.5%

Away 3+ Goals64.5%

Home Over 1.556.6%

Home Over 2.529.8%

Home 3+ Goals29.8%

Home Exactly 128.0%

Home Exactly 226.8%

Away Exactly 219.6%

Home Exactly 014.6%

Away Exactly 111.7%

Away Exactly 03.5%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.1%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.8%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)97.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away97.9%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)95.8%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)95.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away95.4%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)90.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home90.8%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)89.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away89.9%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)82.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home82.1%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)79.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away79.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)68.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home68.8%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)65.0%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)51.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home51.9%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)47.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away47.3%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)34.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home34.2%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)30.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away30.5%

Away to win by 3+30.5%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)19.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw17.6%

Away to win by 117.6%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)17.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away17.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw16.9%

Away to win by 216.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw13.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw10.1%

Home to win by 110.1%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)9.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home9.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw8.8%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)8.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away8.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw5.5%

Home to win by 25.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw4.9%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)3.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home3.8%

Home to win by 3+3.8%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)3.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away3.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw2.5%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)1.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home1.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.9%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.3%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.578.4%

Away & Over 2.560.4%

Away & BTTS50.9%

Home & Over 2.517.4%

Home & BTTS16.4%

Draw & BTTS14.4%

Away & No BTTS14.1%

Draw & Over 2.511.1%

No BTTS & Over 2.510.5%

No BTTS & Under 2.57.0%

Away & Under 2.54.6%

Draw & Under 2.53.8%

BTTS & Under 2.53.3%

Home & No BTTS3.0%

Home & Under 2.51.9%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.590.7%

HT Over 1.568.6%

HT Away Win52.5%

2nd Half More Goals50.2%

HT/FT Away/Away45.7%

HT Both Teams Score45.1%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Under 1.531.4%

HT Draw26.0%

HT Home Win21.4%

Equal Goals Each Half17.4%

HT/FT Draw/Away14.6%

HT/FT Home/Home11.4%

HT Under 0.59.3%

HT/FT Draw/Draw5.9%

HT/FT Draw/Home5.6%

HT/FT Home/Away5.5%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.5%

HT/FT Away/Home2.4%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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