Italy · Serie B

Ascoli vs Carrarese

Kick-off 20:00 · Sat, Aug 29

📊 Our Prediction

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

53% confidence

Ascoli 52.6% Draw 32.7% Carrarese 14.7%

Over 2.5 - 27% BTTS - 32%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 3.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

89%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

85%

No Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

68%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-0 at 20.6%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

20.6%

Exact-score model probability

Ascoli

No recent results stored yet

Carrarese

L D

Form 0-1-1 Goals 1:2 Scored/game 0.5 Conceded/game 1

📈 Probability Breakdown

Ascoli win52.6%

Draw32.7%

Carrarese win14.7%

Over 1.5 goals55.6%

Over 2.5 goals27.3%

Over 3.5 goals11.1%

Both teams to score31.8%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +2.5 (Handicap)

90.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away

90.9%

Under 3.5 Goals

88.9%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)83.8%

Draw No Bet - Home77.0%

Home or Away (12)70.3%

Home Win54.1%

Draw or Away (X2)45.9%

Both Halves Over 0.535.2%

Goal in Both Halves35.2%

Draw29.7%

Exactly 1 Goal29.6%

Draw No Bet - Away23.0%

Away Win16.2%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals98.9%

Under 4.5 Goals96.3%

Under 3.5 Goals88.9%

Over 0.5 Goals83.7%

Under 2.5 Goals72.7%

1-3 Goals72.6%

1-2 Goals56.4%

Over 1.5 Goals54.2%

Total Goals Even51.3%

2-4 Goals50.4%

Total Goals Odd48.7%

Under 1.5 Goals45.8%

2-3 Goals43.0%

Over 2.5 Goals27.3%

Exactly 2 Goals26.8%

3-4 Goals23.6%

Under 0.5 Goals16.3%

Exactly 0 Goals16.3%

Exactly 3 Goals16.2%

Over 3.5 Goals11.1%

4+ Goals11.1%

Over 4.5 Goals3.7%

Over 5.5 Goals1.1%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score71.8%

No Both Teams Score (NG)69.6%

Home Clean Sheet57.7%

Away Team to Score42.3%

Home Win to Nil41.4%

Both Teams Score (GG)30.4%

Away Clean Sheet28.2%

Away Win to Nil11.9%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.571.8%

Away Exactly 057.7%

Away Over 0.542.3%

Home Over 1.536.1%

Home Exactly 135.7%

Away Exactly 131.7%

Home Exactly 028.2%

Home Exactly 222.6%

Home Over 2.513.5%

Home 3+ Goals13.5%

Away Over 1.510.6%

Away Exactly 28.7%

Away Over 2.51.8%

Away 3+ Goals1.8%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home100.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)99.4%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home99.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.4%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)97.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away97.4%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)96.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home96.3%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)90.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away90.9%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)83.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home83.8%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)74.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away74.5%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)54.1%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)45.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away45.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw28.6%

Home to win by 128.6%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)25.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home25.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw16.3%

Home to win by 216.3%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)16.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw12.5%

Away to win by 112.5%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)9.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home9.1%

Home to win by 3+9.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw6.5%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)3.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away3.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw3.1%

Away to win by 23.1%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)2.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home2.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw2.0%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.6%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.6%

Away to win by 3+0.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.5%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.561.3%

Home & No BTTS41.4%

Home & Under 2.533.6%

Draw & Under 2.527.6%

Home & Over 2.520.5%

BTTS & Over 2.519.0%

Draw & BTTS13.5%

Home & BTTS12.7%

Away & No BTTS11.9%

Away & Under 2.511.4%

BTTS & Under 2.511.3%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.3%

Away & Over 2.54.7%

Away & BTTS4.2%

Draw & Over 2.52.1%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.580.3%

HT Over 0.555.8%

HT Draw50.6%

HT Under 0.544.2%

2nd Half More Goals38.7%

HT Home Win36.1%

Equal Goals Each Half32.5%

HT/FT Home/Home32.1%

1st Half More Goals28.8%

HT/FT Draw/Draw22.8%

HT/FT Draw/Home20.6%

HT Over 1.519.7%

HT Away Win13.3%

HT Both Teams Score9.5%

HT/FT Away/Away8.3%

HT/FT Draw/Away7.3%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.5%

HT/FT Away/Home1.5%

HT/FT Home/Away0.6%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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