UEFA Champions League

Aston Villa vs Viking

Kick-off 20:00 · Wed, Oct 21

📊 Our Prediction

HT Over 0.5

64% confidence

Aston Villa 63.5% Draw 13.6% Viking 22.9%

Over 2.5 - 98% BTTS - 94%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 3.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

94%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

94%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

86%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The 1X2 model's strongest outcome is Aston Villa win at 63.5%.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Aston Villa: 13 points versus 5 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 4.92 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this HT Over 0.5

Aston Villa win

63.5%

1X2 model probability

Draw

13.6%

1X2 model probability

Viking win

22.9%

1X2 model probability

Aston Villa

W W D W L W

Form 4-1-1 Goals 16:8 Scored/game 2.67 Conceded/game 1.33

Viking

D L W D

Form 1-2-1 Goals 9:9 Scored/game 2.25 Conceded/game 2.25

📈 Probability Breakdown

Aston Villa win63.5%

Draw13.6%

Viking win22.9%

Over 1.5 goals99.6%

Over 2.5 goals97.8%

Over 3.5 goals93.6%

Both teams to score93.7%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

91.3%

Away Team to Score

90.6%

Away Over 0.5

90.6%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.594.9%

Goal in Both Halves94.9%

Home or Away (12)82.9%

Home or Draw (1X)73.7%

Draw No Bet - Home73.5%

Home Win60.9%

Draw or Away (X2)34.8%

Draw No Bet - Away26.5%

Away Win22.0%

Draw12.8%

Exactly 1 Goal0.4%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.6%

Over 1.5 Goals95.2%

Over 2.5 Goals93.5%

Over 3.5 Goals89.5%

4+ Goals89.5%

Over 4.5 Goals82.1%

Over 5.5 Goals70.9%

Total Goals Odd47.8%

Total Goals Even47.8%

Under 5.5 Goals29.1%

Under 4.5 Goals17.9%

2-4 Goals13.1%

3-4 Goals11.5%

Under 3.5 Goals10.5%

Under 2.5 Goals6.5%

1-3 Goals6.1%

2-3 Goals5.6%

Under 1.5 Goals4.8%

Under 0.5 Goals4.4%

Exactly 3 Goals4.0%

1-2 Goals2.0%

Exactly 2 Goals1.6%

Exactly 0 Goals0.1%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score94.5%

Away Team to Score90.6%

Both Teams Score (GG)89.6%

No Both Teams Score (NG)10.4%

Home Clean Sheet5.0%

Home Win to Nil5.0%

Away Clean Sheet1.1%

Away Win to Nil1.0%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.594.5%

Away Over 0.590.6%

Home Over 1.589.6%

Home Over 2.578.3%

Home 3+ Goals78.3%

Away Over 1.575.8%

Away Over 2.553.9%

Away 3+ Goals53.9%

Away Exactly 221.9%

Away Exactly 114.8%

Home Exactly 211.2%

Home Exactly 15.0%

Away Exactly 05.0%

Home Exactly 01.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)95.3%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)94.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home94.6%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)93.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home93.0%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)91.3%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)89.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home89.5%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)85.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away85.5%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)83.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home83.3%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)76.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away76.3%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)73.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home73.7%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)63.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away63.9%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)60.9%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)49.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away49.4%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)46.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home46.2%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)34.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away34.8%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)31.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home31.7%

Home to win by 3+31.7%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)22.0%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)19.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home19.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw14.6%

Home to win by 114.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw14.5%

Home to win by 214.5%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)12.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away12.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw12.4%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)10.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home10.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw9.6%

Away to win by 19.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw9.2%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)6.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw6.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away6.2%

Away to win by 26.2%

Away to win by 3+6.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw5.8%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)4.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home4.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw3.5%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)2.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away2.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.7%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)1.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away1.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.7%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.3%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.588.8%

Home & Over 2.560.0%

Home & BTTS55.9%

Away & Over 2.521.6%

Away & BTTS20.9%

Draw & BTTS12.7%

Draw & Over 2.511.9%

Home & No BTTS5.0%

No BTTS & Over 2.54.7%

No BTTS & Under 2.51.3%

Away & No BTTS1.0%

Home & Under 2.50.9%

Draw & Under 2.50.8%

BTTS & Under 2.50.8%

Away & Under 2.50.4%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.596.5%

HT Over 1.584.7%

HT Both Teams Score63.7%

HT Home Win53.6%

2nd Half More Goals53.3%

HT/FT Home/Home45.8%

1st Half More Goals32.2%

HT Away Win24.9%

HT Draw21.5%

HT Under 1.515.3%

Equal Goals Each Half14.4%

HT/FT Away/Away13.7%

HT/FT Draw/Home12.1%

HT/FT Away/Home6.9%

HT/FT Draw/Away5.3%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.4%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.4%

HT/FT Draw/Draw4.1%

HT Under 0.53.5%

HT/FT Home/Away3.4%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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