USA · Major League Soccer

Atlanta United FC vs Orlando City SC

Kick-off 00:30 · Thu, Sep 10

📊 Our Prediction

Over 1.5 Goals

44% confidence

Atlanta United FC 44.0% Draw 15.7% Orlando City SC 40.3%

Over 2.5 - 98% BTTS - 95%

🎯 Best Pick

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

95%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 3.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

93%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

84%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

Over 1.5 Goals is rated at 99.5% after combining both teams' recent goal output and defensive records.

BTTS Poisson estimate

Recent form leans to Atlanta United FC: 9 points versus 8 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.17 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Over 1.5 Goals

Over 1.5 Goals probability

99.5%

Chance of 2+ total goals

Atlanta United FC high-scoring games

83.3%

Recent matches with 3+ goals

Orlando City SC high-scoring games

66.7%

Recent matches with 3+ goals

Atlanta United FC

L L W W W L

Form 3-0-3 Goals 9:10 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.67

Orlando City SC

W D W L D L

Form 2-2-2 Goals 10:10 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 1.67

Head to head · last 1

Atlanta United FC 0wins ·1 draws ·Orlando City SC 0wins

Atlanta United FC 1-1 Orlando City SCMay 17, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Atlanta United FC win44.0%

Draw15.7%

Orlando City SC win40.3%

Over 1.5 goals99.5%

Over 2.5 goals97.5%

Over 3.5 goals92.9%

Both teams to score94.8%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

BTTS & Over 2.5

91.5%

Over 3.5 Goals

90.7%

4+ Goals

90.7%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.594.4%

Goal in Both Halves94.4%

Home or Away (12)82.5%

Home or Draw (1X)58.1%

Draw or Away (X2)54.5%

Draw No Bet - Home52.1%

Draw No Bet - Away47.9%

Home Win43.0%

Away Win39.5%

Draw15.1%

Exactly 1 Goal0.5%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.5%

Over 1.5 Goals97.0%

Over 2.5 Goals95.1%

Over 3.5 Goals90.7%

4+ Goals90.7%

Over 4.5 Goals82.5%

Over 5.5 Goals70.7%

Total Goals Odd48.8%

Total Goals Even48.8%

Under 5.5 Goals29.3%

Under 4.5 Goals17.5%

2-4 Goals14.4%

3-4 Goals12.6%

Under 3.5 Goals9.3%

1-3 Goals6.8%

2-3 Goals6.3%

Under 2.5 Goals4.9%

Exactly 3 Goals4.5%

Under 1.5 Goals3.0%

Under 0.5 Goals2.5%

1-2 Goals2.4%

Exactly 2 Goals1.8%

Exactly 0 Goals0.1%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score95.1%

Away Team to Score94.8%

Both Teams Score (GG)92.4%

No Both Teams Score (NG)7.6%

Home Clean Sheet2.8%

Home Win to Nil2.7%

Away Clean Sheet2.4%

Away Win to Nil2.4%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.595.1%

Away Over 0.594.8%

Home Over 1.586.0%

Away Over 1.584.8%

Home Over 2.569.3%

Home 3+ Goals69.3%

Away Over 2.567.1%

Away 3+ Goals67.1%

Away Exactly 217.7%

Home Exactly 216.8%

Away Exactly 19.9%

Home Exactly 19.1%

Away Exactly 02.8%

Home Exactly 02.4%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)96.3%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)96.0%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)94.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home94.2%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)93.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away93.4%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)89.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home89.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)88.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away88.5%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)82.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home82.6%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)80.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away80.3%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)71.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home71.8%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)68.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away68.8%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)58.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home58.1%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)54.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away54.5%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)43.0%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)39.5%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)28.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home28.8%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)25.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away25.8%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)17.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home17.2%

Home to win by 3+17.2%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)15.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away15.0%

Away to win by 3+15.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw14.2%

Home to win by 114.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw13.7%

Away to win by 113.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw11.6%

Home to win by 211.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw10.8%

Away to win by 210.8%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)9.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home9.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw8.2%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)7.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away7.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw7.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw5.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw4.3%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)4.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home4.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)3.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away3.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw2.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw2.2%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)1.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home1.5%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)1.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away1.2%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.591.5%

Home & Over 2.542.3%

Home & BTTS40.3%

Away & Over 2.538.8%

Away & BTTS37.1%

Draw & BTTS15.0%

Draw & Over 2.514.1%

No BTTS & Over 2.53.7%

Home & No BTTS2.7%

Away & No BTTS2.4%

No BTTS & Under 2.51.5%

Draw & Under 2.51.0%

BTTS & Under 2.50.9%

Home & Under 2.50.7%

Away & Under 2.50.7%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.596.2%

HT Over 1.583.8%

HT Both Teams Score64.8%

2nd Half More Goals53.1%

HT Home Win39.7%

HT Away Win37.2%

1st Half More Goals32.2%

HT/FT Home/Home29.1%

HT/FT Away/Away26.3%

HT Draw23.1%

HT Under 1.516.2%

Equal Goals Each Half14.6%

HT/FT Draw/Home9.5%

HT/FT Draw/Away8.8%

HT/FT Away/Home5.7%

HT/FT Home/Away5.4%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.1%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.1%

HT/FT Draw/Draw4.8%

HT Under 0.53.8%

Corners (12)

Under 11.5 Corners83.4%

Under 10.5 Corners74.5%

Under 9.5 Corners63.1%

Over 8.5 Corners50.0%

Under 8.5 Corners50.0%

Away Most Corners47.6%

Away Over 4.5 Corners46.8%

Home Over 4.5 Corners40.4%

Home Most Corners38.7%

Over 9.5 Corners36.9%

Over 10.5 Corners25.5%

Over 11.5 Corners16.6%

Cards (9)

Over 2.5 Cards78.5%

Under 5.5 Cards75.9%

Over 3.5 Cards59.8%

Under 4.5 Cards59.6%

Over 4.5 Cards40.4%

Under 3.5 Cards40.2%

Over 5.5 Cards24.1%

Under 2.5 Cards21.5%

Over 0.5 Red Cards16.7%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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