Mexico · Liga MX

Atlas vs CF Pachuca

Kick-off 00:00 · Sun, Nov 8

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

54% confidence

Atlas 20.7% Draw 25.2% CF Pachuca 54.1%

Over 2.5 - 57% BTTS - 58%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 4.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

82%

▸ Show 1 alternative

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

79%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 10.5%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to CF Pachuca: 5 points versus 10 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

10.5%

Exact-score model probability

Atlas

D L W D L L

Form 1-2-3 Goals 6:10 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.67

CF Pachuca

W L L D W W

Form 3-1-2 Goals 9:5 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 0.83

📈 Probability Breakdown

Atlas win20.7%

Draw25.2%

CF Pachuca win54.1%

Over 1.5 goals81.1%

Over 2.5 goals57.2%

Over 3.5 goals34.8%

Both teams to score57.9%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Under 5.5 Goals

91.9%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)

91.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away

91.7%

Match Result (11)

Draw or Away (X2)78.0%

Home or Away (12)77.5%

Draw No Bet - Away71.6%

Both Halves Over 0.559.5%

Goal in Both Halves59.5%

Away Win55.5%

Home or Draw (1X)44.5%

Draw No Bet - Home28.4%

Draw22.5%

Home Win22.0%

Exactly 1 Goal15.2%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals94.9%

Under 5.5 Goals91.9%

Under 4.5 Goals81.9%

Over 1.5 Goals79.7%

Under 3.5 Goals65.3%

2-4 Goals61.7%

1-3 Goals60.1%

Over 2.5 Goals57.1%

Total Goals Even50.1%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

2-3 Goals45.0%

Under 2.5 Goals42.9%

3-4 Goals39.1%

1-2 Goals37.7%

Over 3.5 Goals34.7%

4+ Goals34.7%

Exactly 2 Goals22.6%

Exactly 3 Goals22.4%

Under 1.5 Goals20.3%

Over 4.5 Goals18.1%

Over 5.5 Goals8.1%

Under 0.5 Goals5.1%

Exactly 0 Goals5.1%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score84.7%

Home Team to Score66.7%

Both Teams Score (GG)56.5%

No Both Teams Score (NG)43.5%

Away Clean Sheet33.3%

Away Win to Nil28.2%

Home Clean Sheet15.3%

Home Win to Nil10.2%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.584.7%

Home Over 0.566.7%

Away Over 1.556.0%

Home Exactly 136.6%

Home Exactly 033.3%

Home Over 1.530.1%

Away Over 2.529.0%

Away 3+ Goals29.0%

Away Exactly 128.7%

Away Exactly 227.0%

Home Exactly 220.1%

Away Exactly 015.3%

Home Over 2.510.0%

Home 3+ Goals10.0%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.4%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.4%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.1%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)97.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away97.6%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)94.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home94.1%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)91.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away91.7%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)84.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home84.9%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)78.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away78.0%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)68.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home68.0%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)55.5%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)44.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home44.5%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)32.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away32.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw23.5%

Away to win by 123.5%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)22.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw17.0%

Away to win by 217.0%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)15.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away15.0%

Away to win by 3+15.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw13.8%

Home to win by 113.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw9.2%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)8.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home8.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)5.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw5.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away5.8%

Home to win by 25.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw3.9%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)2.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home2.4%

Home to win by 3+2.4%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)1.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away1.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw1.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw1.4%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.6%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.5%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.546.0%

Away & Over 2.537.0%

No BTTS & Under 2.532.3%

Away & No BTTS28.2%

Away & BTTS27.3%

Away & Under 2.518.5%

Draw & BTTS17.4%

Draw & Under 2.515.6%

Home & Over 2.513.3%

Home & BTTS11.8%

No BTTS & Over 2.511.2%

BTTS & Under 2.510.5%

Home & No BTTS10.2%

Home & Under 2.58.7%

Draw & Over 2.56.8%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.573.8%

HT Under 1.561.3%

2nd Half More Goals44.5%

HT Away Win41.4%

HT Over 1.538.7%

HT Draw38.3%

HT/FT Away/Away35.1%

1st Half More Goals31.4%

HT Under 0.526.2%

Equal Goals Each Half24.1%

HT Both Teams Score22.3%

HT Home Win20.2%

HT/FT Draw/Away17.3%

HT/FT Draw/Draw12.9%

HT/FT Home/Home12.3%

HT/FT Draw/Home8.1%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.8%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.8%

HT/FT Home/Away3.1%

HT/FT Away/Home1.6%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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