USA · Major League Soccer

Atlanta United FC vs Charlotte

Kick-off 00:30 · Sun, Aug 30

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

47% confidence

Atlanta United FC 35.6% Draw 17.7% Charlotte 46.7%

Over 2.5 - 93% BTTS - 89%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

93%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

89%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

82%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-3 at 5.5%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Charlotte: 10 points versus 11 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 4.16 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-3

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

5.5%

Exact-score model probability

Atlanta United FC

W W W L L D

Form 3-1-2 Goals 11:12 Scored/game 1.83 Conceded/game 2

Charlotte

W D W L W D

Form 3-2-1 Goals 14:9 Scored/game 2.33 Conceded/game 1.5

Head to head · last 1

Atlanta United FC 0wins ·1 draws ·Charlotte 0wins

Atlanta United FC 2-2 CharlotteJul 23, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Atlanta United FC win35.6%

Draw17.7%

Charlotte win46.7%

Over 1.5 goals98.2%

Over 2.5 goals92.5%

Over 3.5 goals82.2%

Both teams to score89.1%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 2.5 Goals

91.9%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)

90.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home

90.7%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.588.5%

Goal in Both Halves88.5%

Home or Away (12)82.5%

Draw or Away (X2)63.7%

Draw No Bet - Away56.7%

Home or Draw (1X)52.6%

Away Win46.8%

Draw No Bet - Home43.3%

Home Win35.7%

Draw16.9%

Exactly 1 Goal1.9%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals99.1%

Over 1.5 Goals97.2%

Over 2.5 Goals91.9%

Over 3.5 Goals81.7%

4+ Goals81.7%

Over 4.5 Goals67.2%

Over 5.5 Goals50.5%

Total Goals Odd49.7%

Total Goals Even49.7%

Under 5.5 Goals49.5%

Under 4.5 Goals32.8%

2-4 Goals30.0%

3-4 Goals24.7%

Under 3.5 Goals18.3%

1-3 Goals17.3%

2-3 Goals15.5%

Exactly 3 Goals10.2%

Under 2.5 Goals8.1%

1-2 Goals7.2%

Exactly 2 Goals5.3%

Under 1.5 Goals2.8%

Under 0.5 Goals0.9%

Exactly 0 Goals0.3%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score94.6%

Home Team to Score92.7%

Both Teams Score (GG)88.2%

No Both Teams Score (NG)11.8%

Away Clean Sheet6.7%

Away Win to Nil6.4%

Home Clean Sheet4.8%

Home Win to Nil4.5%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.594.6%

Home Over 0.592.7%

Away Over 1.580.1%

Home Over 1.574.5%

Away Over 2.558.0%

Away 3+ Goals58.0%

Home Over 2.550.1%

Home 3+ Goals50.1%

Home Exactly 224.4%

Away Exactly 222.1%

Home Exactly 118.1%

Away Exactly 114.5%

Home Exactly 06.7%

Away Exactly 04.8%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.8%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)97.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away97.5%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)95.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home95.6%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)94.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away94.4%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)90.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home90.7%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)88.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away88.3%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)82.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home82.0%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)78.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away78.1%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)69.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home69.0%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)63.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away63.7%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)52.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home52.6%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)46.8%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)35.7%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)30.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away30.4%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)21.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home21.3%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)17.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away17.4%

Away to win by 3+17.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw16.3%

Away to win by 116.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw14.4%

Home to win by 114.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw13.0%

Away to win by 213.0%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)11.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home11.1%

Home to win by 3+11.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw10.2%

Home to win by 210.2%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)8.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw8.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away8.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw6.1%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)5.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home5.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw5.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)3.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away3.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw3.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw2.4%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.9%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)1.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away1.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.3%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.6%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.585.6%

Away & Over 2.544.3%

Away & BTTS40.3%

Home & Over 2.533.7%

Home & BTTS31.3%

Draw & BTTS16.6%

Draw & Over 2.513.9%

Away & No BTTS6.4%

No BTTS & Over 2.56.3%

No BTTS & Under 2.54.8%

Home & No BTTS4.5%

Draw & Under 2.53.0%

BTTS & Under 2.52.6%

Away & Under 2.52.5%

Home & Under 2.52.0%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.592.4%

HT Over 1.572.9%

HT Both Teams Score52.4%

2nd Half More Goals50.9%

HT Away Win40.4%

HT Home Win33.1%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT/FT Away/Away30.8%

HT Under 1.527.1%

HT Draw26.4%

HT/FT Home/Home22.6%

Equal Goals Each Half16.6%

HT/FT Draw/Away11.2%

HT/FT Draw/Home9.0%

HT Under 0.57.6%

HT/FT Draw/Draw6.2%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.3%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.3%

HT/FT Home/Away5.2%

HT/FT Away/Home4.3%

Corners (12)

Over 8.5 Corners72.1%

Away Over 4.5 Corners69.2%

Under 11.5 Corners63.9%

Over 9.5 Corners60.3%

Away Most Corners58.1%

Under 10.5 Corners52.1%

Home Over 4.5 Corners49.9%

Over 10.5 Corners47.9%

Under 9.5 Corners39.7%

Over 11.5 Corners36.1%

Home Most Corners30.2%

Under 8.5 Corners27.9%

Cards (9)

Over 2.5 Cards84.4%

Over 3.5 Cards68.5%

Under 5.5 Cards67.4%

Under 4.5 Cards50.1%

Over 4.5 Cards49.9%

Over 5.5 Cards32.6%

Under 3.5 Cards31.5%

Over 0.5 Red Cards18.7%

Under 2.5 Cards15.6%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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