Mexico · Liga MX

Atlante FC vs CF Pachuca

Kick-off 04:00 · Sat, Sep 12

📊 Our Prediction

Away +4.5 (Handicap)

45% confidence

Atlante FC 20.4% Draw 34.5% CF Pachuca 45.1%

Over 2.5 - 28% BTTS - 36%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 3.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

89%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

80%

No Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

64%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 0-1 at 18.3%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Atlante FC: 7 points versus 5 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Away +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

0-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

18.3%

Exact-score model probability

Atlante FC

D D L D W D

Form 1-4-1 Goals 6:7 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.17

CF Pachuca

W D D L L L

Form 1-2-3 Goals 7:8 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 1.33

📈 Probability Breakdown

Atlante FC win20.4%

Draw34.5%

CF Pachuca win45.1%

Over 1.5 goals56.5%

Over 2.5 goals28.0%

Over 3.5 goals11.5%

Both teams to score35.7%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Under 3.5 Goals

88.5%

Over 0.5 Goals

84.1%

HT Under 1.5

79.9%

Match Result (11)

Draw or Away (X2)77.9%

Home or Away (12)68.8%

Draw No Bet - Away67.9%

Home or Draw (1X)53.3%

Away Win46.7%

Both Halves Over 0.535.8%

Goal in Both Halves35.8%

Draw No Bet - Home32.1%

Draw31.2%

Exactly 1 Goal29.2%

Home Win22.1%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals98.9%

Under 4.5 Goals96.1%

Under 3.5 Goals88.5%

Over 0.5 Goals84.1%

1-3 Goals72.6%

Under 2.5 Goals72.0%

1-2 Goals56.1%

Over 1.5 Goals54.9%

Total Goals Even51.3%

2-4 Goals50.9%

Total Goals Odd48.7%

Under 1.5 Goals45.1%

2-3 Goals43.4%

Over 2.5 Goals28.0%

Exactly 2 Goals26.9%

3-4 Goals24.1%

Exactly 3 Goals16.5%

Under 0.5 Goals15.9%

Exactly 0 Goals15.9%

Over 3.5 Goals11.5%

4+ Goals11.5%

Over 4.5 Goals3.9%

Over 5.5 Goals1.1%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score68.3%

No Both Teams Score (NG)66.0%

Away Clean Sheet50.2%

Home Team to Score49.8%

Away Win to Nil34.3%

Both Teams Score (GG)34.0%

Home Clean Sheet31.7%

Home Win to Nil15.8%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.568.3%

Home Exactly 050.2%

Home Over 0.549.8%

Away Exactly 136.4%

Home Exactly 134.6%

Away Over 1.531.9%

Away Exactly 031.7%

Away Exactly 220.9%

Home Over 1.515.2%

Home Exactly 211.9%

Away Over 2.511.0%

Away 3+ Goals11.0%

Home Over 2.53.3%

Home 3+ Goals3.3%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +4.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away100.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.6%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)98.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away98.7%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.3%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)93.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away93.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)93.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home93.4%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)79.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home79.8%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)77.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away77.9%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)53.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home53.3%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)46.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw26.5%

Away to win by 126.5%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)22.1%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)20.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away20.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw15.9%

Home to win by 115.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw13.6%

Away to win by 213.6%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)6.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away6.6%

Away to win by 3+6.6%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)6.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home6.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw4.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw4.9%

Home to win by 24.9%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.4%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)1.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home1.3%

Home to win by 3+1.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw1.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.3%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.2%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.0%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.559.4%

Away & No BTTS34.3%

Away & Under 2.528.8%

Draw & Under 2.528.5%

BTTS & Over 2.521.4%

Away & Over 2.517.9%

Home & No BTTS15.8%

Draw & BTTS15.3%

Home & Under 2.514.8%

BTTS & Under 2.512.6%

Away & BTTS12.4%

Home & Over 2.57.3%

No BTTS & Over 2.56.5%

Home & BTTS6.3%

Draw & Over 2.52.7%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.579.9%

HT Over 0.556.3%

HT Draw51.0%

HT Under 0.543.7%

2nd Half More Goals38.8%

Equal Goals Each Half32.3%

HT Away Win31.8%

1st Half More Goals28.9%

HT/FT Away/Away27.0%

HT/FT Draw/Draw23.3%

HT Over 1.520.1%

HT/FT Draw/Away18.2%

HT Home Win17.2%

HT/FT Home/Home11.7%

HT Both Teams Score10.8%

HT/FT Draw/Home9.6%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.0%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.0%

HT/FT Home/Away1.5%

HT/FT Away/Home0.8%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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