Italy · Serie B

Ascoli vs Sampdoria

Kick-off 20:00 · Tue, Oct 27

📊 Our Prediction

Home +3.5 (Handicap)

91% confidence

Ascoli 90.7% Draw 7.6% Sampdoria 1.7%

Over 2.5 - 72% BTTS - 32%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

92%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

91%

Draw No Bet - Home

DNB home — draw refunds stake

91%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-0 at 14.8%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Numbers behind this Home +3.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

14.8%

Exact-score model probability

Ascoli

No recent results stored yet

Sampdoria

L W L D L D

Form 1-2-3 Goals 5:11 Scored/game 0.83 Conceded/game 1.83

📈 Probability Breakdown

Ascoli win90.7%

Draw7.6%

Sampdoria win1.7%

Over 1.5 goals89.0%

Over 2.5 goals71.9%

Over 3.5 goals51.0%

Both teams to score31.9%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home Win

90.5%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)

90.5%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

90.2%

Match Result (11)

Draw No Bet - Home97.8%

Home or Draw (1X)97.2%

Home or Away (12)92.5%

Home Win90.5%

Both Halves Over 0.571.0%

Goal in Both Halves71.0%

Exactly 1 Goal8.9%

Draw or Away (X2)8.8%

Draw6.7%

Draw No Bet - Away2.2%

Away Win2.0%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals96.9%

Over 1.5 Goals88.0%

Under 5.5 Goals83.2%

Over 2.5 Goals71.3%

Under 4.5 Goals68.8%

2-4 Goals56.7%

Over 3.5 Goals50.6%

4+ Goals50.6%

Total Goals Even49.7%

Total Goals Odd49.5%

Under 3.5 Goals49.4%

1-3 Goals46.3%

3-4 Goals40.1%

2-3 Goals37.4%

Over 4.5 Goals31.2%

Under 2.5 Goals28.7%

1-2 Goals25.6%

Exactly 3 Goals20.7%

Over 5.5 Goals16.8%

Exactly 2 Goals16.6%

Under 1.5 Goals12.0%

Under 0.5 Goals3.1%

Exactly 0 Goals2.4%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score95.7%

No Both Teams Score (NG)68.7%

Home Clean Sheet66.8%

Home Win to Nil64.4%

Away Team to Score32.5%

Both Teams Score (GG)31.3%

Away Clean Sheet3.5%

Away Win to Nil1.2%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.595.7%

Home Over 1.583.9%

Away Exactly 066.8%

Home Over 2.564.1%

Home 3+ Goals64.1%

Away Over 0.532.5%

Away Exactly 126.5%

Home Exactly 219.8%

Home Exactly 111.8%

Away Over 1.56.0%

Away Exactly 25.2%

Home Exactly 03.5%

Away Over 2.50.8%

Away 3+ Goals0.8%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.3%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.3%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.3%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)99.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home99.2%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)98.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home98.9%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)97.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home97.2%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)90.5%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)90.2%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)80.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away80.0%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)75.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home75.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)64.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away64.0%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)55.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home55.7%

Home to win by 3+55.7%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)43.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away43.6%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)35.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home35.3%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)23.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away23.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw20.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw20.2%

Home to win by 220.2%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)19.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home19.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw16.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw14.5%

Home to win by 114.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw10.3%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)9.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home9.0%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)8.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away8.8%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)2.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw1.7%

Away to win by 11.7%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away0.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw0.3%

Away to win by 20.3%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Away to win by 3+0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.569.2%

Home & No BTTS64.4%

No BTTS & Over 2.543.2%

BTTS & Over 2.528.1%

Home & BTTS26.0%

No BTTS & Under 2.524.8%

Home & Under 2.521.3%

Draw & Under 2.55.5%

Draw & BTTS4.4%

BTTS & Under 2.53.2%

Draw & Over 2.51.2%

Away & No BTTS1.2%

Away & Under 2.51.1%

Away & Over 2.50.9%

Away & BTTS0.9%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.581.4%

HT Home Win71.9%

HT/FT Home/Home70.6%

HT Over 1.550.1%

HT Under 1.549.9%

2nd Half More Goals46.8%

1st Half More Goals32.0%

HT Draw23.9%

Equal Goals Each Half21.1%

HT Under 0.518.6%

HT/FT Draw/Home18.6%

HT Both Teams Score12.7%

HT/FT Draw/Draw4.4%

HT Away Win4.1%

HT/FT Away/Home1.9%

HT/FT Away/Draw1.2%

HT/FT Home/Draw1.2%

HT/FT Away/Away1.0%

HT/FT Draw/Away0.9%

HT/FT Home/Away0.1%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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