USA · Major League Soccer

Atlanta United FC vs FC Cincinnati

Kick-off 00:30 · Sun, Oct 11

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

75% confidence

Atlanta United FC 74.9% Draw 11.8% FC Cincinnati 13.3%

Over 2.5 - 95% BTTS - 86%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

95%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

88%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

86%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 4-2 at 5.2%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Atlanta United FC: 7 points versus 6 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

4-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

5.2%

Exact-score model probability

Atlanta United FC

W D L L L W

Form 2-1-3 Goals 6:8 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.33

FC Cincinnati

D D L L D W

Form 1-3-2 Goals 8:16 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 2.67

📈 Probability Breakdown

Atlanta United FC win74.9%

Draw11.8%

FC Cincinnati win13.3%

Over 1.5 goals98.9%

Over 2.5 goals95.2%

Over 3.5 goals87.7%

Both teams to score86.3%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 2.5 Goals

92.0%

Both Halves Over 0.5

91.6%

Goal in Both Halves

91.6%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.591.6%

Goal in Both Halves91.6%

Home or Away (12)85.7%

Draw No Bet - Home84.7%

Home or Draw (1X)83.6%

Home Win72.6%

Draw or Away (X2)24.1%

Draw No Bet - Away15.3%

Away Win13.1%

Draw11.0%

Exactly 1 Goal1.1%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals96.5%

Over 1.5 Goals95.4%

Over 2.5 Goals92.0%

Over 3.5 Goals84.8%

4+ Goals84.8%

Over 4.5 Goals73.1%

Over 5.5 Goals58.3%

Total Goals Odd48.3%

Total Goals Even48.3%

Under 5.5 Goals41.7%

Under 4.5 Goals26.9%

2-4 Goals22.3%

3-4 Goals18.9%

Under 3.5 Goals15.2%

1-3 Goals11.7%

2-3 Goals10.7%

Under 2.5 Goals8.0%

Exactly 3 Goals7.3%

Under 1.5 Goals4.6%

1-2 Goals4.5%

Under 0.5 Goals3.5%

Exactly 2 Goals3.4%

Exactly 0 Goals0.2%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score95.4%

Away Team to Score84.4%

Both Teams Score (GG)83.2%

No Both Teams Score (NG)16.8%

Home Clean Sheet12.3%

Home Win to Nil12.1%

Away Clean Sheet1.3%

Away Win to Nil1.1%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.595.4%

Home Over 1.589.7%

Away Over 0.584.4%

Home Over 2.577.4%

Home 3+ Goals77.4%

Away Over 1.559.1%

Away Over 2.532.9%

Away 3+ Goals32.9%

Away Exactly 226.1%

Away Exactly 125.3%

Home Exactly 212.3%

Away Exactly 012.3%

Home Exactly 15.7%

Home Exactly 01.3%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)96.6%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)96.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home96.4%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)95.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home95.8%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)94.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home94.2%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)90.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home90.5%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)89.6%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)83.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home83.6%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)81.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away81.5%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)72.6%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)69.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away69.6%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)58.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home58.0%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)54.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away54.7%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)42.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home42.0%

Home to win by 3+42.0%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)38.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away38.6%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)27.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home27.0%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)24.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away24.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw16.1%

Home to win by 216.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)15.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home15.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw15.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw14.6%

Home to win by 114.6%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)13.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw11.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw8.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)7.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home7.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw6.9%

Away to win by 16.9%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)6.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away6.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw3.6%

Away to win by 23.6%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)2.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away2.5%

Away to win by 3+2.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw1.6%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.6%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.2%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.581.8%

Home & Over 2.570.3%

Home & BTTS60.5%

Away & Over 2.512.4%

Home & No BTTS12.1%

Away & BTTS11.9%

Draw & BTTS10.8%

No BTTS & Over 2.510.3%

Draw & Over 2.59.4%

No BTTS & Under 2.53.2%

Home & Under 2.52.3%

Draw & Under 2.51.7%

BTTS & Under 2.51.5%

Away & No BTTS1.1%

Away & Under 2.50.7%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.594.4%

HT Over 1.578.2%

HT Home Win61.2%

HT/FT Home/Home55.7%

HT Both Teams Score51.9%

2nd Half More Goals51.9%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Under 1.521.8%

HT Draw21.5%

HT Away Win17.3%

Equal Goals Each Half15.6%

HT/FT Draw/Home13.9%

HT/FT Away/Away7.6%

HT/FT Away/Home6.1%

HT Under 0.55.6%

HT/FT Draw/Draw3.9%

HT/FT Draw/Away3.6%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.5%

HT/FT Home/Away1.9%

Corners (12)

Under 11.5 Corners77.0%

Under 10.5 Corners66.6%

Away Over 4.5 Corners61.6%

Away Most Corners60.6%

Over 8.5 Corners58.7%

Under 9.5 Corners54.4%

Over 9.5 Corners45.6%

Under 8.5 Corners41.3%

Home Over 4.5 Corners37.1%

Over 10.5 Corners33.4%

Home Most Corners27.3%

Over 11.5 Corners23.0%

Cards (9)

Over 2.5 Cards82.6%

Under 5.5 Cards70.3%

Over 3.5 Cards65.8%

Under 4.5 Cards53.2%

Over 4.5 Cards46.8%

Under 3.5 Cards34.2%

Over 5.5 Cards29.7%

Over 0.5 Red Cards18.0%

Under 2.5 Cards17.4%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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