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Germany · 2. Bundesliga

Arminia Bielefeld vs Energie Cottbus

Kick-off 12:30 · Sun, Aug 16
📊 Our Prediction
Away +5.5 (Handicap)
80% confidence
Arminia Bielefeld 9.5% Draw 10.1% Energie Cottbus 80.4%
Over 2.5 - 95% BTTS - 83%
🎯 Best Pick
Away Team to Score
AI verdict (fallback)
⚠️ AIs disagree
71%
🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news
Why this pick was selected
The score forecast is led by 1-4 at 5.7%, based on the goal model.
AI verdict (fallback)
Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)
Most likely score
1-4
Top Poisson scoreline
Scoreline probability
5.7%
Exact-score model probability
Arminia Bielefeld
L W L D D L
Form 1-2-3 Goals 10:9 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 1.5
Energie Cottbus
W
Form 1-0-0 Goals 3:1 Scored/game 3 Conceded/game 1

📈 Probability Breakdown

Arminia Bielefeld win9.5%
Draw10.1%
Energie Cottbus win80.4%
Over 1.5 goals98.8%
Over 2.5 goals94.8%
Over 3.5 goals86.8%
Both teams to score82.6%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +1.5 (Handicap)
92.0%
European Handicap 0:2 - Away
92.0%
Both Halves Over 0.5
91.2%
Match Result (11)
Both Halves Over 0.591.2%
Goal in Both Halves91.2%
Draw No Bet - Away89.2%
Home or Away (12)86.7%
Draw or Away (X2)86.6%
Away Win77.3%
Home or Draw (1X)18.6%
Draw No Bet - Home10.8%
Home Win9.3%
Draw9.3%
Exactly 1 Goal1.2%
Goals Over/Under (23)
Over 0.5 Goals95.8%
Over 1.5 Goals94.6%
Over 2.5 Goals91.0%
Over 3.5 Goals83.3%
4+ Goals83.3%
Over 4.5 Goals71.2%
Over 5.5 Goals56.0%
Total Goals Odd48.0%
Total Goals Even48.0%
Under 5.5 Goals44.0%
Under 4.5 Goals28.8%
2-4 Goals23.4%
3-4 Goals19.8%
Under 3.5 Goals16.7%
1-3 Goals12.5%
2-3 Goals11.3%
Under 2.5 Goals9.0%
Exactly 3 Goals7.7%
Under 1.5 Goals5.4%
1-2 Goals4.8%
Under 0.5 Goals4.2%
Exactly 2 Goals3.7%
Exactly 0 Goals0.2%
BTTS & Defence (8)
Away Team to Score94.9%
Home Team to Score80.0%
Both Teams Score (GG)79.1%
No Both Teams Score (NG)20.9%
Away Clean Sheet16.0%
Away Win to Nil15.8%
Home Clean Sheet1.1%
Home Win to Nil0.9%
Team Goals (14)
Away Over 0.594.9%
Away Over 1.589.9%
Home Over 0.580.0%
Away Over 2.578.6%
Away 3+ Goals78.6%
Home Over 1.551.4%
Home Exactly 128.6%
Home Over 2.525.7%
Home Exactly 225.7%
Home 3+ Goals25.7%
Home Exactly 016.0%
Away Exactly 211.2%
Away Exactly 15.0%
Away Exactly 01.1%
Handicap & Margin (60)
Away +5.5 (Handicap)95.9%
Away +4.5 (Handicap)95.8%
European Handicap 0:5 - Away95.8%
Away +3.5 (Handicap)95.5%
European Handicap 0:4 - Away95.5%
Away +2.5 (Handicap)94.5%
European Handicap 0:3 - Away94.5%
Away +1.5 (Handicap)92.0%
European Handicap 0:2 - Away92.0%
Away +0.5 (Handicap)86.6%
Home +5.5 (Handicap)86.6%
European Handicap 0:1 - Away86.6%
Away -0.5 (Handicap)77.3%
Home +4.5 (Handicap)77.0%
European Handicap 5:0 - Home77.0%
Away -1.5 (Handicap)64.0%
European Handicap 1:0 - Away64.0%
Home +3.5 (Handicap)63.7%
European Handicap 4:0 - Home63.7%
Away -2.5 (Handicap)48.1%
European Handicap 2:0 - Away48.1%
Away to win by 3+48.1%
Home +2.5 (Handicap)47.9%
European Handicap 3:0 - Home47.9%
Away -3.5 (Handicap)32.3%
European Handicap 3:0 - Away32.3%
Home +1.5 (Handicap)32.0%
European Handicap 2:0 - Home32.0%
Away -4.5 (Handicap)19.0%
European Handicap 4:0 - Away19.0%
Home +0.5 (Handicap)18.6%
European Handicap 1:0 - Home18.6%
European Handicap 2:0 - Draw15.9%
Away to win by 215.9%
European Handicap 3:0 - Draw15.8%
European Handicap 1:0 - Draw13.4%
Away to win by 113.4%
European Handicap 4:0 - Draw13.3%
European Handicap 5:0 - Draw9.6%
Home -0.5 (Handicap)9.3%
Away -5.5 (Handicap)9.3%
European Handicap 5:0 - Away9.3%
European Handicap 0:1 - Draw5.3%
Home to win by 15.3%
Home -1.5 (Handicap)4.0%
European Handicap 0:1 - Home4.0%
European Handicap 0:2 - Draw2.5%
Home to win by 22.5%
Home -2.5 (Handicap)1.5%
European Handicap 0:2 - Home1.5%
Home to win by 3+1.5%
European Handicap 0:3 - Draw1.0%
Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.5%
European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.5%
European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.3%
Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%
European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.1%
European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.1%
Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%
European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%
Combos (15)
BTTS & Over 2.577.6%
Away & Over 2.574.6%
Away & BTTS61.6%
Away & No BTTS15.8%
No BTTS & Over 2.513.4%
Draw & BTTS9.1%
Home & Over 2.58.7%
Home & BTTS8.4%
Draw & Over 2.57.6%
No BTTS & Under 2.53.5%
Away & Under 2.52.7%
Draw & Under 2.51.7%
BTTS & Under 2.51.5%
Home & No BTTS0.9%
Home & Under 2.50.6%
Half-Time & HT/FT (20)
HT Over 0.594.1%
HT Over 1.577.4%
HT Away Win65.7%
HT/FT Away/Away61.4%
2nd Half More Goals51.7%
HT Both Teams Score48.1%
1st Half More Goals32.4%
HT Under 1.522.6%
HT Draw20.2%
Equal Goals Each Half15.8%
HT/FT Draw/Away14.1%
HT Home Win14.0%
HT Under 0.55.9%
HT/FT Home/Away5.7%
HT/FT Home/Home5.3%
HT/FT Draw/Draw3.4%
HT/FT Away/Draw2.9%
HT/FT Home/Draw2.9%
HT/FT Draw/Home2.7%
HT/FT Away/Home1.3%
How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.
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