England · Premier League

Aston Villa vs Fulham

Kick-off 21:00 · Sat, Oct 31

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

51% confidence

Aston Villa 50.9% Draw 27.5% Fulham 21.7%

Over 2.5 - 60% BTTS - 55%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 4.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

80%

▸ Show 1 alternative

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

78%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-0 at 11.1%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Aston Villa: 16 points versus 8 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.83 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

11.1%

Exact-score model probability

Aston Villa

W W W W D W

Form 5-1-0 Goals 17:6 Scored/game 2.83 Conceded/game 1

Fulham

W W L D D L

Form 2-2-2 Goals 6:6 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1

Head to head · last 5

Aston Villa 4wins ·0 draws ·Fulham 1wins

Aston Villa 0-1 FulhamApr 25, 2026

Aston Villa 3-1 FulhamSep 28, 2025

Aston Villa 1-0 FulhamMay 3, 2025

Aston Villa 3-1 FulhamOct 19, 2024

Aston Villa 2-1 FulhamFeb 17, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

Aston Villa win50.9%

Draw27.5%

Fulham win21.7%

Over 1.5 goals74.0%

Over 2.5 goals59.8%

Over 3.5 goals25.8%

Both teams to score54.5%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Under 5.5 Goals

91.6%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)

90.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away

90.6%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)85.2%

Draw No Bet - Home81.6%

Home or Away (12)80.2%

Home Win65.4%

Both Halves Over 0.559.9%

Goal in Both Halves59.9%

Draw or Away (X2)34.5%

Draw19.7%

Draw No Bet - Away18.4%

Exactly 1 Goal14.9%

Away Win14.8%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.0%

Under 5.5 Goals91.6%

Under 4.5 Goals81.5%

Over 1.5 Goals80.1%

Under 3.5 Goals64.7%

2-4 Goals61.6%

1-3 Goals59.7%

Over 2.5 Goals57.7%

Total Goals Even50.1%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

2-3 Goals44.8%

Under 2.5 Goals42.3%

3-4 Goals39.2%

1-2 Goals37.3%

Over 3.5 Goals35.3%

4+ Goals35.3%

Exactly 2 Goals22.4%

Exactly 3 Goals22.4%

Under 1.5 Goals19.9%

Over 4.5 Goals18.5%

Over 5.5 Goals8.4%

Under 0.5 Goals5.0%

Exactly 0 Goals5.0%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score87.9%

Away Team to Score59.0%

Both Teams Score (GG)51.8%

No Both Teams Score (NG)48.2%

Home Clean Sheet41.0%

Home Win to Nil36.0%

Away Clean Sheet12.1%

Away Win to Nil7.1%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.587.9%

Home Over 1.562.3%

Away Over 0.559.0%

Away Exactly 041.0%

Away Exactly 136.5%

Home Over 2.535.3%

Home 3+ Goals35.3%

Home Exactly 227.0%

Home Exactly 125.6%

Away Over 1.522.4%

Away Exactly 216.3%

Home Exactly 012.1%

Away Over 2.56.1%

Away 3+ Goals6.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.9%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.7%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)98.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home98.8%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)96.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away96.5%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)95.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home95.3%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)90.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away90.6%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)85.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home85.2%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)78.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away78.4%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)65.4%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)58.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away58.5%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)41.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home41.5%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)34.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away34.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw24.0%

Home to win by 124.0%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)21.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home21.6%

Home to win by 3+21.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw19.9%

Home to win by 219.9%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)14.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw12.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw10.1%

Away to win by 110.1%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)9.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home9.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw5.9%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)4.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away4.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw3.5%

Away to win by 23.5%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)3.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home3.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw2.4%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)1.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)1.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away1.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home1.1%

Away to win by 3+1.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.9%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.2%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.543.9%

BTTS & Over 2.542.5%

Home & No BTTS36.0%

No BTTS & Under 2.532.9%

Home & BTTS29.4%

Home & Under 2.521.6%

No BTTS & Over 2.515.2%

Draw & BTTS14.8%

Draw & Under 2.514.3%

BTTS & Under 2.59.3%

Away & Over 2.58.4%

Away & BTTS7.7%

Away & No BTTS7.1%

Away & Under 2.56.4%

Draw & Over 2.55.4%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.574.1%

HT Under 1.560.9%

HT Home Win48.1%

2nd Half More Goals44.6%

HT/FT Home/Home43.0%

HT Over 1.539.1%

HT Draw36.7%

1st Half More Goals31.4%

HT Under 0.525.9%

Equal Goals Each Half24.0%

HT Both Teams Score20.3%

HT/FT Draw/Home19.3%

HT Away Win15.2%

HT/FT Draw/Draw11.7%

HT/FT Away/Away8.0%

HT/FT Draw/Away5.7%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.0%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.0%

HT/FT Away/Home3.1%

HT/FT Home/Away1.0%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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