Spain · La Liga

Athletic Club vs Getafe

Kick-off 14:00 · Sun, Oct 25

📊 Our Prediction

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

48% confidence

Athletic Club 47.8% Draw 34.5% Getafe 17.8%

Over 2.5 - 22% BTTS - 30%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 3.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

92%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

82%

No Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

70%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-0 at 15.7%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Athletic Club: 9 points versus 4 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles suggest a tighter game: the two sides combine for 1.67 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

15.7%

Exact-score model probability

Athletic Club

L D D D W W

Form 2-3-1 Goals 7:4 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 0.67

Getafe

D L D L D D

Form 0-4-2 Goals 3:7 Scored/game 0.5 Conceded/game 1.17

Head to head · last 5

Athletic Club 2wins ·1 draws ·Getafe 2wins

Athletic Club 0-2 GetafeApr 5, 2026

Athletic Club 0-1 GetafeOct 25, 2025

Athletic Club 2-0 GetafeMay 15, 2025

Athletic Club 1-1 GetafeAug 15, 2024

Athletic Club 2-0 GetafeMay 3, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

Athletic Club win47.8%

Draw34.5%

Getafe win17.8%

Over 1.5 goals47.9%

Over 2.5 goals21.6%

Over 3.5 goals7.8%

Both teams to score29.9%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +3.5 (Handicap)

91.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away

91.8%

Over 0.5 Goals

91.6%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)88.8%

Draw No Bet - Home85.9%

Home or Away (12)79.1%

Home Win67.9%

Both Halves Over 0.550.1%

Goal in Both Halves50.1%

Draw or Away (X2)32.1%

Draw20.9%

Exactly 1 Goal20.7%

Draw No Bet - Away14.1%

Away Win11.2%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals95.9%

Over 0.5 Goals91.6%

Under 4.5 Goals89.3%

Under 3.5 Goals76.1%

Over 1.5 Goals70.9%

1-3 Goals67.8%

2-4 Goals60.3%

Under 2.5 Goals54.8%

Total Goals Even50.3%

Total Goals Odd49.6%

2-3 Goals47.0%

1-2 Goals46.5%

Over 2.5 Goals45.2%

3-4 Goals34.5%

Under 1.5 Goals29.1%

Exactly 2 Goals25.7%

Over 3.5 Goals23.9%

4+ Goals23.9%

Exactly 3 Goals21.3%

Over 4.5 Goals10.7%

Under 0.5 Goals8.4%

Exactly 0 Goals8.3%

Over 5.5 Goals4.1%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score84.7%

No Both Teams Score (NG)61.5%

Home Clean Sheet54.6%

Home Win to Nil46.3%

Away Team to Score45.4%

Both Teams Score (GG)38.5%

Away Clean Sheet15.3%

Away Win to Nil6.9%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.584.7%

Home Over 1.556.0%

Away Exactly 054.6%

Away Over 0.545.4%

Away Exactly 133.0%

Home Over 2.529.0%

Home 3+ Goals29.0%

Home Exactly 128.7%

Home Exactly 227.0%

Home Exactly 015.3%

Away Over 1.512.4%

Away Exactly 210.0%

Away Over 2.52.4%

Away 3+ Goals2.4%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home100.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)99.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home99.5%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.2%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)97.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home97.3%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)97.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away97.2%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)91.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away91.8%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)88.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home88.8%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)79.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away79.7%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)67.9%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)58.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away58.5%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)41.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home41.5%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)32.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away32.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw26.4%

Home to win by 126.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw21.2%

Home to win by 221.2%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)20.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home20.3%

Home to win by 3+20.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw12.2%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)11.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw8.5%

Away to win by 18.5%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)8.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home8.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw5.4%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)2.7%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)2.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away2.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home2.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw2.2%

Away to win by 22.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw2.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.8%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.5%

Away to win by 3+0.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.4%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & No BTTS46.3%

No BTTS & Under 2.545.3%

Home & Over 2.537.5%

Home & Under 2.530.4%

BTTS & Over 2.529.0%

Home & BTTS21.7%

Draw & Under 2.517.8%

No BTTS & Over 2.516.2%

Draw & BTTS12.5%

BTTS & Under 2.59.5%

Away & No BTTS6.9%

Away & Under 2.56.6%

Away & Over 2.54.6%

Away & BTTS4.2%

Draw & Over 2.53.1%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.569.3%

HT Over 0.567.3%

HT Home Win47.9%

HT/FT Home/Home44.0%

2nd Half More Goals42.5%

HT Draw40.7%

HT Under 0.532.7%

HT Over 1.530.7%

1st Half More Goals30.7%

Equal Goals Each Half26.9%

HT/FT Draw/Home21.6%

HT/FT Draw/Draw14.3%

HT Both Teams Score13.6%

HT Away Win11.4%

HT/FT Away/Away5.8%

HT/FT Draw/Away4.8%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.3%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.3%

HT/FT Away/Home2.3%

HT/FT Home/Away0.6%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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