UEFA Europa League

Ararat-Armenia vs Universitatea Craiova

Kick-off 17:00 · Thu, Aug 27

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

57% confidence

Ararat-Armenia 56.8% Draw 23.7% Universitatea Craiova 19.5%

Over 2.5 - 62% BTTS - 60%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

84%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

81%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

60%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 9.9%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Universitatea Craiova: 7 points versus 9 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

9.9%

Exact-score model probability

Ararat-Armenia

D L W L W L

Form 2-1-3 Goals 8:9 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1.5

Universitatea Craiova

D W D D L W

Form 2-3-1 Goals 7:6 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 1

Head to head · last 1

Ararat-Armenia 0wins ·1 draws ·Universitatea Craiova 0wins

Ararat-Armenia 1-1 Universitatea CraiovaAug 20, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Ararat-Armenia win56.8%

Draw23.7%

Universitatea Craiova win19.5%

Over 1.5 goals83.8%

Over 2.5 goals61.5%

Over 3.5 goals39.2%

Both teams to score60.4%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Under 5.5 Goals

89.7%

Home Team to Score

86.9%

Home Over 0.5

86.9%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)79.2%

Home or Away (12)78.8%

Draw No Bet - Home73.6%

Both Halves Over 0.562.8%

Goal in Both Halves62.8%

Home Win58.0%

Draw or Away (X2)41.9%

Draw No Bet - Away26.4%

Draw21.2%

Away Win20.8%

Exactly 1 Goal13.2%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.8%

Under 5.5 Goals89.7%

Over 1.5 Goals82.6%

Under 4.5 Goals78.5%

Over 2.5 Goals61.5%

2-4 Goals61.0%

Under 3.5 Goals60.8%

1-3 Goals56.6%

Total Goals Even50.1%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

2-3 Goals43.3%

3-4 Goals40.0%

Over 3.5 Goals39.2%

4+ Goals39.2%

Under 2.5 Goals38.5%

1-2 Goals34.3%

Exactly 3 Goals22.3%

Over 4.5 Goals21.5%

Exactly 2 Goals21.0%

Under 1.5 Goals17.4%

Over 5.5 Goals10.3%

Under 0.5 Goals4.2%

Exactly 0 Goals4.2%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score86.9%

Away Team to Score68.0%

Both Teams Score (GG)59.2%

No Both Teams Score (NG)40.8%

Home Clean Sheet31.9%

Home Win to Nil27.8%

Away Clean Sheet13.0%

Away Win to Nil8.9%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.586.9%

Away Over 0.568.0%

Home Over 1.560.4%

Away Exactly 136.4%

Home Over 2.533.3%

Home 3+ Goals33.3%

Away Exactly 031.9%

Away Over 1.531.6%

Home Exactly 227.1%

Home Exactly 126.6%

Away Exactly 220.8%

Home Exactly 013.0%

Away Over 2.510.8%

Away 3+ Goals10.8%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.9%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.4%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.2%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)97.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home97.6%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)97.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away97.4%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)92.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away92.8%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)92.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home92.1%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)82.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away82.6%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)79.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home79.2%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)65.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away65.0%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)58.0%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)41.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away41.9%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)35.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home35.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw23.0%

Home to win by 123.0%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)20.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw17.6%

Home to win by 217.6%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)17.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home17.4%

Home to win by 3+17.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw12.9%

Away to win by 112.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw10.2%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)7.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away7.9%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)7.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home7.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw5.5%

Away to win by 25.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw4.7%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)2.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home2.5%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)2.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away2.4%

Away to win by 3+2.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw1.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.8%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.8%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.5%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.549.5%

Home & Over 2.540.9%

Home & BTTS30.2%

No BTTS & Under 2.528.8%

Home & No BTTS27.8%

Home & Under 2.517.1%

Draw & BTTS17.0%

Draw & Under 2.513.9%

Away & Over 2.513.3%

No BTTS & Over 2.512.0%

Away & BTTS11.9%

BTTS & Under 2.59.7%

Away & No BTTS8.9%

Away & Under 2.57.5%

Draw & Over 2.57.3%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.576.1%

HT Under 1.558.1%

2nd Half More Goals45.2%

HT Home Win43.6%

HT Over 1.541.9%

HT/FT Home/Home37.3%

HT Draw36.6%

1st Half More Goals31.6%

HT Both Teams Score24.1%

HT Under 0.523.9%

Equal Goals Each Half23.2%

HT Away Win19.8%

HT/FT Draw/Home17.4%

HT/FT Draw/Draw11.7%

HT/FT Away/Away11.7%

HT/FT Draw/Away7.5%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.7%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.7%

HT/FT Away/Home3.4%

HT/FT Home/Away1.6%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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