Italy · Serie B

Arezzo vs Palermo

Kick-off 18:00 · Sun, Aug 30

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

55% confidence

Arezzo 55.4% Draw 22.4% Palermo 22.2%

Over 2.5 - 70% BTTS - 68%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

88%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

78%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

68%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 9.3%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

9.3%

Exact-score model probability

Arezzo

No recent results stored yet

Palermo

W L L W

Form 2-0-2 Goals 5:7 Scored/game 1.25 Conceded/game 1.75

📈 Probability Breakdown

Arezzo win55.4%

Draw22.4%

Palermo win22.2%

Over 1.5 goals88.4%

Over 2.5 goals69.5%

Over 3.5 goals48.2%

Both teams to score67.6%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

90.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home

90.0%

Home Team to Score

89.0%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)79.7%

Home or Draw (1X)76.7%

Draw No Bet - Home70.8%

Both Halves Over 0.569.0%

Goal in Both Halves69.0%

Home Win56.5%

Draw or Away (X2)43.5%

Draw No Bet - Away29.2%

Away Win23.3%

Draw20.2%

Exactly 1 Goal9.9%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.2%

Over 1.5 Goals87.3%

Under 5.5 Goals84.6%

Under 4.5 Goals70.9%

Over 2.5 Goals69.5%

2-4 Goals58.2%

Under 3.5 Goals51.8%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

1-3 Goals49.0%

Over 3.5 Goals48.2%

4+ Goals48.2%

3-4 Goals40.4%

2-3 Goals39.1%

Under 2.5 Goals30.5%

Over 4.5 Goals29.1%

1-2 Goals27.7%

Exactly 3 Goals21.3%

Exactly 2 Goals17.8%

Over 5.5 Goals15.4%

Under 1.5 Goals12.7%

Under 0.5 Goals2.8%

Exactly 0 Goals2.8%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score89.0%

Away Team to Score74.7%

Both Teams Score (GG)66.5%

No Both Teams Score (NG)33.5%

Home Clean Sheet25.3%

Home Win to Nil22.5%

Away Clean Sheet10.9%

Away Win to Nil8.2%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.589.0%

Away Over 0.574.7%

Home Over 1.564.8%

Away Over 1.539.9%

Home Over 2.538.1%

Home 3+ Goals38.1%

Away Exactly 134.7%

Home Exactly 226.8%

Away Exactly 025.3%

Home Exactly 124.2%

Away Exactly 223.9%

Away Over 2.516.0%

Away 3+ Goals16.0%

Home Exactly 010.9%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.7%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.0%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)97.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away97.0%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)96.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home96.5%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)92.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away92.1%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)90.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home90.0%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)81.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away81.9%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)76.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home76.7%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)65.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away65.0%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)56.5%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)43.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away43.5%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)34.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home34.9%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)23.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw21.6%

Home to win by 121.6%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)18.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home18.0%

Home to win by 3+18.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw16.9%

Home to win by 216.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw13.4%

Away to win by 113.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw10.2%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)9.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away9.9%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)7.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home7.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw6.5%

Away to win by 26.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw4.9%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)3.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away3.4%

Away to win by 3+3.4%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)2.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home2.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw2.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw2.0%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.7%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.2%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.558.1%

Home & Over 2.543.6%

Home & BTTS33.9%

Home & No BTTS22.5%

No BTTS & Under 2.522.1%

Draw & BTTS17.4%

Away & Over 2.516.9%

Away & BTTS15.1%

Home & Under 2.512.9%

No BTTS & Over 2.511.4%

Draw & Under 2.511.2%

Draw & Over 2.59.0%

BTTS & Under 2.58.4%

Away & No BTTS8.2%

Away & Under 2.56.4%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.580.1%

HT Under 1.552.0%

HT Over 1.548.0%

2nd Half More Goals46.4%

HT Home Win43.6%

HT/FT Home/Home36.6%

HT Draw34.2%

1st Half More Goals31.9%

HT Both Teams Score29.1%

HT Away Win22.2%

Equal Goals Each Half21.6%

HT Under 0.519.9%

HT/FT Draw/Home16.1%

HT/FT Away/Away13.4%

HT/FT Draw/Draw10.2%

HT/FT Draw/Away7.9%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.0%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.0%

HT/FT Away/Home3.8%

HT/FT Home/Away2.0%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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