USA · Major League Soccer

Atlanta United FC vs Chicago Fire

Kick-off 00:30 · Sun, Oct 25

📊 Our Prediction

Over 1.5 Goals

48% confidence

Atlanta United FC 47.8% Draw 15.8% Chicago Fire 36.4%

Over 2.5 - 97% BTTS - 94%

🎯 Best Pick

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

94%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 3.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

92%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

84%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

Over 1.5 Goals is rated at 99.4% after combining both teams' recent goal output and defensive records.

BTTS Poisson estimate

Recent form leans to Atlanta United FC: 7 points versus 5 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.67 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Over 1.5 Goals

Over 1.5 Goals probability

99.4%

Chance of 2+ total goals

Atlanta United FC high-scoring games

50%

Recent matches with 3+ goals

Chicago Fire high-scoring games

83.3%

Recent matches with 3+ goals

Atlanta United FC

W D L L L W

Form 2-1-3 Goals 6:8 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.33

Chicago Fire

L W L L D D

Form 1-2-3 Goals 10:14 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 2.33

📈 Probability Breakdown

Atlanta United FC win47.8%

Draw15.8%

Chicago Fire win36.4%

Over 1.5 goals99.4%

Over 2.5 goals97.1%

Over 3.5 goals91.9%

Both teams to score94.2%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Both Teams Score (GG)

92.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)

91.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home

91.7%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.593.8%

Goal in Both Halves93.8%

Home or Away (12)82.7%

Home or Draw (1X)62.0%

Draw No Bet - Home56.7%

Draw or Away (X2)51.0%

Home Win46.9%

Draw No Bet - Away43.3%

Away Win35.8%

Draw15.2%

Exactly 1 Goal0.6%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.8%

Over 1.5 Goals97.2%

Over 2.5 Goals95.0%

Over 3.5 Goals89.9%

4+ Goals89.9%

Over 4.5 Goals81.0%

Over 5.5 Goals68.4%

Total Goals Odd48.9%

Total Goals Even48.9%

Under 5.5 Goals31.6%

Under 4.5 Goals19.0%

2-4 Goals16.2%

3-4 Goals14.0%

Under 3.5 Goals10.1%

1-3 Goals7.8%

2-3 Goals7.2%

Exactly 3 Goals5.1%

Under 2.5 Goals5.0%

Under 1.5 Goals2.8%

1-2 Goals2.8%

Under 0.5 Goals2.2%

Exactly 2 Goals2.2%

Exactly 0 Goals0.1%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score95.5%

Away Team to Score94.3%

Both Teams Score (GG)92.0%

No Both Teams Score (NG)8.0%

Home Clean Sheet3.5%

Home Win to Nil3.5%

Away Clean Sheet2.4%

Away Win to Nil2.3%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.595.5%

Away Over 0.594.3%

Home Over 1.586.5%

Away Over 1.582.5%

Home Over 2.569.9%

Home 3+ Goals69.9%

Away Over 2.562.9%

Away 3+ Goals62.9%

Away Exactly 219.6%

Home Exactly 216.6%

Away Exactly 111.8%

Home Exactly 18.9%

Away Exactly 03.5%

Home Exactly 02.4%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)97.0%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)96.0%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)95.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home95.2%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)93.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away93.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)91.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home91.7%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)87.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away87.3%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)85.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home85.2%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)78.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away78.3%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)75.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home75.3%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)65.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away65.8%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)62.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home62.0%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)51.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away51.0%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)46.9%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)35.8%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)32.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home32.0%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)22.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away22.6%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)19.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home19.6%

Home to win by 3+19.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw14.8%

Home to win by 114.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw13.2%

Away to win by 113.2%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)12.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away12.6%

Away to win by 3+12.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw12.5%

Home to win by 212.5%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)10.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home10.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw9.9%

Away to win by 29.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw9.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw6.4%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)6.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away6.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw5.7%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)4.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home4.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw3.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw3.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)2.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away2.6%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)1.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home1.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw1.7%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.9%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.590.9%

Home & Over 2.546.0%

Home & BTTS43.4%

Away & Over 2.535.1%

Away & BTTS33.5%

Draw & BTTS15.1%

Draw & Over 2.514.0%

No BTTS & Over 2.54.1%

Home & No BTTS3.5%

Away & No BTTS2.3%

No BTTS & Under 2.51.8%

Draw & Under 2.51.2%

BTTS & Under 2.51.1%

Home & Under 2.50.9%

Away & Under 2.50.8%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.595.8%

HT Over 1.582.5%

HT Both Teams Score63.1%

2nd Half More Goals52.8%

HT Home Win42.1%

HT Away Win34.4%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

HT/FT Home/Home32.1%

HT Draw23.4%

HT/FT Away/Away23.4%

HT Under 1.517.5%

Equal Goals Each Half14.8%

HT/FT Draw/Home10.3%

HT/FT Draw/Away8.3%

HT/FT Away/Home5.9%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.1%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.1%

HT/FT Draw/Draw4.9%

HT/FT Home/Away4.9%

HT Under 0.54.2%

Corners (12)

Away Over 4.5 Corners71.5%

Over 8.5 Corners70.3%

Under 11.5 Corners65.8%

Away Most Corners64.1%

Over 9.5 Corners58.3%

Under 10.5 Corners54.1%

Over 10.5 Corners45.9%

Home Over 4.5 Corners43.6%

Under 9.5 Corners41.7%

Over 11.5 Corners34.2%

Under 8.5 Corners29.7%

Home Most Corners24.8%

Cards (9)

Under 5.5 Cards81.1%

Over 2.5 Cards73.6%

Under 4.5 Cards66.1%

Over 3.5 Cards53.3%

Under 3.5 Cards46.7%

Over 4.5 Cards33.9%

Under 2.5 Cards26.4%

Over 5.5 Cards18.9%

Over 0.5 Red Cards15.3%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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