UEFA Europa Conference League

Apollon Limassol vs Brann

Kick-off 18:00 · Tue, Aug 11

📊 Our Prediction

Home Win

94% confidence

Apollon Limassol 94.0% Draw 5.0% Brann 1.0%

Over 2.5 - 81% BTTS - 28%

🎯 Best Pick

Home Win

Strong form

⚠️ Market disagrees - bookies say 39%

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

93%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 2.5 Goals

High scoring

81%

Home Clean Sheet

Defensive strength

72%

🤖 AI Match Analysis

Apollon Limassol are in strong form with 3 consecutive wins, scoring 2.67 goals per game. Brann have a mixed record, with 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last 3 matches. Apollon Limassol's defensive strength is a key factor, with 3 clean sheets in their last 3 matches. The head-to-head history also favors Apollon Limassol, with a 1-0 win in their previous meeting.

💡

Top Tip

Apollon Limassol are likely to win at home

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 4-0 at 14%, based on the goal model.

Strong form

Recent form leans to Apollon Limassol: 9 points versus 4 across the last 3 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 4.34 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home Win

Most likely score

4-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

14%

Exact-score model probability

Bookmaker implied chance

39%

Market does not fully agree

Apollon Limassol

W W W

Form 3-0-0 Goals 8:0 Scored/game 2.67 Conceded/game 0

Brann

L W D

Form 1-1-1 Goals 5:4 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 1.33

Head to head · last 1

Apollon Limassol 1wins ·0 draws ·Brann 0wins

Apollon Limassol 1-0 BrannAug 5, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Apollon Limassol win94.0%

Draw5.0%

Brann win1.0%

Over 1.5 goals93.5%

Over 2.5 goals81.2%

Over 3.5 goals63.6%

Both teams to score28.1%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 1.5 Goals

91.1%

Home Over 1.5

89.1%

HT Over 0.5

86.3%

Match Result (11)

Draw No Bet - Home99.1%

Home or Draw (1X)96.7%

Home or Away (12)94.1%

Home Win93.2%

Both Halves Over 0.578.7%

Goal in Both Halves78.7%

Exactly 1 Goal5.3%

Draw or Away (X2)4.3%

Draw3.5%

Away Win0.9%

Draw No Bet - Away0.9%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals96.4%

Over 1.5 Goals91.1%

Over 2.5 Goals79.3%

Under 5.5 Goals74.0%

Over 3.5 Goals62.0%

4+ Goals62.0%

Under 4.5 Goals57.1%

Total Goals Even49.1%

Total Goals Odd48.5%

2-4 Goals48.2%

Over 4.5 Goals42.9%

Under 3.5 Goals38.0%

3-4 Goals36.4%

1-3 Goals34.4%

2-3 Goals29.1%

Over 5.5 Goals26.0%

Under 2.5 Goals20.7%

Exactly 3 Goals17.3%

1-2 Goals17.1%

Exactly 2 Goals11.7%

Under 1.5 Goals8.9%

Under 0.5 Goals3.6%

Exactly 0 Goals1.2%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score95.9%

No Both Teams Score (NG)72.8%

Home Clean Sheet69.9%

Home Win to Nil68.7%

Away Team to Score27.6%

Both Teams Score (GG)27.2%

Away Clean Sheet1.7%

Away Win to Nil0.5%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.595.9%

Home Over 1.589.1%

Home Over 2.575.1%

Home 3+ Goals75.1%

Away Exactly 069.9%

Away Over 0.527.6%

Away Exactly 123.3%

Home Exactly 214.0%

Home Exactly 16.9%

Away Over 1.54.3%

Away Exactly 23.9%

Home Exactly 01.7%

Away Over 2.50.5%

Away 3+ Goals0.5%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +2.5 (Handicap)97.6%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)97.6%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)97.6%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)97.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home97.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home97.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home97.6%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)97.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home97.5%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)96.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home96.7%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)93.2%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)84.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home84.1%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)80.5%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)68.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home68.7%

Home to win by 3+68.7%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)66.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away66.2%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)49.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home49.7%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)47.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away47.9%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)31.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home31.4%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)28.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away28.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw19.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw18.3%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)17.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home17.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw15.4%

Home to win by 215.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw14.3%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)13.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away13.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw9.1%

Home to win by 19.1%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)4.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away4.3%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw0.7%

Away to win by 10.7%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw0.1%

Away to win by 20.1%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Away to win by 3+0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.578.3%

Home & No BTTS68.7%

No BTTS & Over 2.553.8%

BTTS & Over 2.525.5%

Home & BTTS24.5%

No BTTS & Under 2.516.6%

Home & Under 2.515.0%

Draw & Under 2.52.8%

Draw & BTTS2.3%

BTTS & Under 2.51.6%

Draw & Over 2.50.6%

Away & Under 2.50.5%

Away & No BTTS0.5%

Away & Over 2.50.4%

Away & BTTS0.4%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.586.3%

HT Home Win79.8%

HT/FT Home/Home79.1%

HT Over 1.559.1%

2nd Half More Goals48.4%

HT Under 1.540.9%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

Equal Goals Each Half19.2%

HT Draw17.7%

HT/FT Draw/Home15.1%

HT Under 0.513.7%

HT Both Teams Score11.7%

HT Away Win2.5%

HT/FT Draw/Draw2.3%

HT/FT Away/Home1.5%

HT/FT Away/Draw0.6%

HT/FT Home/Draw0.6%

HT/FT Draw/Away0.4%

HT/FT Away/Away0.4%

HT/FT Home/Away0.1%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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