USA · Major League Soccer

Atlanta United FC vs Inter Miami

Kick-off 00:30 · Sun, Oct 18

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

41% confidence

Atlanta United FC 41.3% Draw 18.0% Inter Miami 40.7%

Over 2.5 - 92% BTTS - 89%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

92%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

89%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

82%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-2 at 5.6%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Inter Miami: 7 points versus 9 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.50 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

5.6%

Exact-score model probability

Atlanta United FC

W D L L L W

Form 2-1-3 Goals 6:8 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.33

Inter Miami

D D W W L D

Form 2-3-1 Goals 15:9 Scored/game 2.5 Conceded/game 1.5

Head to head · last 1

Atlanta United FC 0wins ·0 draws ·Inter Miami 1wins

Atlanta United FC 1-2 Inter MiamiSep 6, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Atlanta United FC win41.3%

Draw18.0%

Inter Miami win40.7%

Over 1.5 goals98.0%

Over 2.5 goals91.9%

Over 3.5 goals81.2%

Both teams to score88.8%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 2.5 Goals

91.5%

Both Teams Score (GG)

87.9%

Both Halves Over 0.5

87.9%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.587.9%

Goal in Both Halves87.9%

Home or Away (12)82.3%

Home or Draw (1X)58.7%

Draw or Away (X2)58.1%

Draw No Bet - Home50.4%

Draw No Bet - Away49.6%

Home Win41.4%

Away Win40.8%

Draw17.2%

Exactly 1 Goal2.0%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals99.1%

Over 1.5 Goals97.1%

Over 2.5 Goals91.5%

Over 3.5 Goals80.8%

4+ Goals80.8%

Over 4.5 Goals65.8%

Under 5.5 Goals51.1%

Total Goals Odd49.7%

Total Goals Even49.7%

Over 5.5 Goals48.9%

Under 4.5 Goals34.2%

2-4 Goals31.3%

3-4 Goals25.6%

Under 3.5 Goals19.2%

1-3 Goals18.3%

2-3 Goals16.3%

Exactly 3 Goals10.6%

Under 2.5 Goals8.5%

1-2 Goals7.7%

Exactly 2 Goals5.7%

Under 1.5 Goals2.9%

Under 0.5 Goals0.9%

Exactly 0 Goals0.4%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score93.6%

Away Team to Score93.5%

Both Teams Score (GG)87.9%

No Both Teams Score (NG)12.1%

Home Clean Sheet6.0%

Away Clean Sheet5.9%

Home Win to Nil5.7%

Away Win to Nil5.5%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.593.6%

Away Over 0.593.5%

Home Over 1.576.9%

Away Over 1.576.6%

Home Over 2.553.3%

Home 3+ Goals53.3%

Away Over 2.552.9%

Away 3+ Goals52.9%

Away Exactly 223.7%

Home Exactly 223.6%

Away Exactly 116.9%

Home Exactly 116.7%

Away Exactly 06.0%

Home Exactly 05.9%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.6%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.6%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)96.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home96.9%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)96.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away96.8%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)93.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home93.1%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)92.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away92.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)85.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home85.8%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)85.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away85.5%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)74.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home74.2%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)73.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away73.7%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)58.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home58.7%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)58.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away58.1%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)41.4%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)40.8%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)25.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home25.8%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)25.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away25.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw15.7%

Home to win by 115.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw15.6%

Away to win by 115.6%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)14.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home14.0%

Home to win by 3+14.0%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)13.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away13.7%

Away to win by 3+13.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw11.8%

Home to win by 211.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw11.6%

Away to win by 211.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw7.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw7.2%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)6.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home6.6%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)6.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away6.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw3.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw3.8%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)2.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home2.7%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)2.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away2.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw1.7%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.9%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.9%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.585.1%

Home & Over 2.539.0%

Away & Over 2.538.4%

Home & BTTS35.8%

Away & BTTS35.3%

Draw & BTTS16.9%

Draw & Over 2.514.0%

No BTTS & Over 2.56.4%

Home & No BTTS5.7%

Away & No BTTS5.5%

No BTTS & Under 2.55.2%

Draw & Under 2.53.2%

BTTS & Under 2.52.8%

Home & Under 2.52.4%

Away & Under 2.52.4%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.592.1%

HT Over 1.572.0%

HT Both Teams Score51.7%

2nd Half More Goals50.8%

HT Home Win36.8%

HT Away Win36.4%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Under 1.528.0%

HT Draw26.8%

HT/FT Home/Home26.7%

HT/FT Away/Away26.3%

Equal Goals Each Half16.8%

HT/FT Draw/Home10.3%

HT/FT Draw/Away10.1%

HT Under 0.57.9%

HT/FT Draw/Draw6.4%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Away/Home4.7%

HT/FT Home/Away4.7%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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