Italy · Serie B

Arezzo vs Cremonese

Kick-off 18:30 · Sat, Oct 10

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

57% confidence

Arezzo 56.5% Draw 25.7% Cremonese 17.8%

Over 2.5 - 52% BTTS - 52%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 4.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

86%

▸ Show 1 alternative

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

82%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-0 at 11.6%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

11.6%

Exact-score model probability

Arezzo

No recent results stored yet

Cremonese

L W W L L D

Form 2-1-3 Goals 6:10 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.67

📈 Probability Breakdown

Arezzo win56.5%

Draw25.7%

Cremonese win17.8%

Over 1.5 goals77.3%

Over 2.5 goals51.7%

Over 3.5 goals29.6%

Both teams to score52.2%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Under 4.5 Goals

85.6%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)

84.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away

84.6%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)80.8%

Home or Away (12)77.1%

Draw No Bet - Home75.1%

Home Win57.9%

Both Halves Over 0.555.2%

Goal in Both Halves55.2%

Draw or Away (X2)42.1%

Draw No Bet - Away24.9%

Draw22.9%

Away Win19.2%

Exactly 1 Goal17.6%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals94.0%

Over 0.5 Goals93.6%

Under 4.5 Goals85.6%

Over 1.5 Goals75.9%

Under 3.5 Goals70.4%

1-3 Goals64.0%

2-4 Goals61.6%

Over 2.5 Goals51.7%

Total Goals Even50.2%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

Under 2.5 Goals48.3%

2-3 Goals46.4%

1-2 Goals41.9%

3-4 Goals37.3%

Over 3.5 Goals29.6%

4+ Goals29.6%

Exactly 2 Goals24.2%

Under 1.5 Goals24.1%

Exactly 3 Goals22.1%

Over 4.5 Goals14.4%

Under 0.5 Goals6.4%

Exactly 0 Goals6.4%

Over 5.5 Goals6.0%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score83.6%

Away Team to Score60.7%

Both Teams Score (GG)50.8%

No Both Teams Score (NG)49.2%

Home Clean Sheet39.3%

Home Win to Nil32.8%

Away Clean Sheet16.4%

Away Win to Nil10.0%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.583.6%

Away Over 0.560.7%

Home Over 1.554.0%

Away Exactly 039.3%

Away Exactly 136.7%

Home Exactly 129.6%

Home Over 2.527.2%

Home 3+ Goals27.2%

Home Exactly 226.8%

Away Over 1.524.0%

Away Exactly 217.2%

Home Exactly 016.4%

Away Over 2.56.9%

Away 3+ Goals6.9%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.9%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.6%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.5%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)98.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home98.3%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.1%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)94.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away94.1%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)93.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home93.6%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)84.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away84.6%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)80.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home80.8%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)66.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away66.7%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)57.9%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)42.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away42.1%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)33.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home33.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw24.7%

Home to win by 124.7%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)19.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw17.9%

Home to win by 217.9%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)15.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home15.4%

Home to win by 3+15.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw12.8%

Away to win by 112.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw9.5%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)6.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away6.4%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)5.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home5.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw4.8%

Away to win by 24.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw4.0%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.9%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)1.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away1.7%

Away to win by 3+1.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw1.3%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.5%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.3%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.539.9%

No BTTS & Under 2.537.4%

Home & Over 2.535.8%

Home & No BTTS32.8%

Home & BTTS25.1%

Home & Under 2.522.2%

Draw & Under 2.517.3%

Draw & BTTS16.4%

No BTTS & Over 2.511.8%

BTTS & Under 2.510.9%

Away & Over 2.510.4%

Away & No BTTS10.0%

Away & BTTS9.2%

Away & Under 2.58.8%

Draw & Over 2.55.6%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.570.9%

HT Under 1.565.0%

2nd Half More Goals43.6%

HT Home Win42.3%

HT Draw39.9%

HT/FT Home/Home36.6%

HT Over 1.535.0%

1st Half More Goals31.1%

HT Under 0.529.1%

Equal Goals Each Half25.3%

HT Both Teams Score19.1%

HT/FT Draw/Home18.5%

HT Away Win17.8%

HT/FT Draw/Draw14.0%

HT/FT Away/Away10.5%

HT/FT Draw/Away7.4%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.5%

HT/FT Away/Home2.8%

HT/FT Home/Away1.2%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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