England · Premier League

Arsenal vs Coventry

Kick-off 20:00 · Fri, Aug 21

📊 Our Prediction

Away +3.5 (Handicap)

72% confidence

Arsenal 5.5% Draw 22.6% Coventry 71.9%

Over 2.5 - 35% BTTS - 25%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 2.5 Goals

AI verdict (fallback)

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

94%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 0-1 at 21.6%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Numbers behind this Away +3.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

0-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

21.6%

Exact-score model probability

Arsenal

W W W W W D

Form 5-1-0 Goals 9:2 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 0.33

Coventry

Form 1-0-0 Goals 4:0 Scored/game 4 Conceded/game 0

📈 Probability Breakdown

Arsenal win5.5%

Draw22.6%

Coventry win71.9%

Over 1.5 goals62.9%

Over 2.5 goals34.9%

Over 3.5 goals16.1%

Both teams to score24.6%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Draw No Bet - Away

91.9%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)

91.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home

91.8%

Match Result (11)

Draw or Away (X2)93.6%

Draw No Bet - Away91.9%

Home or Away (12)79.3%

Away Win72.9%

Both Halves Over 0.541.8%

Goal in Both Halves41.8%

Home or Draw (1X)27.1%

Exactly 1 Goal25.8%

Draw20.7%

Draw No Bet - Home8.1%

Home Win6.4%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals98.0%

Under 4.5 Goals93.8%

Over 0.5 Goals87.7%

Under 3.5 Goals83.9%

1-3 Goals71.6%

Under 2.5 Goals65.1%

Over 1.5 Goals61.9%

2-4 Goals55.8%

1-2 Goals52.8%

Total Goals Even50.8%

Total Goals Odd49.2%

2-3 Goals45.9%

Under 1.5 Goals38.1%

Over 2.5 Goals34.9%

3-4 Goals28.8%

Exactly 2 Goals27.0%

Exactly 3 Goals18.9%

Over 3.5 Goals16.1%

4+ Goals16.1%

Under 0.5 Goals12.3%

Exactly 0 Goals12.3%

Over 4.5 Goals6.2%

Over 5.5 Goals2.0%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score82.8%

No Both Teams Score (NG)76.4%

Away Clean Sheet71.5%

Away Win to Nil59.2%

Home Team to Score28.5%

Both Teams Score (GG)23.6%

Home Clean Sheet17.2%

Home Win to Nil4.9%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.582.8%

Home Exactly 071.5%

Away Over 1.552.5%

Away Exactly 130.3%

Home Over 0.528.5%

Away Exactly 226.6%

Away Over 2.525.9%

Away 3+ Goals25.9%

Home Exactly 124.0%

Away Exactly 017.2%

Home Over 1.54.5%

Home Exactly 24.0%

Home Over 2.50.5%

Home 3+ Goals0.5%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +3.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away100.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away100.0%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away99.9%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.3%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)99.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away99.1%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)97.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home97.4%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)93.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away93.6%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)91.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home91.8%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)78.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home78.9%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)72.9%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)55.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home55.8%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)44.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away44.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw28.7%

Away to win by 128.7%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)27.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home27.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw23.1%

Away to win by 223.1%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)21.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away21.1%

Away to win by 3+21.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw12.9%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)8.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away8.2%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)6.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw5.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw5.5%

Home to win by 15.5%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)2.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away2.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw1.9%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home0.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw0.8%

Home to win by 20.8%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.7%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home0.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw0.1%

Home to win by 3+0.1%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.0%

Combos (15)

Away & No BTTS59.2%

No BTTS & Under 2.557.8%

Away & Under 2.540.7%

Away & Over 2.532.2%

Draw & Under 2.519.6%

No BTTS & Over 2.518.6%

BTTS & Over 2.516.4%

Away & BTTS13.7%

Draw & BTTS8.4%

BTTS & Under 2.57.3%

Home & No BTTS4.9%

Home & Under 2.54.8%

Home & Over 2.51.6%

Home & BTTS1.5%

Draw & Over 2.51.1%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.575.7%

HT Over 0.561.1%

HT Away Win49.5%

HT/FT Away/Away47.2%

HT Draw43.7%

2nd Half More Goals40.5%

HT Under 0.538.9%

Equal Goals Each Half29.8%

1st Half More Goals29.7%

HT Over 1.524.3%

HT/FT Draw/Away24.3%

HT/FT Draw/Draw16.4%

HT Both Teams Score7.7%

HT Home Win6.7%

HT/FT Home/Home3.2%

HT/FT Draw/Home3.1%

HT/FT Away/Draw2.2%

HT/FT Home/Draw2.2%

HT/FT Home/Away1.4%

HT/FT Away/Home0.2%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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