England · Premier League

Arsenal vs Hull City

Kick-off 16:00 · Sat, Nov 7

📊 Our Prediction

Home +3.5 (Handicap)

69% confidence

Arsenal 68.5% Draw 23.1% Hull City 8.5%

Over 2.5 - 62% BTTS - 34%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

92%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Under 3.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

81%

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

69%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-0 at 15.4%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to Arsenal: 16 points versus 4 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.16 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +3.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

15.4%

Exact-score model probability

Arsenal

W W W D W W

Form 5-1-0 Goals 11:3 Scored/game 1.83 Conceded/game 0.5

Hull City

D D L D L D

Form 0-4-2 Goals 8:10 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1.67

📈 Probability Breakdown

Arsenal win68.5%

Draw23.1%

Hull City win8.5%

Over 1.5 goals66.4%

Over 2.5 goals62.1%

Over 3.5 goals18.9%

Both teams to score34.4%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Under 5.5 Goals

89.6%

Home or Away (12)

89.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)

88.7%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)95.9%

Draw No Bet - Home95.7%

Home or Away (12)89.0%

Home Win85.1%

Both Halves Over 0.563.3%

Goal in Both Halves63.3%

Draw or Away (X2)14.7%

Exactly 1 Goal13.0%

Draw10.8%

Draw No Bet - Away4.3%

Away Win3.9%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.7%

Under 5.5 Goals89.6%

Over 1.5 Goals82.8%

Under 4.5 Goals78.1%

Over 2.5 Goals62.0%

2-4 Goals60.9%

Under 3.5 Goals60.3%

1-3 Goals56.0%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

2-3 Goals43.0%

3-4 Goals40.1%

Over 3.5 Goals39.7%

4+ Goals39.7%

Under 2.5 Goals38.0%

1-2 Goals33.8%

Exactly 3 Goals22.2%

Over 4.5 Goals21.9%

Exactly 2 Goals20.8%

Under 1.5 Goals17.2%

Over 5.5 Goals10.4%

Under 0.5 Goals4.3%

Exactly 0 Goals4.0%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score93.5%

No Both Teams Score (NG)66.3%

Home Clean Sheet63.8%

Home Win to Nil59.8%

Away Team to Score36.0%

Both Teams Score (GG)33.7%

Away Clean Sheet6.3%

Away Win to Nil2.3%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.593.5%

Home Over 1.576.0%

Away Exactly 063.8%

Home Over 2.551.9%

Home 3+ Goals51.9%

Away Over 0.536.0%

Away Exactly 128.5%

Home Exactly 224.1%

Home Exactly 117.4%

Away Over 1.57.4%

Away Exactly 26.4%

Home Exactly 06.3%

Away Over 2.51.1%

Away 3+ Goals1.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.8%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)99.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home99.7%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)99.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home99.1%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)95.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home95.9%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)95.3%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)88.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away88.7%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)85.1%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)76.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away76.2%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)65.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home65.5%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)57.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away57.1%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)42.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home42.7%

Home to win by 3+42.7%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)34.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away34.3%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)23.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home23.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw22.8%

Home to win by 222.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw19.6%

Home to win by 119.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw19.1%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)14.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away14.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw12.5%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)11.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home11.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw6.6%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)4.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home4.4%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)3.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw3.2%

Away to win by 13.2%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away0.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw0.6%

Away to win by 20.6%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.1%

Away to win by 3+0.1%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & No BTTS59.8%

Home & Over 2.558.6%

No BTTS & Over 2.533.3%

No BTTS & Under 2.532.8%

BTTS & Over 2.528.7%

Home & Under 2.526.6%

Home & BTTS25.3%

Draw & Under 2.59.0%

Draw & BTTS6.8%

BTTS & Under 2.55.0%

Away & No BTTS2.3%

Away & Under 2.52.2%

Draw & Over 2.51.8%

Away & Over 2.51.7%

Away & BTTS1.6%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.576.4%

HT Home Win64.2%

HT/FT Home/Home62.2%

HT Under 1.557.7%

2nd Half More Goals45.3%

HT Over 1.542.3%

1st Half More Goals31.6%

HT Draw29.9%

HT Under 0.523.6%

Equal Goals Each Half23.1%

HT/FT Draw/Home21.0%

HT Both Teams Score13.0%

HT/FT Draw/Draw7.2%

HT Away Win5.9%

HT/FT Away/Home2.2%

HT/FT Away/Away1.9%

HT/FT Away/Draw1.8%

HT/FT Home/Draw1.8%

HT/FT Draw/Away1.7%

HT/FT Home/Away0.2%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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